Result
1:1
08/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (321/388) | 82% (341/415) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (321/388) | 82% (341/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (23/56) | 60% (34/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (47/85) | 63% (73/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 5% (1/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Rodrigues K. ↓, Abena M. ↑,
- 33', Mladenovic F. 🟨,
- 45+1', Biraschi D. ↓, Kurucuk F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kabasakal M. ↓, Sorescu D. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 0, Maxim A. ⚽, Bayo M. (A),
- 59', Camara D. ↓, Gidado V. ↑,
- 59', Verde D. ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
- 59', Larsson S. ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 59', Kranevitter M. ↓, Babicka S. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Serginho ⚽, Cukur T. (A),
- 68', Lungoyi C. 🟨,
- 69', Sanuc T. T. 🟨,
- 72', Perez L. ↓, Sangare N. ↑,
- 72', Gassama K. ↓, Kabadayi Y. ↑,
- 80', Kalayci B. ↓, Kone ↑,
- 90+5', Kabadayi Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gaziantep
46.6% | Draw
27% | Fatih Karagümrükspor
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gaziantep's form might have worsened.Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Gaziantep - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.82) |
3.48 ↓
(3.83) |
3.59 ↓
(4.04) |
5.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gaziantep - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Gaziantep will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaziantep: 46.4% – 99%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gaziantep will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 4.
- Recent form of Gaziantep has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Karagümrük has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Gaziantep may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Gaziantep is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Gaziantep: Ablak A.
(Knee Injury)
Kozlowski K.
(Yellow Cards)
M'Bakata S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Karagümrük: Camacho J.
(Inactive)
Cinar A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Gaziantep: Ndiaye B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Karagümrük: Biraschi D.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gaziantep won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Gaziantep won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Gaziantep has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Gaziantep?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gaziantep - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
05.10.2025
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Gaziantep
0:2
18.05.2024
Gaziantep
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
3:1
23.12.2023
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Gaziantep
0:3
13.11.2022
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Gaziantep
3:3
Latest results of Gaziantep
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 62:18 | 44 | 64 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 27 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 61:28 | 33 | 60 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 53:29 | 24 | 60 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 49:31 | 18 | 52 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 44:30 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 30:20 | 10 | 43 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 29:31 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 33 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:46 | -10 | 33 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 31 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 12 | Konyaspor | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 25:43 | -18 | 25 |
| 15 | Kasimpasa | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 24 |
| 16 | Kayserispor | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 21:48 | -27 | 23 |
| 17 | Eyupspor | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19:38 | -19 | 22 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 24:47 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
