Result
2:0
13/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 20
- Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (337/417) | 82% (343/416) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (337/417) | 82% (343/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (36/66) | 53% (32/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (73/107) | 69% (73/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Iguaran C. ⚽, Martinez M. (A),
- 42', Colpa Bolano R. R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Balanta Carabali K. A. ↓, Ramiirez S. ↑,
- 55', Valencia S. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 0, Martinez M. ⚽, Sarmiento J. (A),
- 64', Valencia S. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
- 64', Velasquez J. ↓, Palacios S. ↑,
- 65', Ricaurte A. ↓, Solis J. ↑,
- 66', Marulanda J. 🟨,
- 68', Giraldo J. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 68', Marulanda J. ↓, Mosquera C. ↑,
- 82', Sarmiento J. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 82', Martinez M. ↓, Narvaez L. ↑,
- 82', Iguaran C. ↓, Aleman J. ↑,
- 87', Mercado J. ↓, Surmay O. ↑,
- 90+1', Narvaez L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Unión Magdalena
27.7% | Draw
27.8% | Fortaleza CEIF
44.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Magdalena's form might have worsened.Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortaleza CEIF's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Magdalena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Unión Magdalena - Fortaleza CEIF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.3 ↑
(2.74) |
3.37 ↑
(2.99) |
2.16 ↓
(2.6) |
6.3%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Unión Magdalena - Fortaleza CEIF?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Unión Magdalena (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Fortaleza (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Fortaleza is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 3.
- Unión Magdalena has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fortaleza is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Unión Magdalena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Unión Magdalena has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Unión Magdalena?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Magdalena - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
24.05.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Unión Magdalena
0:1
30.03.2023
Unión Magdalena
-
Fortaleza CEIF
4:2
15.03.2023
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Unión Magdalena
2:1
Latest results of Unión Magdalena
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23:9 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Junior | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Millonarios | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:13 | 6 | 17 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 16 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Ind. Medellin | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 7 |
| 18 | Chico | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
| 19 | Pereira | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 | Alianza | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5:19 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
