Result
0:2
05/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 8
- Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Asia | TOD |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.63 | 2.87 |
Ball Possession |
---|
44% | 56% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
78% (240/307) | 81% (325/403) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.63 | 2.87 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.27 | 2.32 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 27 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 22 |
Passes |
---|
78% (240/307) | 81% (325/403) |
Long passes |
---|
31% (11/35) | 46% (26/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (62/100) | 68% (56/82) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (3/16) | 44% (4/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.02 | 1.01 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
22 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
36% (4/11) | 86% (18/21) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 61 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.32 | 0.27 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.32 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Ugrekhelidze N. 🟨,
- 29', Kizildag A. 🟨,
- 29', Camara D. 🟨,
- 44', Maxim A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Abena M. ↓, Guler S. ↑,
- 46', Cukur T. ↓, Camacho J. ↑,
- 46', Gray A. ↓, Fofana D. D. ↑,
- 55', 0 - 1, Maxim A. (Pen),
- 66', Larsson S. ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 67', Kizildag A. ↓, Sanuc T. T. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 2, Kozlowski K. ⚽, Lungoyi C. (A),
- 80', Bayo M. ↓, Kabadayi Y. ↑,
- 81', Balkovec J. ↓, Kurukalip C. ↑,
- 81', Ozcan B. ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
- 86', Kabasakal M. ↓, Ndiaye B. ↑,
- 86', Camara D. ↓, Bacuna J. ↑,
- 90+8', Fofana D. D. (Pen),
- 90+12', Kabadayi Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor 34.1% | Draw 28.5% | Gaziantep 37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Gaziantep has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gaziantep Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.77 ↑ (2.61) |
3.32 ↑ (3.3) |
2.51 ↓ (2.75) |
6.1% (5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gaziantep?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Gaziantep will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karagümrük: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1.
- Karagümrük has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gaziantep is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Gaziantep may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Gaziantep: Ablak A.
(Knee Injury)
M'Bakata S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Gaziantep: Boateng E.
(Inactive)
Kabadayi Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.7:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Gaziantep?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gaziantep won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Gaziantep has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gaziantep were as follows:
18.05.2024
Gaziantep
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
3:1
23.12.2023
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Gaziantep
0:3
13.11.2022
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Gaziantep
3:3
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Gaziantep
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Galatasaray | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20:3 | 17 | 22 |
2 | Trabzonspor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
3 | Goztepe | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 16 |
4 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 16 |
5 | Gaziantep | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
6 | Besiktas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 13 |
7 | Samsunspor | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Konyaspor | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
9 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
10 | Antalyaspor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
11 | Kasimpasa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
12 | Rizespor | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
13 | Basaksehir | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
14 | Genclerbirligi | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
15 | Kocaelispor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
16 | Eyupspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
17 | Kayserispor | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:17 | -12 | 5 |
18 | Karagumruk | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig