Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 32
- Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.85 | 0.69 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
75% (206/274) | 75% (228/305) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
7 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.85 | 0.69 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.31 | 1.01 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 0 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 10 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
19 | 22 |
Passes |
---|
75% (206/274) | 75% (228/305) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (18/43) | 45% (27/60) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (60/97) | 69% (72/104) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (5/21) | 10% (2/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.52 | 0.80 |
Throw-ins |
---|
32 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
22 | 19 |
Tackles |
---|
62% (13/21) | 70% (7/10) |
Duels won |
---|
66 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 46 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.01 | 2.31 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.01 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Realpe L. 🟨,
- 17', Rony Lopes 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Elisor S. ⚽, Sa G. (A),
- 34', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
- 40', Paulo Victor 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Soares F. ⚽, Claudio Falcao (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Van de Looi T. 🟨,
- 52', Elisor S. 🟨,
- 56', Soares F. 🟨,
- 66', Topic M. ↓, De Amorim M. ↑,
- 67', Tomane ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
- 69', Moreno M. 🟨,
- 73', Ribeiro T. 🟨,
- 76', Aranda O. ↓, Gil Dias ↑,
- 76', Elisor S. ↓, Sejk V. ↑,
- 79', Rony Lopes ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
- 79', Soares F. ↓, Matias M. ↑,
- 90', Rafa Soares ↓, Pedro Bondo ↑,
- 90', Ribeiro T. ↓, Raul Silva ↑,
- 90', Njie Y. ↓, Justo S. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Poveda D. ⚽, Claudio Falcao (A),
- 90+6', Bermejo A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Pedro Bondo 🟥,
Chances of winning
Farense 33.5% | Draw 29.6% | Famalicão 37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Farense - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.82 ↑ (2.6) |
3.2 ↓ (3.33) |
2.57 ↓ (2.7) |
5.6% (5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Farense - Famalicão?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Famalicão will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Famalicão: 23.4% – 70.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farense won 1.
- Farense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Famalicão is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Farense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Farense: Balde E.
(Inactive)
Moreno M.
(Inactive)
Neto
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Farense: Velho R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Famalicão: Zabiri Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Farense won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Farense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Famalicão?
Farense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Farense?
Famalicão has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Famalicão were as follows:
21.12.2024
Famalicão
-
Farense
1:2
10.02.2024
Farense
-
Famalicão
1:1
02.09.2023
Famalicão
-
Farense
1:0
Latest results of Farense
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2