Result
2:2
23/02/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 23
- Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.65 | 0.77 |
Ball Possession |
---|
61% | 39% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
12 | 17 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
3 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 16 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 16 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 23 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
16 | 19 |
Passes |
---|
80% (306/381) | 67% (159/237) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
64% (57/89) | 51% (47/92) |
Crosses |
---|
15% (3/20) | 38% (8/21) |
Tackles |
---|
69% (11/16) | 82% (9/11) |
Clearances Total |
---|
38 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', Jorge A. 🟨,
- 42', Derick Poloni 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Derick Poloni ⚽, Jorge A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Gozalbez P. ↓, Nandin D. ↑,
- 46', Araujo H. ↓, Jason ↑,
- 53', Simao D. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 1, Trezza A. ⚽,
- 67', 2 - 1, Nandin D. ⚽, Lamba C. (A),
- 72', Jorge A. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
- 72', Derick Poloni ↓, Lucas Africo ↑,
- 72', Soares F. ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
- 79', Sylla M. ↓, Loum M. ↑,
- 82', Fukui T. 🟨,
- 82', Simao D. ↓, Pedro Santos ↑,
- 86', Paulo Victor 🟨,
- 88', Menino M. ↓, Matias M. ↑,
- 88', Moreno M. ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Tomane ⚽,
- 90+7', Fukui T. ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arouca 51% | Draw 27.3% | Farense 21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Arouca - Farense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.85 ↓ (1.87) |
3.46 ↑ (3.43) |
4.37 ↑ (4.24) |
5.9% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arouca - Farense?
Users Predictions:
Arouca will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 2.
- Arouca is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Farense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Arouca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Arouca is a favorite.
- There will not play in Arouca: Mantl N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Farense: Ze Carlos
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Arouca: Galovic N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Farense: Neto
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Arouca won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Farense?
Arouca has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Arouca?
Farense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Farense were as follows:
23.11.2024
Arouca
-
Farense
1:2
22.09.2024
Farense
-
Arouca
0:1
30.03.2024
Arouca
-
Farense
2:1
06.11.2023
Farense
-
Arouca
2:0
Latest results of Farense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2