Result
1:2
06/12/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 13
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | ZAP |
Angola | Z Sports 1 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
Turkey | Tivibu Spor 3 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 2.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (280/353) | 84% (396/469) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 2.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (280/353) | 84% (396/469) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (14/39) | 40% (19/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (50/79) | 71% (87/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 35% (9/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Pinheiro R. (Own goal),
- 33', Sorriso 🟨,
- 39', Victor P. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Zabiri Y. ⚽, Sorriso (A),
- 45+2', Horta R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Moutinho J. 🟨,
- 54', Moutinho J. ↓, Zalazar R. ↑,
- 55', Navarro F. ↓, Grillitsch F. ↑,
- 66', Sa G. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 2, Victor P. ⚽, Gomez V. (A),
- 75', Martinez G. ↓, Lelo L. ↑,
- 81', Sorriso ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
- 81', Pedro Bondo ↓, Elisor S. ↑,
- 87', Victor P. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
- 87', Horta R. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Famalicão 28.4% | Draw 28.3% | Braga 43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Famalicão - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.34 ↑ (3.17) |
3.34 ↓ (3.39) |
2.2 ↓ (2.24) |
5.4% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Famalicão - Braga?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Famalicão will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Braga will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Braga (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Famalicão may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Braga might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Famalicão: Abubakar U.
(Inactive)
Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
Beney R.
(Inactive)
Pastor G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Braga: Noro J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.4:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Braga?
Famalicão has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Famalicão?
Braga has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Famalicão - Braga were as follows:
25.04.2025
Famalicão
-
Braga
1:1
16.12.2024
Braga
-
Famalicão
3:3
18.01.2024
Famalicão
-
Braga
1:2
11.08.2023
Braga
-
Famalicão
1:2
05.02.2023
Braga
-
Famalicão
4:1
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 27:3 | 24 | 37 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32:7 | 25 | 32 |
| 3 | Benfica | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 26:8 | 18 | 29 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:6 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | Braga | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 | Alverca | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Estoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 22:21 | 1 | 14 |
| 13 | Estrela | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 9 |
| 16 | Tondela | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7:22 | -15 | 9 |
| 17 | Arouca | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14:37 | -23 | 9 |
| 18 | AFS | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9:31 | -22 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2