Result
2:1
16/05/2025 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (343/419) | 82% (320/390) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (343/419) | 82% (320/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (20/49) | 57% (32/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (57/83) | 73% (80/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Bacca C. (Pen),
- 43', Gutierrez T. 🟨,
- 44', Baez C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 1, Aristizabal E. ⚽,
- 64', Bacca C. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 64', Barrera J. ↓, Enamorado J. ↑,
- 68', Sanchez L. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Moreno D. ⚽, Enamorado J. (A),
- 76', Gutierrez T. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
- 76', Castrillon B. ↓, Angel Bernal F. S. ↑,
- 77', Aristizabal E. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
- 78', Angel Bernal F. S. 🟨,
- 82', Rivera D. 🟨,
- 85', Chara Y. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 87', Moreno D. 🟨,
- 88', Florez K. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 88', Pajaro R. ↓, Ricaurte A. ↑,
- 88', Mosquera C. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Junior Barranquilla
65.2% | Draw
21.4% | Fortaleza CEIF
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Junior Barranquilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-3%)
Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.32) |
4.33 ↓
(4.7) |
6.93 ↓
(8.5) |
7.5%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Junior: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Junior have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fortaleza is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Junior is the clear favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Junior won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Junior won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Junior Barranquilla has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Junior Barranquilla?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
17.08.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:1
11.02.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Junior Barranquilla
2:0
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | Aguilas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Millonarios | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
