Fortaleza CEIF vs Unión Magdalena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Cota (Cota).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 20
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	0.83
Ball Possession
67%	33%
Total shots
20	11
Shots on target
1	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
9	3
Passes
81% (413/512)	66% (167/252)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	0.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.04	0.21
Total shots
20	11
Shots on target
1	1
Shots off target
12	8
Blocked Shots
7	2
Shots inside the Box
7	8
Shots outside the Box
13	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
9	3
Touches in opposition box
19	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
5	10
Passes
81% (413/512)	66% (167/252)
Long passes
55% (37/67)	53% (38/72)
Passes in final third
62% (96/156)	46% (31/68)
Crosses
29% (6/21)	13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.61	0.38
Throw-ins
22	12
Fouls
10	5
Tackles
56% (5/9)	100% (6/6)
Duels won
23	33
Clearances
7	29
Interceptions
0	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.21	0.04
Goals prevented
-0.79	0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Cantillo F. 🟨,
45+3', Ruiz D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Diaz Y. ↓, Ramiirez S. ↑,
51', Sanchez L. ↓, Ricaurte A. ↑,
63', Sencion Rodriguez C. E. ↓, Giraldo J. ↑,
66', Florez K. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
67', Cuero S. ↓, Mosquera C. ↑,
76', Mercado J. 🟨,
76', Aleman J. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
77', Mercado J. ↓, Diaz K. ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Cantillo F. ⚽,
90+2', Sarmiento J. ↓, Penaloza J. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning

Fortaleza CEIF
64%

Draw
23.1%

Unión Magdalena
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

27.5%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

26.7%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza CEIF's performance.

Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Magdalena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza CEIF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Magdalena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.76)	4 ↑ (3.4)	6.98 ↑ (4.85)	7.9% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%).

AH -1 - Fortaleza (votes: 3 - 100%).

AH -1.5 - Fortaleza (votes: 3 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Fortaleza CEIF will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fortaleza CEIF will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.
In recent matches, Fortaleza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Unión Magdalena has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Unión Magdalena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Fortaleza is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Unión Magdalena?

Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Fortaleza CEIF?

Unión Magdalena has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena were as follows:

30.03.2023 Unión Magdalena - Fortaleza CEIF 4:2

15.03.2023 Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena 2:1

Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF

16.05.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF 2:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad 4:0 ✺

04.05.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF 1:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Medellín 0:0 ✺

21.04.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Fortaleza CEIF 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Unión Magdalena

18.05.2025 Unión Magdalena - América de Cali 0:2 ✺

09.05.2025 Deportes Tolima - Unión Magdalena 3:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Unión Magdalena - Once Caldas Abandoned ✺

26.04.2025 Envigado - Unión Magdalena 2:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Unión Magdalena - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	8	5	2	1	16:10	6	17
2	Ind. Medellin	8	5	1	2	13:9	4	16
3	Deportes Tolima	8	5	1	2	9:5	4	16
4	Fortaleza	8	3	5	0	12:8	4	14
5	Llaneros	8	4	2	2	9:5	4	14
6	Atl. Nacional	8	3	4	1	14:8	6	13
7	Pereira	8	3	3	2	9:8	1	12
8	Santa Fe	8	3	3	2	8:8	0	12
9	Bucaramanga	6	3	1	2	13:8	5	10
10	Envigado	8	2	4	2	8:8	0	10
11	Dep. Cali	7	2	3	2	10:12	-2	9
12	La Equidad	8	2	3	3	6:9	-3	9
13	Alianza	8	2	3	3	8:12	-4	9
14	U. Magdalena	8	2	2	4	8:14	-6	8
15	Aguilas	8	1	4	3	8:12	-4	7
16	Chico	7	1	3	3	6:9	-3	6
17	Dep. Pasto	6	1	2	3	8:10	-2	5
18	America De Cali	6	1	2	3	5:7	-2	5
19	Millonarios	7	1	1	5	8:11	-3	4
20	Once Caldas	7	0	3	4	6:11	-5	3

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )