Estudiantes La Plata vs Unión Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.330.81
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
42
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
46
Passes
83% (405/488)70% (196/282)
Yellow cards
45
Expected goals (xG)
1.330.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.461.08
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
56
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
88
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2015
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free kicks
1417
Passes
83% (405/488)70% (196/282)
Long passes
47% (28/60)35% (19/54)
Passes in final third
69% (62/90)52% (49/95)
Crosses
18% (4/22)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.74
Throw ins
1418
Fouls
1714
Tackles
94% (16/17)50% (6/12)
Duels won
5543
Clearances
3130
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
1.081.46
Goals prevented
0.08-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', Sosa J. 🟨,
  • 30', Del Blanco M. 🟨,
  • 36', 0 - 1, Estigarribia M. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
  • 44', Pereyra J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', Sosa J. ↓, Palacios T. ↑,
  • 56', Castro A. ↓, Amondarain M. ↑,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Perez Fabricio ⚽, Aguirre B. (A),
  • 62', Pereyra J. ↓, Benedetti G. ↑,
  • 66', Paz N. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
  • 68', Palacios T. 🟨,
  • 73', Funes Mori R. ↓, Gonzalez Pirez L. ↑,
  • 73', Gaich A. ↓, Alario L. ↑,
  • 76', Estigarribia M. 🟨,
  • 77', Cuello B. 🟨,
  • 77', Cuello B. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
  • 79', Mansilla M. 🟨,
  • 79', Aguirre B. 🟨,
  • 85', Luduena J. 🟨,
  • 88', Palacios J. ↓, Palavecino N. ↑,
  • 88', Del Blanco M. ↓, Pitton B. ↑,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Amondarain M. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Estudiantes La Plata
37.9%		Draw
33.6%		Unión Santa Fe
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 30.2% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 29.2% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes La Plata's form might have worsened.
  • Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes La Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Estudiantes La Plata - Unión Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.5 ↑
    (2.02)    		 2.82 ↓
    (3.07)    		 3.31 ↓
    (3.88)    		 5.6%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Unión Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 - Unión (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Unión may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Estudiantes might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Meza E. (Yellow Cards) Palacios T. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Unión: Diaz D. (Inactive) Paz N. (Inactive) Vargas L. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Unión Santa Fe were as follows:
    14.07.2025 Unión Santa Fe - Estudiantes La Plata 1:0
    25.01.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Unión Santa Fe 3:1
    21.07.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Unión Santa Fe 0:0
    01.02.2024 Unión Santa Fe - Estudiantes La Plata 0:1
    26.08.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Unión Santa Fe 1:3
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    08.04.2026 Independiente Medellín - Estudiantes La Plata 1:1 ✺
    03.04.2026 San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata 1:0 ✺
    23.03.2026 Estudiantes La Plata - Central Córdoba 5:0 ✺
    17.03.2026 Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes La Plata 1:2 ✺
    13.03.2026 Estudiantes La Plata - Lanús 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    03.04.2026 Unión Santa Fe - Deportivo Riestra 2:0 ✺
    30.03.2026 Unión Santa Fe - Agropecuario Argentino 2:0 ✺
    21.03.2026 Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe 2:0 ✺
    15.03.2026 Unión Santa Fe - Boca Juniors 1:1 ✺
    10.03.2026 Independiente - Unión Santa Fe 4:4 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    2Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    3Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    4Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Independiente1346319:16318
    8Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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