Junior Barranquilla vs Fortaleza CEIF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/03/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (Barranquilla).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.14	1.34
Ball possession
54%	46%
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
7	3
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
5	3
Passes
80% (273/342)	79% (229/289)
Yellow cards
3	4
Expected goals (xG)
1.14	1.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.16	0.71
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked shots
1	4
Shots inside the box
7	6
Shots outside the box
5	4
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
16	11
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
2	6
Free kicks
8	15
Passes
80% (273/342)	79% (229/289)
Long passes
33% (13/39)	45% (22/49)
Passes in final third
62% (63/101)	59% (43/73)
Crosses
50% (6/12)	0% (0/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.85	0.19
Throw ins
24	16
Fouls
15	8
Tackles
60% (3/5)	75% (3/4)
Duels won
26	28
Clearances
29	22
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.71	1.16
Goals prevented
-0.29	-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Gutierrez T. ⚽,
44', Martinez J. 🟨,
45+1', Herrera E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Barrios C. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
55', Martinez J. ↓, Marulanda J. ↑,
63', Muriel L. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
64', Rivera H. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Arroyo A. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Gutierrez T. ↓, Bacca C. ↑,
70', Canchimbo J. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
76', Cuero S. ↓, Batioja A. ↑,
76', Navarro S. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
80', Diaz Y. 🟨,
85', Herrera J. ↓, Wilke T. ↑,
85', Arroyo A. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
87', Marulanda J. 🟨,
87', Rios J. 🟨,
90+5', Pestana J. 🟨,
90+6', Velasquez J. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 1, Pestana J. ⚽, Suarez Y. (A),

Chances of winning

Junior Barranquilla
57.5%

Draw
24.6%

Fortaleza CEIF
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

22.4%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

21.9%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Junior Barranquilla's form might have worsened.

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortaleza CEIF's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Junior Barranquilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.44)	3.8 ↓ (4.17)	5.14 ↓ (7.4)	7.3% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Junior may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Junior is seen as the favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Junior won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Fortaleza CEIF?

Junior Barranquilla has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Junior Barranquilla?

Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:

08.11.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Junior Barranquilla 1:1

16.05.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF 2:1

17.08.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF 2:1

11.02.2024 Fortaleza CEIF - Junior Barranquilla 2:0

Latest results of Junior Barranquilla

10.03.2026 Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional 0:4 ✺

05.03.2026 Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar 1:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Jaguares de Córdoba - Junior Barranquilla 0:2 ✺

22.02.2026 Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla 2:1 ✺

18.02.2026 Junior Barranquilla - América de Cali 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF

04.03.2026 Fortaleza CEIF - Jaguares de Córdoba 2:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Deportivo Cali - Fortaleza CEIF 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Once Caldas - Fortaleza CEIF 4:2 ✺

15.02.2026 Fortaleza CEIF - Boyacá Chicó 2:1 ✺

12.02.2026 Atlético Nacional - Fortaleza CEIF 4:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional	12	9	0	3	26:9	17	27
2	Dep. Pasto	13	8	3	2	20:15	5	27
3	Once Caldas	13	6	5	2	24:17	7	23
4	Junior	13	7	1	5	19:18	1	22
5	Inter Bogotu00e1	13	5	6	2	17:18	-1	21
6	Millonarios	13	6	2	5	23:14	9	20
7	America De Cali	11	6	2	3	16:8	8	20
8	Deportes Tolima	12	5	5	2	15:9	6	20
9	Bucaramanga	12	4	7	1	16:8	8	19
10	Dep. Cali	13	4	4	5	14:12	2	16
11	Aguilas	12	4	4	4	12:12	0	16
12	Llaneros	12	3	6	3	14:13	1	15
13	Santa Fe	12	3	6	3	14:15	-1	15
14	Fortaleza	13	3	5	5	14:20	-6	14
15	Ind. Medellin	12	3	4	5	16:17	-1	13
16	Jaguares de Cordoba	13	3	2	8	11:23	-12	11
17	Alianza	12	2	5	5	7:19	-12	11
18	Cucuta	13	1	5	7	18:27	-9	8
19	Chico	12	2	2	8	10:20	-10	8
20	Pereira	12	0	6	6	12:24	-12	6

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )