Result
0:2
05/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 8
- Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 2.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (240/307) | 81% (325/403) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 2.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (240/307) | 81% (325/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (11/35) | 46% (26/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (62/100) | 68% (56/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 86% (18/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Ugrekhelidze N. 🟨,
- 29', Kizildag A. 🟨,
- 29', Camara D. 🟨,
- 44', Maxim A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Abena M. ↓, Guler S. ↑,
- 46', Cukur T. ↓, Camacho J. ↑,
- 46', Gray A. ↓, Fofana D. D. ↑,
- 55', 0 - 1, Maxim A. (Pen),
- 66', Larsson S. ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 67', Kizildag A. ↓, Sanuc T. T. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 2, Kozlowski K. ⚽, Lungoyi C. (A),
- 80', Bayo M. ↓, Kabadayi Y. ↑,
- 81', Balkovec J. ↓, Kurukalip C. ↑,
- 81', Ozcan B. ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
- 86', Kabasakal M. ↓, Ndiaye B. ↑,
- 86', Camara D. ↓, Bacuna J. ↑,
- 90+8', Fofana D. D. (Pen),
- 90+12', Kabadayi Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor
34.1% | Draw
28.5% | Gaziantep
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Gaziantep has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gaziantep Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↑
(2.61) |
3.32 ↑
(3.3) |
2.51 ↓
(2.75) |
6.1%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gaziantep?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Gaziantep will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karagümrük: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1.
- Karagümrük has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gaziantep is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Gaziantep may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Gaziantep: Ablak A.
(Knee Injury)
M'Bakata S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Gaziantep: Boateng E.
(Inactive)
Kabadayi Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.7:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Gaziantep?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gaziantep won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Gaziantep has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gaziantep were as follows:
18.05.2024
Gaziantep
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
3:1
23.12.2023
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Gaziantep
0:3
13.11.2022
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Gaziantep
3:3
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Gaziantep
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 25:5 | 20 | 28 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Besiktas | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Konyaspor | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Alanyaspor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Basaksehir | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Antalyaspor | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Kasimpasa | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Genclerbirligi | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Eyupspor | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8:22 | -14 | 6 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
