Result
1:1
25/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 31
- Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (289/383) | 82% (395/480) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (289/383) | 82% (395/480) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/52) | 46% (32/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (57/93) | 66% (90/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 15% (4/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Oliveira P. 🟨,
- 8', 1 - 0, De Haas J. (Pen),
- 11', De Amorim M. 🟨,
- 34', Racic U. 🟨,
- 41', Carvalhal C. 🟨,
- 42', Gharbi I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Oliveira P. ↓, Robson Bambu ↑,
- 46', Racic U. ↓, Gorby ↑,
- 46', Gharbi I. ↓, Fernandes R. ↑,
- 60', Navarro F. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
- 68', De Amorim M. ↓, Topic M. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Pinheiro R. (Own goal),
- 80', Elisor S. ↓, Sejk V. ↑,
- 80', Sa G. ↓, Mamageishvili O. ↑,
- 82', Robson Bambu 🟨,
- 88', Sorriso ↓, Pedro Bondo ↑,
Chances of winning
Famalicão
26.7% | Draw
28.3% | Braga
45% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Famalicão - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.52 ↓
(3.65) |
3.32 ↓
(3.35) |
2.1 ↑
(1.9) |
6%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Famalicão - Braga?
Users Predictions:
Braga will win
(19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Braga will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Famalicão won 1.
- Recent matches Famalicão is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Braga is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Braga will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Braga: Noro J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Braga: Navarro F.
(Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Famalicão won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:24 (average 1.4:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Famalicão won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Braga?
Famalicão has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Famalicão?
Braga has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Famalicão - Braga were as follows:
16.12.2024
Braga
-
Famalicão
3:3
18.01.2024
Famalicão
-
Braga
1:2
11.08.2023
Braga
-
Famalicão
1:2
05.02.2023
Braga
-
Famalicão
4:1
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
