Result
3:2
31/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 31', 0 - 1, Sartori F. (Own goal),
- 33', 1 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽, Malaponti F. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Uva L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 60', 2 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽, Raschi J. (A),
- 84', 3 - 2, De Nicolo G. ⚽, Raschi J. (A),
Chances of winning
Folgore
78.4% | Draw
15.5% | Murata
6.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Folgore has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Folgore's performance.Murata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murata than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Folgore - Murata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.16 ↓
(1.32) |
5.87 ↑
(4.66) |
14.93 ↑
(8.23) |
9.8%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 4.
- Folgore is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Murata is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Folgore is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:8. (average 1.7:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Folgore won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Folgore won against Murata?
Folgore has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Murata won against Folgore?
Murata has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Folgore - Murata were as follows:
28.09.2025
Murata
-
Folgore
0:2
08.03.2025
Murata
-
Folgore
0:1
08.11.2024
Folgore
-
Murata
1:0
23.10.2024
Murata
-
Folgore
0:0
24.09.2024
Folgore
-
Murata
1:0
Latest results of Folgore
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 55:12 | 43 | 63 |
| 2 | Virtus | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 56:17 | 39 | 62 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 57:15 | 42 | 60 |
| 4 | Folgore | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 49 |
| 5 | La Fiorita | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 55:22 | 33 | 47 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 42 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 28:37 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 27:19 | 8 | 38 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Libertas | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 30:48 | -18 | 32 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25:51 | -26 | 24 |
| 13 | Faetano | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 20:50 | -30 | 19 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22:52 | -30 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19:56 | -37 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 26 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 16:67 | -51 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
