Result
0:3
02/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 11
- Referee: Kaivoja K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 26', 0 - 1, Sappinen R. ⚽, Kolobov M. (A),
- 44', 0 - 2, Tougjas E. ⚽, Zenjov S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 65', Kalmokov N. ↓, Lukka M. ↑,
- 65', Alliku R. ↓, Kuraksin D. ↑,
- 65', Zenjov S. ↓, Poom M. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 3, Kalimullin M. ⚽, Hussar K. (A),
- 71', Veensalu E. ↓, Limberg M. ↑,
- 71', Poder J. ↓, Madissoo R. ↑,
- 71', Vallik V. ↓, Kauber K. ↑,
- 76', Tougjas E. ↓, Veering R. ↑,
- 80', Kalimullin M. ↓, Alamaa S. ↑,
- 84', Lipp M. ↓, Aer S. ↑,
- 84', Pajo T. ↓, Orm R. ↑,
- 90', Madissoo R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pärnu Vaprus
11.5% | Draw
19.6% | Flora Tallinn
68.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pärnu Vaprus's form might have worsened.Flora Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flora Tallinn's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pärnu Vaprus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flora Tallinn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pärnu Vaprus - Flora Tallinn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8 ↑
(5.31) |
4.68 ↑
(4.4) |
1.34 ↓
(1.51) |
8.7%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pärnu Vaprus - Flora Tallinn?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Pärnu Vaprus will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Flora will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Flora (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 2.
- Pärnu Vaprus is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Flora is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Flora is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 17 matches, and goals 8:60. (average 0.4:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu Vaprus won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 3:40. (average 0.3:3.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Flora Tallinn?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flora Tallinn won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Flora Tallinn has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pärnu Vaprus - Flora Tallinn were as follows:
08.03.2025
Flora Tallinn
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:1
29.09.2024
Flora Tallinn
-
Pärnu Vaprus
3:0
23.08.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Flora Tallinn
0:1
11.05.2024
Flora Tallinn
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:1
14.04.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Flora Tallinn
1:3
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Latest results of Flora Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 51:16 | 35 | 50 |
| 2 | Flora | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 45:18 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Paide | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 33:18 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Kalju | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 41 |
| 5 | Narva | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 35 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 27:44 | -17 | 19 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 9 | Harju JK Laagri | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 23:44 | -21 | 16 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 21 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 21:67 | -46 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
