Result
2:2
25/05/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (197/303) | 68% (264/386) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (197/303) | 68% (264/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (21/80) | 41% (38/93) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (53/104) | 62% (90/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 36% (9/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 72 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 47 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.40 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Ichimi K. ⚽, Sato R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Fujio S. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
- 55', 2 - 0, Kimura T. ⚽, Tabei R. (A),
- 62', Ichimi K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
- 62', Sento K. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
- 62', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Soma Y. ↑,
- 63', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Duke M. ↑,
- 72', Kimura T. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
- 72', Esaka A. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Soma Y. ⚽, Nishimura T. (A),
- 81', 2 - 2, Duke M. ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
- 84', Tabei R. ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
- 84', Sato R. ↓, Browne N. ↑,
- 90+1', Nishimura T. ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fagiano Okayama
24.5% | Draw
31.6% | Machida Zelvia
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.84 ↑
(3.75) |
2.99 ↑
(2.88) |
2.15 ↑
(2.05) |
5.9%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 1.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Okayama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Machida Zelvia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There are questionable in Okayama: Suzuki Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Injury)
Nakayama Y.
(Concussion)
Narasaka T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Okayama won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Machida Zelvia?
Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Fagiano Okayama?
Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
05.08.2023
Fagiano Okayama
-
Machida Zelvia
1:3
07.05.2023
Machida Zelvia
-
Fagiano Okayama
1:1
04.09.2022
Fagiano Okayama
-
Machida Zelvia
2:0
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Machida | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:32 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 53:38 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 43 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 46:41 | 5 | 42 |
| 11 | Okayama | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 26:29 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
| 16 | Verdy | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 16:29 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:50 | -24 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:36 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27:49 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
