Result
1:0
22/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | ESPN, ESPN Premium |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.48 | 1.19 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
87% (468/541) | 82% (311/377) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.48 | 1.19 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.75 | 0.34 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 8 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
87% (468/541) | 82% (311/377) |
Long passes |
---|
59% (26/44) | 48% (24/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (98/138) | 57% (35/61) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (5/28) | 29% (4/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.10 | 0.31 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 6 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (16/24) | 75% (12/16) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
26 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.34 | 0.75 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.34 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Palacios T. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
- 46', Gonzalez L. ↓, Miranda M. ↑,
- 56', Miritello J. B. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
- 62', Benedetti G. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
- 62', Sosa J. ↓, Perez Fabricio ↑,
- 67', Ferreira L. 🟨,
- 70', Piovi L. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 0, Delgado R. (Own goal),
- 78', Castro A. ↓, Ascacibar S. ↑,
- 80', Cannavo E. ↓, Barbona D. ↑,
- 90+1', Soto A. ↓, Stefanelli N. ↑,
- 90+1', Alario L. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Estudiantes La Plata 37.2% | Draw 31.4% | Defensa y Justicia 31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes La Plata's form might have worsened.Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes La Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.55 ↑ (2.15) |
3.05 ↓ (3.33) |
3.09 ↓ (3.38) |
4.4% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia?
Users Predictions:
47 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 34 - 72.3%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 5 - 10.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 59.5% – 85.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Defensa y Justicia (votes: 5 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estudiantes La Plata will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 3.
- Estudiantes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Defensa y Justicia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Defensa y Justicia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Defensa y Justicia has had a series of home games.
- Estudiantes could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Estudiantes: Burgos J.
(Pelvis Injury)
Cetre E.
(Inactive)
Gonzalez Pirez L.
(Injury)
Meza E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Ferreira L.
(Inactive)
Molinas A.
(Injury)
Perez C.
(Knee Injury)
Reinatti J.
(Inactive)
Sosa M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes La Plata won against Defensa y Justicia?
Estudiantes La Plata has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensa y Justicia won against Estudiantes La Plata?
Defensa y Justicia has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia were as follows:
09.03.2025
Defensa y Justicia
-
Estudiantes La Plata
1:0
28.09.2024
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Defensa y Justicia
1:0
29.03.2024
Defensa y Justicia
-
Estudiantes La Plata
1:0
13.12.2023
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Defensa y Justicia
1:0
05.11.2023
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Defensa y Justicia
2:1
Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union de Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 17 |
2 | Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
3 | Barracas Central | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Tigre | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Estudiantes L.P | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
6 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
7 | Argentinos Jrs | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
8 | Central Cordoba | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
9 | Banfield | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 14 |
10 | Belgrano | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Huracan | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 12 |
12 | Racing Club | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Newells Old Boys | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
15 | Aldosivi | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1:14 | -13 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Dep. Riestra | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 19 |
2 | River Plate | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 18 |
3 | Velez Sarsfield | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 18 |
4 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Lanus | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 16 |
6 | Rosario Central | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
7 | Atl. Tucuman | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
8 | Sarmiento Junin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 12 |
9 | Platense | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
10 | San Martin S.J | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
11 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 10 |
12 | Gimnasia L.P | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | 10 |
13 | Instituto | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 10 |
14 | Godoy Cruz | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
15 | Independiente | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)