Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Exercise Stadium (Harrogate).

League Two - Round 29
Referee: Mackey O. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.54	1.67
Ball possession
54%	46%
Total shots
18	15
Shots on target
4	5
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
6	5
Passes
72% (265/367)	62% (201/324)
Yellow cards
2	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.54	1.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.28	2.17
Total shots
18	15
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
11	6
Blocked shots
3	4
Shots inside the box
13	9
Shots outside the box
5	6
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
21	18
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
11	9
Passes
72% (265/367)	62% (201/324)
Long passes
36% (27/76)	28% (24/85)
Passes in final third
60% (71/119)	42% (45/106)
Crosses
32% (8/25)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.40	1.10
Throw ins
29	23
Fouls
9	11
Tackles
33% (4/12)	74% (14/19)
Duels won
51	65
Clearances
38	27
Interceptions
10	5
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	3
xGOT faced
2.17	1.28
Goals prevented
0.17	0.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Neal H. ↓, Virtue-Thick M. ↑,
24', Morris B. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Evans C. ⚽, Powell J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gray H. ↓, Oxley M. ↑,
56', Davies W. 🟨,
62', Rooney S. ↓, Mullarkey T. ↑,
67', Gibson L. ↓, Cass L. ↑,
67', Thomson G. ↓, Marsh A. ↑,
75', Headman C. 🟨,
77', Powell J. ↓, Hughes K. ↑,
77', Davies W. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,
78', Haughey C. 🟨,
81', Sutton E. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Marsh A. ⚽, Oxley M. (A),
85', Bonds E. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 2, Virtue-Thick M. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Harrogate Town
26.9%

Draw
27.3%

Fleetwood Town
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

28.7%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

27.6%

43.3%

Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.1)	3.44 ↑ (3.2)	2.05 ↓ (2.2)	6.7% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Fleetwood (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fleetwood Town will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 5 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 15).
In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.
Fleetwood might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Harrogate: Bradbury T. (Injury) Duke-McKenna S. (Injury) Faulkner B. (Inactive) Fox B. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Inactive) Taylor E. (Inactive)
There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D. (Inactive) Johnson W. (Inactive) Potter F. (Injury)
There are questionable in Harrogate: Hill T. (Injury) O'Connor A. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J. (Inactive) McCann L. (Inactive) Norwood J. (Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Fleetwood Town?

Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Harrogate Town?

Fleetwood Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town were as follows:

11.10.2025 Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town 3:2

21.04.2025 Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town 3:1

29.12.2024 Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town 1:1

Latest results of Harrogate Town

24.01.2026 Harrogate Town - Gillingham 0:3 ✺

17.01.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Harrogate Town 1:0 ✺

13.01.2026 Stockport County - Harrogate Town 2:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Harrogate Town 1:1 ✺

01.01.2026 Harrogate Town - Tranmere Rovers 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Fleetwood Town

24.01.2026 Colchester United - Fleetwood Town 2:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Fleetwood Town - Cambridge United 1:2 ✺

13.01.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Fleetwood Town 3:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Fleetwood Town - Cheltenham Town Postponed ✺

09.01.2026 Port Vale - Fleetwood Town 1:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	30	18	8	4	54:32	22	62
2	Notts Co	30	17	6	7	46:30	16	57
3	Cambridge Utd	30	16	8	6	42:24	18	56
4	Swindon	30	17	4	9	50:34	16	55
5	MK Dons	30	15	9	6	59:33	26	54
6	Salford	29	16	4	9	41:35	6	52
7	Walsall	30	14	7	9	38:31	7	49
8	Chesterfield	30	12	12	6	49:41	8	48
9	Crewe	31	13	8	10	47:38	9	47
10	Barnet	30	12	10	8	40:31	9	46
11	Colchester	29	12	9	8	43:31	12	45
12	Grimsby	29	12	9	8	41:32	9	45
13	Accrington	29	12	7	10	35:30	5	43
14	Gillingham	29	10	11	8	40:36	4	41
15	Fleetwood	29	10	7	12	38:39	-1	37
16	Oldham	28	8	11	9	28:29	-1	35
17	Tranmere	30	8	8	14	43:51	-8	32
18	Cheltenham	29	9	3	17	29:51	-22	30
19	Bristol Rovers	30	8	3	19	28:50	-22	27
20	Crawley	31	6	8	17	32:51	-19	26
21	Shrewsbury	30	6	8	16	25:50	-25	26
22	Barrow	29	6	6	17	30:46	-16	24
23	Newport	29	5	6	18	29:54	-25	21
24	Harrogate	31	5	6	20	22:50	-28	21

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League