Result
1:0
22/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN, ESPN Premium |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (468/541) | 82% (311/377) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (468/541) | 82% (311/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (26/44) | 48% (24/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (98/138) | 57% (35/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (16/24) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Palacios T. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
- 46', Gonzalez L. ↓, Miranda M. ↑,
- 56', Miritello J. B. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
- 62', Benedetti G. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
- 62', Sosa J. ↓, Perez Fabricio ↑,
- 67', Ferreira L. 🟨,
- 70', Piovi L. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 0, Delgado R. (Own goal),
- 78', Castro A. ↓, Ascacibar S. ↑,
- 80', Cannavo E. ↓, Barbona D. ↑,
- 90+1', Soto A. ↓, Stefanelli N. ↑,
- 90+1', Alario L. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Estudiantes La Plata
37.2% | Draw
31.4% | Defensa y Justicia
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes La Plata's form might have worsened.Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes La Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.15) |
3.05 ↓
(3.33) |
3.09 ↓
(3.38) |
4.4%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia?
Users Predictions:
47 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 34 - 72.3%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 5 - 10.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 59.5% – 85.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Defensa y Justicia (votes: 5 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estudiantes La Plata will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 3.
- Estudiantes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Defensa y Justicia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Defensa y Justicia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Defensa y Justicia has had a series of home games.
- Estudiantes could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Estudiantes: Burgos J.
(Pelvis Injury)
Cetre E.
(Inactive)
Gonzalez Pirez L.
(Injury)
Meza E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Ferreira L.
(Inactive)
Molinas A.
(Injury)
Perez C.
(Knee Injury)
Reinatti J.
(Inactive)
Sosa M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes La Plata won against Defensa y Justicia?
Estudiantes La Plata has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensa y Justicia won against Estudiantes La Plata?
Defensa y Justicia has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia were as follows:
09.03.2025
Defensa y Justicia
-
Estudiantes La Plata
1:0
28.09.2024
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Defensa y Justicia
1:0
29.03.2024
Defensa y Justicia
-
Estudiantes La Plata
1:0
13.12.2023
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Defensa y Justicia
1:0
05.11.2023
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Defensa y Justicia
2:1
Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 19 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 17 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Tigre | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Huracan | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lanus | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Instituto | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Independiente | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
