Result
1:2
27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 29
- Referee: Mackey O. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.67 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (265/367) | 62% (201/324) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (265/367) | 62% (201/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (27/76) | 28% (24/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (71/119) | 42% (45/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Neal H. ↓, Virtue-Thick M. ↑,
- 24', Morris B. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Evans C. ⚽, Powell J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gray H. ↓, Oxley M. ↑,
- 56', Davies W. 🟨,
- 62', Rooney S. ↓, Mullarkey T. ↑,
- 67', Gibson L. ↓, Cass L. ↑,
- 67', Thomson G. ↓, Marsh A. ↑,
- 75', Headman C. 🟨,
- 77', Powell J. ↓, Hughes K. ↑,
- 77', Davies W. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,
- 78', Haughey C. 🟨,
- 81', Sutton E. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Marsh A. ⚽, Oxley M. (A),
- 85', Bonds E. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Virtue-Thick M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Harrogate Town
26.9% | Draw
27.3% | Fleetwood Town
45.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.48 ↑
(3.1) |
3.44 ↑
(3.2) |
2.05 ↓
(2.2) |
6.7%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 44.1% – 94.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Fleetwood (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fleetwood Town will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 15).
- In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.
- Fleetwood might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
Duke-McKenna S.
(Injury)
Faulkner B.
(Inactive)
Fox B.
(Inactive)
Sutton L.
(Inactive)
Taylor E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D.
(Inactive)
Johnson W.
(Inactive)
Potter F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Hill T.
(Injury)
O'Connor A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Inactive)
McCann L.
(Inactive)
Norwood J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Fleetwood Town?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Harrogate Town?
Fleetwood Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
11.10.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Harrogate Town
3:2
21.04.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Fleetwood Town
3:1
29.12.2024
Fleetwood Town
-
Harrogate Town
1:1
Latest results of Harrogate Town
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
