Result
3:2
31/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 31', 0 - 1, Sartori F. (Own goal),
- 33', 1 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽, Malaponti F. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Uva L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 60', 2 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽, Raschi J. (A),
- 84', 3 - 2, De Nicolo G. ⚽, Raschi J. (A),
Chances of winning
Folgore
78.4% | Draw
15.5% | Murata
6.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Folgore has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Folgore's performance.Murata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murata than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Folgore - Murata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.16 ↓
(1.32) |
5.87 ↑
(4.66) |
14.93 ↑
(8.23) |
9.8%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 4.
- Folgore is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Murata is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Folgore is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:8. (average 1.7:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Folgore won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Folgore won against Murata?
Folgore has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Murata won against Folgore?
Murata has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Folgore - Murata were as follows:
28.09.2025
Murata
-
Folgore
0:2
08.03.2025
Murata
-
Folgore
0:1
08.11.2024
Folgore
-
Murata
1:0
23.10.2024
Murata
-
Folgore
0:0
24.09.2024
Folgore
-
Murata
1:0
Latest results of Folgore
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Virtus | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 50:11 | 39 | 56 |
| 2 | Tre Fiori | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 48:9 | 39 | 56 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 50:13 | 37 | 53 |
| 4 | Folgore | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 51:24 | 27 | 46 |
| 5 | La Fiorita | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 49:21 | 28 | 42 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 47:22 | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Cosmos | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 25:16 | 9 | 35 |
| 8 | Fiorentino | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 23:35 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Libertas | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 27:47 | -20 | 25 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 17:31 | -14 | 21 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 13 | Faetano | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 18:43 | -25 | 19 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17:48 | -31 | 11 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15:48 | -33 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 23 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 15:59 | -44 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
