Tokyo vs Fagiano Okayama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo).

J1 League - Round 35
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.27	1.22
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	5
Passes
81% (441/545)	71% (226/319)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27	1.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.41	1.28
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
1	2
Blocked Shots
6	4
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
21	25
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
11	9
Passes
81% (441/545)	71% (226/319)
Long passes
35% (26/74)	35% (18/52)
Passes in final third
70% (94/134)	56% (55/99)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.05	1.02
Throw-ins
22	24
Fouls
9	11
Tackles
54% (7/13)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
47	44
Clearances
36	30
Interceptions
12	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
1.28	1.41
Goals prevented
0.28	-1.59

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Tatsuta Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Sato K. ⚽, Ko T. (A),
59', Ichimi K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
59', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
68', Endo K. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
68', Nakagawa T. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
71', Kato H. ↓, Yanagi T. ↑,
71', Tabei R. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Esaka A. ⚽, Kamiya Yuta (A),
77', Marcos Guilherme ↓, Tawaratsumida K. ↑,
82', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Tawaratsumida K. ⚽, Sato K. (A),
89', Esaka A. ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Sato K. ⚽, Ko T. (A),
90+2', Nagatomo Y. ↓, Oka T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tokyo
47.6%

Draw
27.9%

Fagiano Okayama
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

28.4%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.9%

26.8%

Tokyo - Fagiano Okayama Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.09)	3.38 ↑ (3.33)	3.81 ↑ (3.59)	5.1% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Tokyo - Fagiano Okayama?

Users Predictions: Tokyo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 15).
Recent performances by Tokyo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Okayama has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Tokyo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tokyo might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Higashi K. (Yellow Cards) Nagakura M. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Okayama: Brodersen S. (Red Card)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tokyo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Fagiano Okayama?

Tokyo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Tokyo?

Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:

06.04.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo 1:0

Latest results of Tokyo

17.10.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo 0:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo 1:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:3 ✺

23.09.2025 Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Fagiano Okayama

18.10.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Cerezo Osaka 1:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama 1:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Machida Zelvia - Fagiano Okayama 1:0 ✺

23.09.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Yokohama FC 0:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama 4:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	38	23	7	8	58:31	27	76
2	Kashiwa Reysol	38	21	12	5	60:34	26	75
3	Kyoto	38	19	11	8	62:40	22	68
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	38	20	8	10	46:28	18	68
5	Vissel Kobe	38	18	10	10	46:33	13	64
6	Machida	38	17	9	12	52:38	14	60
7	Urawa Reds	38	16	11	11	45:39	6	59
8	Kawasaki Frontale	38	15	12	11	67:57	10	57
9	Gamba Osaka	38	17	6	15	53:55	-2	57
10	Cerezo Osaka	38	14	10	14	60:57	3	52
11	FC Tokyo	38	13	11	14	41:48	-7	50
12	Avispa Fukuoka	38	12	12	14	34:38	-4	48
13	Okayama	38	12	9	17	34:43	-9	45
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	38	11	11	16	41:51	-10	44
15	Yokohama F. Marinos	38	12	7	19	46:47	-1	43
16	Nagoya Grampus	38	11	10	17	44:56	-12	43
17	Verdy	38	11	10	17	23:41	-18	43
18	Yokohama FC	38	9	8	21	27:45	-18	35
19	Shonan Bellmare	38	8	8	22	36:63	-27	32
20	Albirex Niigata	38	4	12	22	36:67	-31	24

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League