Real Madrid Castilla vs Ferrol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Real Madrid Castilla - Ferrol
Result
0:1
17/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', Garcia S. 🟨,
  • 12', Parera P. M. 🟨,
  • 39', 🟨,
  • 45+5', 0 - 1, Pascu ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid Castilla
26.7%
Draw
27.6%
Ferrol
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 29.8% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 30.1% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid Castilla's form might have worsened.
  • Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferrol's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid Castilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferrol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Real Madrid Castilla - Ferrol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.29
    (2.5)
    3.38
    (3)
    2.05
    (2.6)
    8.8%
    (11.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Real Madrid Castilla - Ferrol?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ferrol will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Real Madrid Castilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Real Madrid Castilla has had a series of home games.
    • Ferrol will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Ferrol were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Real Madrid Castilla - Ferrol 2:1
    01.08.2024 Real Madrid Castilla - Ferrol 0:3
    21.01.2023 Real Madrid Castilla - Ferrol 0:0
    04.09.2022 Ferrol - Real Madrid Castilla 2:1
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Latest results of Ferrol
    14.09.2025 Ferrol - Ponferradina 2:1
    23.08.2025 Ferrol - Celta de Vigo B 0:3
    16.08.2025 Ferrol - Ponferradina 1:1
    13.08.2025 Bergantiños - Ferrol 0:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife550013:11215
    2Celta Vigo B53118:4410
    3Guadalajara53116:3310
    4Racing Club Ferrol53116:4210
    5Zamora52305:149
    6CF Talavera52216:518
    7Ath Bilbao B52215:418
    8Osasuna B52213:308
    9Arenteiro52125:417
    10Real Aviles52127:8-17
    11Arenas Getxo52127:8-17
    12Pontevedra52124:5-17
    13Barakaldo51315:506
    14Cacereno51316:7-16
    15Ponferradina51135:6-14
    16Lugo51133:5-24
    17Unionistas51044:8-43
    18Real Madrid B51043:7-43
    19Merida AD51044:12-83
    20Ourense CF50233:8-52

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