Result
0:1
26/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 31
- Referee: Macedo C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (372/440) | 78% (287/366) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.03 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (372/440) | 78% (287/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (24/43) | 47% (26/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (69/108) | 63% (60/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/18) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 93% (14/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Van de Looi T. 🟨,
- 51', 0 - 1, De Haas J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 56', De Amorim M. 🟨,
- 76', Amaral P. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 83', De Amorim M. ↓, Pena M. ↑,
- 87', Elisor S. ↓, Abubakar U. ↑,
- 87', Sa G. ↓, Realpe L. ↑,
- 88', Ferro ↓, Marques A. ↑,
- 90+1', Gil Dias ↓, Garcia ↑,
Chances of winning
Estoril Praia
25.2% | Draw
25% | Famalicão
49.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estoril Praia's form might have worsened.Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Famalicão's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estoril Praia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Famalicão, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Estoril Praia - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.73 ↑
(3.03) |
3.78 ↑
(3.66) |
1.92 ↓
(2.34) |
5.2%
(3.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Famalicão?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Famalicão will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Famalicão: 23.8% – 76.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Famalicão (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 2.
- Recent form of Estoril has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Famalicão is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Estoril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Famalicão might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Estoril: Bimai L.
(Inactive)
Boma K.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estoril won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Famalicão?
Estoril Praia has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Estoril Praia?
Famalicão has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Famalicão were as follows:
14.12.2025
Famalicão
-
Estoril Praia
4:0
22.11.2025
Estoril Praia
-
Famalicão
1:2
12.04.2025
Famalicão
-
Estoril Praia
3:0
01.12.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Famalicão
2:1
28.04.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Famalicão
1:0
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
