Result
3:0
13/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 27
- Referee: Kaivoja K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Sappinen R. ⚽, Andreas D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Sild J. ↓, Villota M. ↑,
- 59', Tougjas E. 🟨,
- 63', Kaares A. ↓, Alliku R. ↑,
- 63', Hussar K. ↓, Kukk M. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Alliku R. ⚽, Kuraksin D. (A),
- 68', Veensalu E. ↓, Kauber K. ↑,
- 68', Paalberg M. ↓, Poder J. ↑,
- 72', Teevali T. ↓, Alamaa S. ↑,
- 72', Andreas D. ↓, Kreida V. ↑,
- 79', Kuraksin D. ↓, Zenjov S. ↑,
- 79', Pajo T. ↓, Kolvart S. ↑,
- 86', Kapper S. ↓, Dolgov E. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 0, Mihhailov N. ⚽, Sappinen R. (A),
Chances of winning
Flora Tallinn
64.4% | Draw
20.5% | Pärnu Vaprus
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flora Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flora Tallinn that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Flora Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.34) |
4.51 ↓
(4.75) |
6.13 ↓
(7.6) |
8.2%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Flora Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Flora will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Pärnu Vaprus will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flora (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flora won 3.
- In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
- Recently, Flora has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Flora is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Flora will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flora won 17 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 57:8. (average 2.9:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flora won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:5. (average 2.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Flora Tallinn won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Flora Tallinn has won 10 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Flora Tallinn?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flora Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
02.05.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Flora Tallinn
0:3
08.03.2025
Flora Tallinn
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:1
29.09.2024
Flora Tallinn
-
Pärnu Vaprus
3:0
23.08.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Flora Tallinn
0:1
11.05.2024
Flora Tallinn
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:1
Latest results of Flora Tallinn
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flora | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:21 | 37 | 60 |
| 2 | Levadia | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 65:23 | 42 | 60 |
| 3 | Paide | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 43:22 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju | 25 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 50:29 | 21 | 47 |
| 5 | Narva | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 46:33 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 45:37 | 8 | 39 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 27 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 35:62 | -27 | 23 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 27:53 | -26 | 19 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 25:55 | -30 | 17 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 26 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 24:83 | -59 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
