Result
1:1
08/11/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 19
- Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (387/437) | 59% (89/151) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (387/437) | 59% (89/151) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (47/67) | 29% (16/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (101/140) | 53% (25/47) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 23 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Enamorado J. ⚽,
- 18', Pajaro R. 🟨,
- 22', Titi 🟨,
- 24', Arroyo A. 🟨,
- 28', Enamorado J. 🟨,
- 30', Cuenu J. 🟨,
- 30', Cuenu J. 🟨,
- 36', Pajaro R. ↓, Balanta Carabali K. A. ↑,
- 45', Ramiirez S. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Aristizabal E. ⚽, Valencia S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Titi ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
- 46', Ramiirez S. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
- 52', Valencia S. 🟨,
- 53', Castrillon B. ↓, Chara Y. ↑,
- 54', Mosquera C. 🟨,
- 59', Enamorado J. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
- 67', Arroyo A. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 80', Valencia S. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
- 80', Florez K. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
- 87', Moreno D. ↓, Esparragoza C. ↑,
- 89', Diaz Y. 🟨,
- 90+1', Salas J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF
40.4% | Draw
31.3% | Junior Barranquilla
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Junior Barranquilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza CEIF that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fortaleza CEIF - Junior Barranquilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.61) |
2.98 ↓
(3.03) |
3.29 ↑
(2.7) |
6.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Junior Barranquilla?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Junior will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0, 1st Half - Fortaleza (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 2nd Half - Fortaleza (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Fortaleza (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Fortaleza is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
- Fortaleza is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Junior has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Junior Barranquilla?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Junior Barranquilla has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
16.05.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:1
17.08.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:1
11.02.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Junior Barranquilla
2:0
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 | Fortaleza | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3:17 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
