Result
2:2
29/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 12
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | V+ TVI |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (323/393) | 82% (334/408) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (323/393) | 82% (334/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (22/47) | 34% (16/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (31/54) | 69% (82/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 50% (13/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Van de Looi T. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Zabiri Y. ⚽, Gil Dias (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Marcelo ↓, Kiko Bondoso ↑,
- 46', Kiko ↓, Michel ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Guilherme Schettine ⚽, Landerson (A),
- 57', 1 - 2, Sa G. ⚽, Ba I. (A),
- 64', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Semedo L. ↑,
- 64', Bernardo ↓, Sousa V. ↑,
- 73', Maracas 🟨,
- 73', De Haas J. 🟨,
- 75', Alanzinho 🟨,
- 79', Pinheiro R. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 2, Pinto D. ⚽, Alanzinho (A),
- 81', Zabiri Y. ↓, Elisor S. ↑,
- 83', Stjepanovic M. ↓, Assis A. ↑,
- 83', Carevic L. 🟨,
- 88', De Amorim M. 🟨,
- 88', Sousa V. 🟨,
- 88', Maracas 🟨,
- 90+3', Sorriso ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Moreirense
29.3% | Draw
29.6% | Famalicão
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Famalicão could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Moreirense - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↓
(3.63) |
3.2 ↓
(3.32) |
2.32 ↑
(2.07) |
5%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Moreirense - Famalicão?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Famalicão will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moreirense: 6.6% – 60%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Famalicão (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 1.
- Moreirense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Famalicão is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Famalicão may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Moreirense has had a series of away games.
- Famalicão will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Moreirense: Kiko Bondoso
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
Beney R.
(Inactive)
Pastor G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Moreirense: Ofori L.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Famalicão?
Moreirense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Moreirense?
Famalicão has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Famalicão were as follows:
23.02.2025
Famalicão
-
Moreirense
2:0
21.09.2024
Moreirense
-
Famalicão
0:0
28.01.2024
Moreirense
-
Famalicão
1:0
21.08.2023
Famalicão
-
Moreirense
0:0
Latest results of Moreirense
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 44:7 | 37 | 62 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 59:12 | 47 | 58 |
| 3 | Benfica | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 49:13 | 36 | 55 |
| 4 | Braga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 48:22 | 26 | 42 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 34:21 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 35 |
| 7 | Estoril | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:39 | 7 | 33 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 27:34 | -7 | 31 |
| 10 | Alverca | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 23:38 | -15 | 26 |
| 11 | Arouca | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 31:49 | -18 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 23 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 25:43 | -18 | 22 |
| 14 | Nacional | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 20 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 18:29 | -11 | 18 |
| 17 | Tondela | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 17:36 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | AFS | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
