Result
2:2
25/05/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | QQ Sports |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.99 | 1.32 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
65% (197/303) | 68% (264/386) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.99 | 1.32 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.46 | 0.73 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
65% (197/303) | 68% (264/386) |
Long passes |
---|
26% (21/80) | 41% (38/93) |
Passes in final third |
---|
51% (53/104) | 62% (90/146) |
Crosses |
---|
36% (4/11) | 36% (9/25) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.73 | 1.39 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 36 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
61% (11/18) | 63% (10/16) |
Duels won |
---|
61 | 72 |
Clearances |
---|
47 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 2 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.73 | 1.46 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.40 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Ichimi K. ⚽, Sato R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Fujio S. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
- 55', 2 - 0, Kimura T. ⚽, Tabei R. (A),
- 62', Ichimi K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
- 62', Sento K. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
- 62', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Soma Y. ↑,
- 63', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Duke M. ↑,
- 72', Kimura T. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
- 72', Esaka A. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Soma Y. ⚽, Nishimura T. (A),
- 81', 2 - 2, Duke M. ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
- 84', Tabei R. ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
- 84', Sato R. ↓, Browne N. ↑,
- 90+1', Nishimura T. ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fagiano Okayama 24.5% | Draw 31.6% | Machida Zelvia 44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.84 ↑ (3.75) |
2.99 ↑ (2.88) |
2.15 ↑ (2.05) |
5.9% (10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 1.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Okayama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Machida Zelvia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There are questionable in Okayama: Suzuki Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Injury)
Nakayama Y.
(Concussion)
Narasaka T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Okayama won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Machida Zelvia?
Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Fagiano Okayama?
Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
05.08.2023
Fagiano Okayama
-
Machida Zelvia
1:3
07.05.2023
Machida Zelvia
-
Fagiano Okayama
1:1
04.09.2022
Fagiano Okayama
-
Machida Zelvia
2:0
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 38 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League