River Plate Montevideo vs Fluminense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores River Plate Montevideo - Fluminense
Result
2:0
07/06/2023 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
  • Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Chances of winning


River Plate Montevideo
56.1%
Draw
24.2%
Fluminense
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 27.2% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 26.2% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.
  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • River Plate Montevideo - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (2.08)
    3.85
    (3.42)
    4.73
    (3.33)
    6.8%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for River Plate Montevideo - Fluminense?
  • Users Predictions: River Plate Montevideo will win (54 of 61 users predict this - 88.52%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.52%96.52%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches River Plate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Fluminense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Fluminense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Fluminense have a series of guest games.
    • In this match River Plate is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Fluminense were as follows:
    02.05.2023 Fluminense - River Plate Montevideo 5:1
    Latest results of Fluminense
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)