Result
1:1
08/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1
- Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Ecuador | ESPN 2 |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (326/398) | 69% (159/231) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (326/398) | 69% (159/231) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (33/62) | 36% (16/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (71/109) | 51% (36/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 50% (3/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Palacios T. ⚽, Amondarain M. (A),
- 24', Montano J. 🟨,
- 24', Piovi L. 🟨,
- 36', Palacios T. 🟨,
- 37', Londono D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mena Perea E. ↓, Catano D. ↑,
- 48', Palacios T. 🟨,
- 60', Farias F. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 61', Cetre E. ↓, Burgos J. ↑,
- 62', Carrillo G. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Chaverra F. ⚽, Catano D. (A),
- 68', Montano J. ↓, Yony Gonzalez ↑,
- 82', Benedetti G. 🟨,
- 87', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Larrosa E. ↑,
- 89', Amondarain M. ↓, Gabriel Neves ↑,
- 90', Palacios T. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
- 90', Muslera F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín
36% | Draw
33% | Estudiantes La Plata
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+2%)
Independiente Medellín - Estudiantes La Plata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.63) |
2.84 ↓
(2.93) |
3.04 ↑
(2.97) |
6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Estudiantes La Plata?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.2% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Ind Medellín is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Estudiantes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Ind Medellín: Berrio L.
(Injury)
Mantilla K.
(Injury)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Estudiantes La Plata?
Independiente Medellín has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes La Plata won against Independiente Medellín?
Estudiantes La Plata has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Cusco | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Coquimbo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | La Guaira | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Platense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Penarol | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lanus | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Mirassol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
