Napoli vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples).

ITALY: Serie A - Round 28
Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 3, ART Sport 3
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 4 South
South-korea	SPOTV Prime+
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360
World	Disney+, Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.88	1.14
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Goal Attempts
19	7
Shots on Goal
11	2
Shots off Goal
4	4
Blocked Shots
4	1
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Shots inside the Box
14	4
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	9
Free Kicks
5	10
Offsides
0	1
Fouls
10	5
Yellow Cards
1	2
Throw-ins
19	20
Touches in the Opposition Box
28	16
Passes
86% (417/485)	84% (430/512)
Passes in the final third
72% (96/133)	72% (71/98)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	25% (3/12)
Tackles
63% (10/16)	71% (5/7)
Clearances Total
23	22
Interceptions
7	9

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Lukaku R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Buongiorno A. 🟨,
58', Parisi F. ↓, Gosens R. ↑,
59', Ranieri L. ↓, Pongracic M. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Raspadori G. ⚽, Lukaku R. (A),
64', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,
66', 2 - 1, Gudmundsson A. ⚽, Kean M. (A),
74', Comuzzo P. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
81', Cataldi D. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
82', Politano M. ↓, Olivera M. ↑,
86', McTominay S. ↓, Billing P. ↑,
87', Raspadori G. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
88', Pongracic M. 🟨,
90+1', Spinazzola L. ↓, Juan Jesus ↑,

Chances of winning

Napoli
60.3%

Draw
25%

Fiorentina
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25.3%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

24.4%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Napoli - Fiorentina Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.73)	3.85 ↑ (3.77)	6.48 ↑ (4.93)	4.1% (4.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : CBSSN

What is the prediction for Napoli - Fiorentina?

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (49 of 56 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.84% – 96.16%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Napoli won 3.
Recent matches Napoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Fiorentina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Napoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Napoli is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Calf Injury) David Neres (Thigh Injury) Mazzocchi P. (Injury)
There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Colpani A. (Foot Injury) Mandragora R. (Yellow Cards) Zaniolo N. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Fiorentina: Adli Y. (Ankle Injury) Folorunsho M. (Thigh Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Napoli won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 37:26 (average 1.9:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Napoli won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:14 (average 1.9:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Fiorentina?

Napoli has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Napoli?

Fiorentina has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Fiorentina were as follows:

04.01.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 0:3

17.05.2024 Fiorentina - Napoli 2:2

18.01.2024 Napoli - Fiorentina 3:0

08.10.2023 Napoli - Fiorentina 1:3

07.05.2023 Napoli - Fiorentina 1:0

Latest results of Napoli

01.03.2025 Napoli - Inter Milan 1:1 ✺

23.02.2025 Como - Napoli 2:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Lazio - Napoli 2:2 ✺

09.02.2025 Napoli - Udinese 1:1 ✺

02.02.2025 Roma - Napoli 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Fiorentina

06.03.2025 Panathinaikos - Fiorentina 3:2 ✺

28.02.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0 ✺

23.02.2025 Verona - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺

16.02.2025 Fiorentina - Como 0:2 ✺

10.02.2025 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pisa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cremonese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Inter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Torino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Parma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Verona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Como	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B