Result
0:1
24/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.63 | 0.83 |
Ball Possession |
---|
67% | 33% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
81% (413/512) | 66% (167/252) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.63 | 0.83 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.04 | 0.21 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
12 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
13 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
5 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
81% (413/512) | 66% (167/252) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (37/67) | 53% (38/72) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (96/156) | 46% (31/68) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (6/21) | 13% (1/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.61 | 0.38 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 5 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (5/9) | 100% (6/6) |
Duels won |
---|
23 | 33 |
Clearances |
---|
7 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
0 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.21 | 0.04 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.79 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Cantillo F. 🟨,
- 45+3', Ruiz D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Diaz Y. ↓, Ramiirez S. ↑,
- 51', Sanchez L. ↓, Ricaurte A. ↑,
- 63', Sencion Rodriguez C. E. ↓, Giraldo J. ↑,
- 66', Florez K. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
- 67', Cuero S. ↓, Mosquera C. ↑,
- 76', Mercado J. 🟨,
- 76', Aleman J. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 77', Mercado J. ↓, Diaz K. ↑,
- 88', 0 - 1, Cantillo F. ⚽,
- 90+2', Sarmiento J. ↓, Penaloza J. ↑,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF 64% | Draw 23.1% | Unión Magdalena 12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza CEIF's performance.Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Magdalena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza CEIF that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Magdalena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.46 ↓ (1.76) |
4 ↑ (3.4) |
6.98 ↑ (4.85) |
7.9% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH -1 - Fortaleza (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH -1.5 - Fortaleza (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fortaleza CEIF will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fortaleza CEIF will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.
- In recent matches, Fortaleza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Unión Magdalena has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Unión Magdalena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fortaleza is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Unión Magdalena?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Unión Magdalena has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena were as follows:
30.03.2023
Unión Magdalena
-
Fortaleza CEIF
4:2
15.03.2023
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Unión Magdalena
2:1
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
3 | Fortaleza | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
4 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
6 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
7 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
8 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
9 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
11 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
12 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
14 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
15 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
16 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
18 | Aguilas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Millonarios | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )