Estudiantes La Plata vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
20/02/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 6
  • Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.690.70
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
73
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
44
Passes
72% (196/274)80% (309/384)
Yellow cards
44
Expected goals (xG)
0.690.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.650.11
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
04
Shots inside the box
76
Shots outside the box
56
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
814
Passes
72% (196/274)80% (309/384)
Long passes
42% (23/55)65% (31/48)
Passes in final third
63% (50/79)63% (59/94)
Crosses
29% (6/21)33% (8/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.461.12
Throw ins
2026
Fouls
148
Tackles
64% (14/22)91% (10/11)
Duels won
5155
Clearances
1815
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
36
xGOT faced
0.110.65
Goals prevented
0.11-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
  • 24', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 32', Sosa J. , Palacios T. ,
  • 37', Suarez L. , Arismendi Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Castro A. ,
  • 55', Palacios T. 🟨,
  • 56', Zabala C. 🟨,
  • 68', Meza E. , Mancuso E. ,
  • 68', Burgos J. , Amondarain M. ,
  • 69', Villalba C. , Martinez M. ,
  • 69', Diego Churin , Renteria J. ,
  • 75', Castro A. , Aguirre B. ,
  • 76', Perez Fabricio , Cetre E. ,
  • 80', Burrai J. 🟨,
  • 82', Zabala C. , Gomez J. ,
  • 82', Salle S. , Marquez B. ,
  • 86', Piovi L. 🟨,
  • 88', Muslera F. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Arismendi Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes La Plata
58.8%
Draw
28.2%
Sarmiento de Junín
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63% 26% 10.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.48)
    3.33
    (3.58)
    7.33
    (8.5)
    5.7%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 50.6%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Sarmiento (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Estudiantes (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 50%). Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 2.
    • Estudiantes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sarmiento's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Estudiantes is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Estudiantes: Gabriel Neves (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Diaz G. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    13.06.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes La Plata 2:0
    09.03.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes La Plata 3:1
    23.10.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín 2:1
    25.02.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín 1:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1064012:5722
    2Estudiantes L.P105329:5418
    3Union de Santa Fe1044216:10616
    4Defensa y Justicia1037013:8516
    5Lanus943215:12315
    6Talleres Cordoba1043310:9115
    7Boca Juniors1035211:7414
    8Independiente1035216:13314
    9Platense103526:6014
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba103345:7-212
    12Instituto1032511:13-211
    13Gimnasia Mendoza102356:12-69
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys100376:22-163


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1062216:12420
    2Belgrano1054111:7419
    3Rosario Central1053212:7518
    4Tigre1045116:9717
    5River Plate1052312:9317
    6Racing Club1043313:9415
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Gimnasia L.P1042413:14-114
    9Huracan103439:9013
    10Argentinos Jrs82515:4111
    11Banfield1031611:13-210
    12Sarmiento Junin103166:11-510
    13Atl. Tucuman1013611:16-56
    14Aldosivi90543:9-65
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto101183:15-124

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