Result
1:0
10/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 19
- Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Mahmudov E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Shahniyarov S. ↓, Eduardo Kunde ↑,
- 46', Mammadov M. ↓, Shtogrin A. ↑,
- 50', Sambou B. 🟨,
- 53', Shtogrin A. 🟨,
- 60', Musayev M. ↓, Ba Loua A. ↑,
- 61', Safarov E. ↓, Rezabala J. ↑,
- 73', Mathew I. ↓, Kuc E. ↑,
- 76', Ahmadov E. ↓, Aliyev N. ↑,
- 76', Rashidov N. ↓, Manafov T. ↑,
- 78', Badalov E. 🟨,
- 83', Piric K. 🟨,
- 84', Massoumou D. J. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
- 88', Mahmudov E. ↓, Camalov E. ↑,
- 88', Faraj I. ↓, Curci A. ↑,
- 90+1', Badalov E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Neftchi Baku
56.5% | Draw
26.4% | Gabala
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Gabala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Neftchi Baku - Gabala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.6) |
3.46 ↓
(3.48) |
5.35 ↑
(5.2) |
9.3%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Neftchi Baku - Gabala?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Neftchi Baku will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Neftchi Baku will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 5.
- Gabala is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Gabala may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Neftchi is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:14. (average 1.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Gabala?
Neftchi Baku has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gabala won against Neftchi Baku?
Gabala has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Baku - Gabala were as follows:
26.10.2025
Gabala
-
Neftchi Baku
0:2
29.03.2024
Gabala
-
Neftchi Baku
0:1
28.01.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Gabala
3:1
05.11.2023
Gabala
-
Neftchi Baku
0:2
27.08.2023
Neftchi Baku
-
Gabala
2:0
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 45:15 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 46 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 27:14 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Zira | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Araz | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 30:20 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Gabala | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19:29 | -10 | 16 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17:45 | -28 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14:45 | -31 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
