Estudiantes La Plata vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
20/02/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 6
  • Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.690.70
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
73
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
44
Passes
72% (196/274)80% (309/384)
Yellow cards
44
Expected goals (xG)
0.690.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.650.11
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
04
Shots inside the box
76
Shots outside the box
56
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
814
Passes
72% (196/274)80% (309/384)
Long passes
42% (23/55)65% (31/48)
Passes in final third
63% (50/79)63% (59/94)
Crosses
29% (6/21)33% (8/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.461.12
Throw ins
2026
Fouls
148
Tackles
64% (14/22)91% (10/11)
Duels won
5155
Clearances
1815
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
36
xGOT faced
0.110.65
Goals prevented
0.11-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
  • 24', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 32', Sosa J. , Palacios T. ,
  • 37', Suarez L. , Arismendi Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Castro A. ,
  • 55', Palacios T. 🟨,
  • 56', Zabala C. 🟨,
  • 68', Meza E. , Mancuso E. ,
  • 68', Burgos J. , Amondarain M. ,
  • 69', Villalba C. , Martinez M. ,
  • 69', Diego Churin , Renteria J. ,
  • 75', Castro A. , Aguirre B. ,
  • 76', Perez Fabricio , Cetre E. ,
  • 80', Burrai J. 🟨,
  • 82', Zabala C. , Gomez J. ,
  • 82', Salle S. , Marquez B. ,
  • 86', Piovi L. 🟨,
  • 88', Muslera F. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Arismendi Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes La Plata
58.8%
Draw
28.2%
Sarmiento de Junín
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63% 26% 10.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.48)
    3.33
    (3.58)
    7.33
    (8.5)
    5.7%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 50.6%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Sarmiento (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Estudiantes (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 50%). Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 2.
    • Estudiantes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sarmiento's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Estudiantes is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Estudiantes: Gabriel Neves (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Diaz G. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    13.06.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes La Plata 2:0
    09.03.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes La Plata 3:1
    23.10.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín 2:1
    25.02.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín 1:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    2Estudiantes L.P1263314:6821
    3Boca Juniors1255214:7720
    4Union de Santa Fe1254318:12619
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    8Independiente1245318:15317
    9San Lorenzo1245312:12017
    10Platense123636:7-115
    11Instituto1242613:15-214
    12Gimnasia Mendoza123369:15-612
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1223710:23-139
    15Dep. Riestra120753:9-67


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1282220:12826
    2River Plate1272317:9823
    3Argentinos Jrs1265113:7623
    4Rosario Central1263314:10421
    5Belgrano1254312:12019
    6Racing Club1253415:11418
    7Tigre1245316:12417
    8Huracan1245312:9317
    9Barracas Central1244411:11016
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1223713:18-59
    14Aldosivi120663:13-106
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto121293:17-145

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)