San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
03/04/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
portugalPortugalSport TV3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.840.92
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
55
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
43
Passes
75% (252/336)83% (371/449)
Yellow cards
44
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.840.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.470.44
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
37
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
69
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1822
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1514
Passes
75% (252/336)83% (371/449)
Long passes
39% (27/70)58% (32/55)
Passes in final third
66% (60/91)72% (86/120)
Crosses
28% (5/18)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.74
Throw ins
1213
Fouls
1415
Tackles
58% (14/24)78% (14/18)
Duels won
5656
Clearances
1815
Interceptions
145
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
0.440.47
Goals prevented
0.44-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Insaurralde M. , Barrios N. (A),
  • 18', Gulli F. 🟨,
  • 21', Piovi L. 🟨,
  • 26', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
  • 34', Meza E. 🟨,
  • 36', De Ritis M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', De Ritis M. , Rodriguez Pagano T. ,
  • 55', Perez Fabricio , Cetre E. ,
  • 57', Gulli F. , Perruzzi I. ,
  • 57', Barrios N. , Reali M. ,
  • 65', Palacios T. 🟥,
  • 66', Insaurralde M. , Abrego G. ,
  • 67', Rodriguez G. , Auzmendi R. ,
  • 67', Castro A. , Nunez S. ,
  • 67', Piovi L. , Gabriel Neves ,
  • 68', Nunez S. 🟨,
  • 79', Farias F. , Dominguez F. ,
  • 79', Mancuso E. , Benedetti G. ,
  • 86', Montenegro L. 🟨,
  • 90', Tripichio N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Lorenzo
27.4%
Draw
34%
Estudiantes La Plata
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 33.5% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 33.9% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.44
    (3)
    2.79
    (2.75)
    2.46
    (2.59)
    5.5%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6%98.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Estudiantes (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - San Lorenzo (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 50%). Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Estudiantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N. (Knee Injury) Cerutti E. (Knee Injury) Cordoba A. (Muscle Injury) Hernandez G. (Knee Injury) Herrera D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Alario L. (Foot Injury) Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Benedetti G. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
    05.11.2024 San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata 1:1
    13.02.2024 San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata 1:1
    20.09.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - San Lorenzo 0:0
    21.06.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - San Lorenzo 1:1
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1555523:19420
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)