River Plate Montevideo vs Fluminense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores River Plate Montevideo - Fluminense
Result
2:0
07/06/2023 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
  • Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Chances of winning


River Plate Montevideo
56.1%
Draw
24.2%
Fluminense
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 27.2% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 26.2% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.
  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • River Plate Montevideo - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (2.08)
    3.85
    (3.42)
    4.73
    (3.33)
    6.8%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for River Plate Montevideo - Fluminense?
  • Users Predictions: River Plate Montevideo will win (54 of 61 users predict this - 88.52%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.52%96.52%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches River Plate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Fluminense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Fluminense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Fluminense have a series of guest games.
    • In this match River Plate is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Fluminense were as follows:
    02.05.2023 Fluminense - River Plate Montevideo 5:1
    Latest results of Fluminense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ