MVV Maastricht vs Excelsior – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 33
  • Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.561.18
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
76% (276/364)82% (461/565)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.561.18
xG on target (xGOT)
0.561.42
Total shots
813
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
312
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
938
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
812
Passes
76% (276/364)82% (461/565)
Long passes
45% (33/73)59% (51/87)
Passes in final third
54% (48/89)69% (160/233)
Crosses
30% (3/10)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.272.30
Fouls
128
Tackles
67% (14/21)75% (3/4)
Duels won
4152
Clearances Total
6011
Interceptions
1311
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.420.56
Goals prevented
-0.58-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Braken S. , Smeets B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Hatenboer C. , Blomme X. ,
  • 68', Bergraaf J. , Omorowa R. ,
  • 68', Donkor J. , Fini S. ,
  • 68', Pierie K. , van Duinen M. ,
  • 75', Braken S. , El Basri N. ,
  • 80', Esajas R. , Kassimi A. ,
  • 80', Kleinen M. , Slegers F. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Duijvestijn L. , Widell C. (A),
  • 90', Fini S. , Booth Z. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, van Duinen M. , Duijvestijn L. (A),
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+5', Kassimi A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


MVV Maastricht
18.2%
Draw
20.1%
Excelsior
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.3% 23% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1% 22.8% 54.1%

MVV Maastricht - Excelsior Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.11
(4.05)
4.59
(4.1)
1.52
(1.76)
7.1%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Excelsior?
  • Users Predictions: Excelsior will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Maastricht won 1.
    • Maastricht has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Excelsior is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Maastricht could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Excelsior is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Maastricht: Braken S. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Maastricht won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15:23 (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Maastricht won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Excelsior were as follows:
    18.10.2024 Excelsior - MVV Maastricht 3:2
    19.10.2022 Excelsior - MVV Maastricht 5:1
    Latest results of MVV Maastricht
    Latest results of Excelsior
    28.03.2025 Excelsior - Jong Utrecht 3:0
    14.03.2025 FC Eindhoven - Excelsior 1:2
    10.03.2025 Excelsior - Den Bosch 3:1
    07.03.2025 De Graafschap - Excelsior 2:1
    02.03.2025 Excelsior - Roda 1:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag17151149:153446
    2Cambuur18115239:211838
    3Den Bosch1892737:36129
    4Jong PSV1784534:30428
    5Roda1776428:24427
    6Waalwijk1775528:26226
    7Willem II1875623:27-426
    8De Graafschap1674530:25525
    9FC Emmen1874732:32025
    10Dordrecht1866622:22024
    11Almere City1872935:29623
    12Helmond1872924:26-223
    13Jong Utrecht1865726:30-423
    14Venlo18701122:28-621
    15Oss1847721:30-919
    16Eindhoven FC1753918:34-1618
    17Jong AZ18521126:34-817
    18Maastricht17431019:33-1415
    19Vitesse1564528:26210
    20Jong Ajax17161022:35-139

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )