Result
0:4
23/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 20
- Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 2', 0 - 1, Giorgobiani N. ⚽,
- 6', 0 - 2, Gabaraev A. ⚽,
- 14', Yusupov Z. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 3, Pusi B. (Pen),
- 43', Baranovsky A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Turishchev M. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
- 61', Baranovsky A. ↓, Troyanov K. ↑,
- 61', Perchenok A. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 4, Bagamaev A. ⚽,
- 66', Alshin I. 🟨,
- 67', Khabalov A. ↓, Khanenko I. ↑,
- 69', Alshin I. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
- 69', Netfullin R. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
- 75', Gystarov R. 🟨,
- 78', Tenyaev A. ↓, Ozmanov D. ↑,
- 78', Giorgobiani N. ↓, Abdokov N. ↑,
- 78', Bagamaev A. ↓, Bagatelia L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ufa
22.5% | Draw
30.3% | Fakel
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Ufa - Fakel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.18 ↑
(4.02) |
3.1 ↑
(3.09) |
1.99 ↓
(2.1) |
6.6%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Ufa has had a series of home games.
- Fakel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Ufa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ufa won against Fakel?
Ufa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Ufa?
Fakel has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ufa - Fakel were as follows:
27.07.2025
Fakel
-
Ufa
1:0
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 30:12 | 18 | 52 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 39:21 | 18 | 46 |
| 3 | Ural | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 35:24 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | S. Kostroma | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 38 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 37 |
| 6 | Chelyabinsk | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:26 | 7 | 37 |
| 7 | R. Volgograd | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 36 |
| 8 | Neftekhimik | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 30:27 | 3 | 34 |
| 9 | SKA Khabarovsk | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 33 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 32 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Yenisey | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Torpedo Moscow | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 28 |
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:39 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 | Ufa | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 28:33 | -5 | 26 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 23:53 | -30 | 16 |
| 18 | Saratov | 25 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 10:29 | -19 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
