Result
1:1
10/04/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 29
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (425/504) | 75% (235/312) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (425/504) | 75% (235/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (36/52) | 34% (16/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (131/186) | 52% (26/50) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (10/44) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 2.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | 1.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Rodri ⚽, John N. (A),
- 11', Sorriso 🟨,
- 30', Rodri 🟨,
- 43', De Amorim M. 🟨,
- 43', Alanzinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', John N. 🟨,
- 59', Sa G. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
- 65', Van de Looi T. 🟨,
- 66', Alanzinho ↓, Kevyn Monteiro ↑,
- 67', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Landerson ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Santos P. ⚽, Rafa Soares (A),
- 73', Gil Dias 🟨,
- 74', Kiko 🟨,
- 74', Sorriso ↓, Aranda O. ↑,
- 75', Gil Dias ↓, Beney R. ↑,
- 78', Maracas 🟨,
- 83', Fabiano ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
- 83', Rodri ↓, Teguia C. ↑,
- 89', Elisor S. ↓, Abubakar U. ↑,
- 90+1', Ferreira A. 🟨,
- 90+7', Ba I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Famalicão
64.2% | Draw
22.9% | Moreirense
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Famalicão's performance.Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Famalicão that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Famalicão - Moreirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.7) |
4.11 ↑
(3.88) |
7.36 ↑
(5.44) |
5.3%
(3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Famalicão - Moreirense?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Famalicão (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Famalicão will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Famalicão will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Famalicão (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 1.
- Famalicão is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Moreirense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Famalicão is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Moreirense: Martinez A.
(Muscle Injury)
Michel
(Muscle Injury)
Pinto D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Santos L.
(Injury)
Sousa V.
(Leg Injury)
Yan Maranhao
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Famalicão: De Amorim M.
(Injury)
Rochinha
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Moreirense: Teguia C.
(Injury)
- We predict that Famalicão will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Moreirense?
Famalicão has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Famalicão?
Moreirense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Famalicão - Moreirense were as follows:
29.11.2025
Moreirense
-
Famalicão
2:2
23.02.2025
Famalicão
-
Moreirense
2:0
21.09.2024
Moreirense
-
Famalicão
0:0
28.01.2024
Moreirense
-
Famalicão
1:0
21.08.2023
Famalicão
-
Moreirense
0:0
Latest results of Famalicão
Latest results of Moreirense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 63:15 | 48 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 67:20 | 47 | 75 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59:31 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 39 |
| 9 | Alverca | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:49 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51:52 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Arouca | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 39:60 | -21 | 35 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Nacional | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34:51 | -17 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29:55 | -26 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23:52 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 22:65 | -43 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
