Result
2:1
09/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie A - Round 28
- Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Angola | Z Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | TLN, VIVA |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Europe | Go3 Sport 2 Baltic |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
Hungary | Net4+ |
India | GXR World |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
Israel | ONE Sport 2 |
Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 3, ART Sport 3 |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
South-africa | SuperSport Football |
South-america | ESPN 4 South |
South-korea | SPOTV Prime+ |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | CBS, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360 |
World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.88 | 1.14 |
Ball Possession |
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49% | 51% |
Goal Attempts |
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19 | 7 |
Shots on Goal |
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11 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
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4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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5 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
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14 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 9 |
Free Kicks |
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5 | 10 |
Offsides |
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0 | 1 |
Fouls |
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10 | 5 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 20 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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28 | 16 |
Passes |
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86% (417/485) | 84% (430/512) |
Passes in the final third |
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72% (96/133) | 72% (71/98) |
Crosses |
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18% (3/17) | 25% (3/12) |
Tackles |
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63% (10/16) | 71% (5/7) |
Clearances Total |
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23 | 22 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Lukaku R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Buongiorno A. 🟨,
- 58', Parisi F. ↓, Gosens R. ↑,
- 59', Ranieri L. ↓, Pongracic M. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 0, Raspadori G. ⚽, Lukaku R. (A),
- 64', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,
- 66', 2 - 1, Gudmundsson A. ⚽, Kean M. (A),
- 74', Comuzzo P. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
- 81', Cataldi D. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
- 82', Politano M. ↓, Olivera M. ↑,
- 86', McTominay S. ↓, Billing P. ↑,
- 87', Raspadori G. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
- 88', Pongracic M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Spinazzola L. ↓, Juan Jesus ↑,
Chances of winning
Napoli 60.3% | Draw 25% | Fiorentina 14.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Napoli - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.6 ↓ (1.73) |
3.85 ↑ (3.77) |
6.48 ↑ (4.93) |
4.1% (4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fubo (for US customers) Network on : CBSSN
What is the prediction for Napoli - Fiorentina?
Users Predictions:
Napoli will win
(49 of 56 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.84% – 96.16%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Napoli won 3.
- Recent matches Napoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Fiorentina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Napoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Napoli is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F.
(Calf Injury)
David Neres
(Thigh Injury)
Mazzocchi P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E.
(Heart Problems)
Colpani A.
(Foot Injury)
Mandragora R.
(Yellow Cards)
Zaniolo N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Fiorentina: Adli Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Folorunsho M.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Napoli won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 37:26 (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Napoli won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:14 (average 1.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Fiorentina?
Napoli has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Napoli?
Fiorentina has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Fiorentina were as follows:
04.01.2025
Fiorentina
-
Napoli
0:3
17.05.2024
Fiorentina
-
Napoli
2:2
18.01.2024
Napoli
-
Fiorentina
3:0
08.10.2023
Napoli
-
Fiorentina
1:3
07.05.2023
Napoli
-
Fiorentina
1:0
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B