Fatih Karagümrükspor vs Gaziantep – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Super League Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gaziantep
Result
0:2
05/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 8
  • Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.632.87
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
78% (240/307)81% (325/403)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.632.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.272.32
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2527
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1522
Passes
78% (240/307)81% (325/403)
Long passes
31% (11/35)46% (26/56)
Passes in final third
62% (62/100)68% (56/82)
Crosses
19% (3/16)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.021.01
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
2215
Tackles
36% (4/11)86% (18/21)
Duels won
3961
Clearances
2117
Interceptions
1113
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.320.27
Goals prevented
0.320.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Ugrekhelidze N. 🟨,
  • 29', Kizildag A. 🟨,
  • 29', Camara D. 🟨,
  • 44', Maxim A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Abena M. , Guler S. ,
  • 46', Cukur T. , Camacho J. ,
  • 46', Gray A. , Fofana D. D. ,
  • 55', 0 - 1, Maxim A. (Pen),
  • 66', Larsson S. , Serginho ,
  • 67', Kizildag A. , Sanuc T. T. ,
  • 69', 0 - 2, Kozlowski K. , Lungoyi C. (A),
  • 80', Bayo M. , Kabadayi Y. ,
  • 81', Balkovec J. , Kurukalip C. ,
  • 81', Ozcan B. , Sivri A. ,
  • 86', Kabasakal M. , Ndiaye B. ,
  • 86', Camara D. , Bacuna J. ,
  • 90+8', Fofana D. D. (Pen),
  • 90+12', Kabadayi Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fatih Karagümrükspor
34.1%
Draw
28.5%
Gaziantep
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 28.9% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 29.4% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Gaziantep has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gaziantep Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.77
    (2.61)
    3.32
    (3.3)
    2.51
    (2.75)
    6.1%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gaziantep?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Gaziantep will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Karagümrük: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1.
    • Karagümrük has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gaziantep is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gaziantep may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Gaziantep: Ablak A. (Knee Injury) M'Bakata S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gaziantep: Boateng E. (Inactive) Kabadayi Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.7:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gaziantep were as follows:
    18.05.2024 Gaziantep - Fatih Karagümrükspor 3:1
    23.12.2023 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gaziantep 0:3
    13.11.2022 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gaziantep 3:3
    Latest results of Gaziantep
    27.09.2025 Gaziantep - Samsunspor 2:2
    20.09.2025 Trabzonspor - Gaziantep 1:1
    14.09.2025 Gaziantep - Kocaelispor 2:0
    30.08.2025 Kasımpaşa - Gaziantep 2:3
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray871020:31722
    2Trabzonspor852113:6717
    3Goztepe844011:2916
    4Fenerbahce844012:5716
    5Gaziantep842212:12014
    6Besiktas741212:9313
    7Samsunspor834110:8213
    8Konyaspor732213:9411
    9Alanyaspor824210:9110
    10Antalyaspor83149:13-410
    11Kasimpasa82338:9-19
    12Rizespor72239:11-28
    13Basaksehir71336:7-16
    14Genclerbirligi81257:12-55
    15Kocaelispor81255:12-75
    16Eyupspor81254:11-75
    17Kayserispor80535:17-125
    18Karagumruk81077:18-113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig