Estudiantes La Plata vs Defensa y Justicia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia
Result
1:0
22/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.481.19
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
87% (468/541)82% (311/377)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.481.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.750.34
Total shots
910
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
188
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
614
Passes
87% (468/541)82% (311/377)
Long passes
59% (26/44)48% (24/50)
Passes in final third
71% (98/138)57% (35/61)
Crosses
18% (5/28)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.31
Throw-ins
1818
Fouls
146
Tackles
67% (16/24)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5450
Clearances
2631
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.340.75
Goals prevented
0.340.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Palacios T. , Farias F. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez L. , Miranda M. ,
  • 56', Miritello J. B. , Lenny Lobato ,
  • 62', Benedetti G. , Gomez R. ,
  • 62', Sosa J. , Perez Fabricio ,
  • 67', Ferreira L. 🟨,
  • 70', Piovi L. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 0, Delgado R. (Own goal),
  • 78', Castro A. , Ascacibar S. ,
  • 80', Cannavo E. , Barbona D. ,
  • 90+1', Soto A. , Stefanelli N. ,
  • 90+1', Alario L. , Medina C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes La Plata
37.2%
Draw
31.4%
Defensa y Justicia
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 28.3% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 29.4% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes La Plata's form might have worsened.
  • Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes La Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.15)
    3.05
    (3.33)
    3.09
    (3.38)
    4.4%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia?
  • Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 34 - 72.3%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 5 - 10.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 59.5%85.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Defensa y Justicia (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estudiantes La Plata will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 3.
    • Estudiantes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Defensa y Justicia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Defensa y Justicia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Defensa y Justicia has had a series of home games.
    • Estudiantes could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Burgos J. (Pelvis Injury) Cetre E. (Inactive) Gonzalez Pirez L. (Injury) Meza E. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Ferreira L. (Inactive) Molinas A. (Injury) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Reinatti J. (Inactive) Sosa M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata 1:0
    28.09.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia 1:0
    29.03.2024 Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata 1:0
    13.12.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia 1:0
    05.11.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia 2:1
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe1045115:8717
    2Defensa y Justicia1043311:9215
    3Barracas Central943211:9215
    4Tigre104339:7215
    5Estudiantes L.P950410:10015
    6Boca Juniors1035213:8514
    7Argentinos Jrs1042412:8414
    8Central Cordoba1035212:9314
    9Banfield104249:13-414
    10Belgrano93339:7212
    11Huracan93335:8-312
    12Racing Club931510:12-210
    13Ind. Rivadavia923410:12-29
    14Newells Old Boys92348:11-39
    15Aldosivi100371:14-133


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra961212:5719
    2River Plate953116:7918
    3Velez Sarsfield953111:4718
    4San Lorenzo104428:6216
    5Lanus95139:8116
    6Rosario Central93609:4515
    7Atl. Tucuman933310:8212
    8Sarmiento Junin93338:10-212
    9Platense924310:13-310
    10San Martin S.J102448:11-310
    11Talleres Cordoba102445:9-410
    12Gimnasia L.P103166:12-610
    13Instituto92435:11-610
    14Godoy Cruz101548:13-58
    15Independiente80445:9-44

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)