Result
10/04/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 29
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
Chances of winning
Famalicão
64.4% | Draw
22.5% | Moreirense
13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Famalicão's performance.Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Famalicão that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Famalicão - Moreirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.7) |
4.21 ↑
(3.88) |
7.29 ↑
(5.44) |
5.5%
(3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Famalicão - Moreirense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Famalicão (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Famalicão will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 1.
- Famalicão is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Moreirense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Famalicão is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Moreirense: Martinez A.
(Muscle Injury)
Michel
(Muscle Injury)
Pinto D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Santos L.
(Injury)
Sousa V.
(Leg Injury)
Yan Maranhao
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Famalicão: De Amorim M.
(Injury)
Rochinha
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Moreirense: Teguia C.
(Injury)
- We predict that Famalicão will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Moreirense?
Famalicão has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Famalicão?
Moreirense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Famalicão - Moreirense were as follows:
29.11.2025
Moreirense
-
Famalicão
2:2
23.02.2025
Famalicão
-
Moreirense
2:0
21.09.2024
Moreirense
-
Famalicão
0:0
28.01.2024
Moreirense
-
Famalicão
1:0
21.08.2023
Famalicão
-
Moreirense
0:0
Latest results of Famalicão
Latest results of Moreirense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 56:13 | 43 | 73 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 72:17 | 55 | 68 |
| 3 | Benfica | 28 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 59:18 | 41 | 66 |
| 4 | Braga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 54:27 | 27 | 49 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 35:24 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Estoril | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 50:47 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 31:40 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 | Alverca | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:46 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 | Arouca | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 37:57 | -20 | 32 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 29:48 | -19 | 30 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:35 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 33:47 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | Nacional | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 31:39 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 27:49 | -22 | 25 |
| 17 | Tondela | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 18:61 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
