Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 32
- Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (206/274) | 75% (228/305) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (206/274) | 75% (228/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (18/43) | 45% (27/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (60/97) | 69% (72/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Realpe L. 🟨,
- 17', Rony Lopes 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Elisor S. ⚽, Sa G. (A),
- 34', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
- 40', Paulo Victor 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Soares F. ⚽, Claudio Falcao (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Van de Looi T. 🟨,
- 52', Elisor S. 🟨,
- 56', Soares F. 🟨,
- 66', Topic M. ↓, De Amorim M. ↑,
- 67', Tomane ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
- 69', Moreno M. 🟨,
- 73', Ribeiro T. 🟨,
- 76', Aranda O. ↓, Gil Dias ↑,
- 76', Elisor S. ↓, Sejk V. ↑,
- 79', Rony Lopes ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
- 79', Soares F. ↓, Matias M. ↑,
- 90', Rafa Soares ↓, Pedro Bondo ↑,
- 90', Ribeiro T. ↓, Raul Silva ↑,
- 90', Njie Y. ↓, Justo S. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Poveda D. ⚽, Claudio Falcao (A),
- 90+6', Bermejo A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Pedro Bondo 🟥,
Chances of winning
Farense
33.5% | Draw
29.6% | Famalicão
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Farense - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↑
(2.6) |
3.2 ↓
(3.33) |
2.57 ↓
(2.7) |
5.6%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Farense - Famalicão?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Famalicão will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Famalicão: 23.4% – 70.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farense won 1.
- Farense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Famalicão is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Farense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Farense: Balde E.
(Inactive)
Moreno M.
(Inactive)
Neto
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Farense: Velho R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Famalicão: Zabiri Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Farense won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Farense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Famalicão?
Farense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Farense?
Famalicão has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Famalicão were as follows:
21.12.2024
Famalicão
-
Farense
1:2
10.02.2024
Farense
-
Famalicão
1:1
02.09.2023
Famalicão
-
Farense
1:0
Latest results of Farense
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
