Gabala vs Neftchi Baku – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Azerbaijan Premier League Gabala - Neftchi Baku
Result
0:1
29/03/2024 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AZERBAIJAN: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 28

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', Shinyashiki A. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Lebon K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Tetteh S. , Bauke K. ,
  • 53', Safarov E. , Abu Akel F. ,
  • 64', Shinyashiki A. , Moreno B. ,
  • 65', Ozobic F. , Mahmudov E. ,
  • 77', Allach A. , Akakpo Y. ,
  • 77', Hadzhiyev R. , Jaber A. ,
  • 85', Abbasov U. , Aliyev N. ,
  • 86', Isaiah A. 🟨,
  • 86', Valdez D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Lebon K. , Buludov O. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Gabala
27.6%
Draw
27.7%
Neftchi Baku
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 22.7% 51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1% 22.4% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gabala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neftchi Baku might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neftchi Baku could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gabala - Neftchi Baku Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (3.57)
    3.32
    (4)
    2.05
    (1.75)
    8.9%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gabala won 2.
    • Gabala has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Neftchi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Neftchi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Neftchi is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Gabala won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 15-39.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gabala won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-19.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gabala - Neftchi Baku were as follows:
    28.01.2024 Neftchi Baku - Gabala 3:1
    05.11.2023 Gabala - Neftchi Baku 0:2
    27.08.2023 Neftchi Baku - Gabala 2:0
    03.06.2023 Neftchi Baku - Gabala 0:1
    14.04.2023 Neftchi Baku - Gabala 1:2
    Latest results of Gabala
    16.03.2024 Araz Naxçıvan - Gabala 1:1
    09.03.2024 Sabah - Gabala 2:1
    03.03.2024 Gabala - Səbail 2:3
    28.02.2024 Gabala - Qarabağ Agdam 0:4
    23.02.2024 Kapaz - Gabala 2:1
    Latest results of Neftchi Baku
    23.03.2024 Neftchi Baku - Spartak Moscow Canceled
    15.03.2024 Neftchi Baku - Səbail 3:0
    09.03.2024 Kapaz - Neftchi Baku 3:3
    24.02.2024 Turan Tovuz - Neftchi Baku 1:1
    Azerbaijan Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Qarabag36285386:196789
    2Zira36235859:273274
    3Araz361513834:29558
    4Turan361413945:39655
    5Sabah Baku361018850:46448
    6Neftci Baku3610131339:49-1043
    7Shamakhi36991832:46-1436
    8Sumqayit36962131:53-2233
    9Kapaz36882028:65-3732
    10Sabail364102228:59-3122

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