Result
1:2
06/12/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 13
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Angola | Z Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 2.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (280/353) | 84% (396/469) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 2.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (280/353) | 84% (396/469) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (14/39) | 40% (19/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (50/79) | 71% (87/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 35% (9/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Pinheiro R. (Own goal),
- 33', Sorriso 🟨,
- 39', Victor P. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Zabiri Y. ⚽, Sorriso (A),
- 45+2', Horta R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Moutinho J. 🟨,
- 54', Moutinho J. ↓, Zalazar R. ↑,
- 55', Navarro F. ↓, Grillitsch F. ↑,
- 66', Sa G. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 2, Victor P. ⚽, Gomez V. (A),
- 75', Martinez G. ↓, Lelo L. ↑,
- 81', Sorriso ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
- 81', Pedro Bondo ↓, Elisor S. ↑,
- 87', Victor P. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
- 87', Horta R. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Famalicão
28.4% | Draw
28.3% | Braga
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Famalicão - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(3.17) |
3.34 ↓
(3.39) |
2.2 ↓
(2.24) |
5.4%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Famalicão - Braga?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Famalicão will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Braga will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Braga (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Famalicão may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Braga might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Famalicão: Abubakar U.
(Inactive)
Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
Beney R.
(Inactive)
Pastor G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Braga: Noro J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.4:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Braga?
Famalicão has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Famalicão?
Braga has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Famalicão - Braga were as follows:
25.04.2025
Famalicão
-
Braga
1:1
16.12.2024
Braga
-
Famalicão
3:3
18.01.2024
Famalicão
-
Braga
1:2
11.08.2023
Braga
-
Famalicão
1:2
05.02.2023
Braga
-
Famalicão
4:1
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
