Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town
Result
3:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 44
  • Referee: Rhodes G. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.36
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
62% (180/290)67% (258/384)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.36
xG on target (xGOT)
3.570.30
Total shots
189
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2917
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
62% (180/290)67% (258/384)
Long passes
38% (28/74)32% (28/87)
Passes in final third
50% (54/108)51% (57/111)
Crosses
8% (2/24)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.57
Fouls
1317
Tackles
44% (7/16)40% (4/10)
Duels won
8461
Clearances Total
2240
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.303.57
Goals prevented
-0.33-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Asare Z. 🟨,
  • 19', Moore K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 48', Bennett R. 🟨,
  • 51', 0 - 1, Moore K. , Hunt M. (A),
  • 56', 1 - 1, Moon J. ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Taylor E. , March J. (A),
  • 62', Morrison G. , Neal H. ,
  • 67', Dooley S. , Daly J. ,
  • 72', Bennett R. , Medley Z. ,
  • 72', Potter F. , Mayor D. ,
  • 72', Helm M. , Johnson W. ,
  • 73', Moore K. , Patterson P. ,
  • 79', Fox B. 🟨,
  • 86', March J. , Cursons T. ,
  • 90+6', Bilongo B. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 3 - 1, Cursons T. , Taylor E. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Harrogate Town
38.9%
Draw
29.1%
Fleetwood Town
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 28.2% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 27.5% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fleetwood Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Harrogate Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fleetwood Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.72)
    3.24
    (3.33)
    2.92
    (2.51)
    6.2%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Harrogate Town will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 14).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Harrogate: Burrell W. (Inactive) Cornelius D. (Inactive) Foulds M. (Groin Injury) Hill T. (Injury) Moorby J. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Injury) Thomson G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Fleetwood: Coughlan R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Graydon R. (Injury) Holgate H. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fleetwood: Harrington D. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town 1:1
    Latest results of Harrogate Town
    Latest results of Fleetwood Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League