Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 7
  • Referee: Higler D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 4
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaSportsnet+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
indiaIndiaEurosport, JioTV app
italyItalyComo TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
spainSpainGolStadium
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.102.51
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
76% (253/331)87% (533/615)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.102.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.602.72
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2331
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
58
Passes
76% (253/331)87% (533/615)
Long passes
48% (30/62)63% (47/75)
Passes in final third
69% (87/127)78% (122/156)
Crosses
25% (5/20)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.021.67
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
85
Tackles
44% (7/16)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4052
Clearances
2436
Interceptions
169
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
2.720.60
Goals prevented
0.72-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Wlodarczyk S. ,
  • 19', 1 - 1, Veerman J. ,
  • 32', Pepi R. , Til G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Wlodarczyk S. , Bergraaf J. ,
  • 70', Wanner P. , Man D. ,
  • 71', Sanches Fernandes D. , Mitrovic S. ,
  • 71', Naujoks N. , Nadje C. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Saibari I. , Man D. (A),
  • 81', de Regt G. , van Duinen M. ,
  • 81', Carlen A. , Schouten L. ,
  • 85', Perisic I. , Driouech C. ,
  • 85', Salah-Eddine A. , Obispo A. ,

Chances of winning


Excelsior
11.9%
Draw
16.3%
PSV Eindhoven
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
5.5% 11% 83.5%

Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
8.49
(17.25)
6.05
(8.6)
1.37
(1.13)
1.5%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 17 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): PSV Eindhoven will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • PSV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, PSV has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, PSV is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in PSV: Boadu M. (Injury) Kuhn W. (Knee Injury) Plea A. (Knee Injury) Sildillia K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in PSV: van Bommel R. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 13:49. (average 0.8:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:24. (average 0.9:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven were as follows:
    14.01.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior 5:4
    02.04.2024 Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven 0:2
    13.01.2024 PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior 3:1
    08.04.2023 PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior 4:0
    28.08.2022 Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven 1:6
    Latest results of Excelsior
    20.09.2025 Volendam - Excelsior 1:2
    30.08.2025 Excelsior - Twente 1:0
    24.08.2025 Utrecht - Excelsior 4:1
    16.08.2025 Excelsior - Feyenoord 1:2
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    21.09.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 2:2
    30.08.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Telstar 0:2
    23.08.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Groningen 4:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV16141150:203043
    2Feyenoord16111441:202134
    3Ajax1685330:201029
    4Nijmegen1684441:271428
    5Groningen1682624:21326
    6AZ Alkmaar1574428:24425
    7Twente1666425:20524
    8Utrecht1665527:21623
    9Heerenveen1655626:26020
    10Sparta Rotterdam1662817:31-1420
    11Zwolle1654720:36-1619
    12G.A. Eagles1646625:28-318
    13Sittard1653821:26-518
    14Excelsior1551914:26-1216
    15FC Volendam1635819:30-1114
    16Heracles16421026:41-1514
    17NAC Breda1634916:25-913
    18Telstar1626819:27-812

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie