Result
17/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Chances of winning
Real Madrid Castilla
26.7% | Draw
27.6% | Ferrol
45.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid Castilla's form might have worsened.Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferrol's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid Castilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferrol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Madrid Castilla - Ferrol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.29 ↑
(2.5) |
3.38 ↑
(3) |
2.05 ↓
(2.6) |
8.8%
(11.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Real Madrid Castilla - Ferrol?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ferrol will win (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Real Madrid Castilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Real Madrid Castilla has had a series of home games.
- Ferrol will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Ferrol?
Real Madrid Castilla has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Ferrol has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Ferrol were as follows:
02.08.2025
Real Madrid Castilla
-
Ferrol
2:1
01.08.2024
Real Madrid Castilla
-
Ferrol
0:3
21.01.2023
Real Madrid Castilla
-
Ferrol
0:0
04.09.2022
Ferrol
-
Real Madrid Castilla
2:1
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Osasuna B | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Arenas Getxo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Barakaldo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Ponferradina | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Racing Club Ferrol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Real Madrid B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Arenteiro | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Guadalajara | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Merida AD | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Cacereno | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Ath Bilbao B | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | Zamora | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Ourense CF | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Lugo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 19 | Real Aviles | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Unionistas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
