Result
0:1
29/03/2024 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AZERBAIJAN: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', Shinyashiki A. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 1, Lebon K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Tetteh S. ↓, Bauke K. ↑,
- 53', Safarov E. ↓, Abu Akel F. ↑,
- 64', Shinyashiki A. ↓, Moreno B. ↑,
- 65', Ozobic F. ↓, Mahmudov E. ↑,
- 77', Allach A. ↓, Akakpo Y. ↑,
- 77', Hadzhiyev R. ↓, Jaber A. ↑,
- 85', Abbasov U. ↓, Aliyev N. ↑,
- 86', Isaiah A. 🟨,
- 86', Valdez D. 🟨,
- 90+1', Lebon K. ↓, Buludov O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gabala 27.6% | Draw 27.7% | Neftchi Baku 44.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gabala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neftchi Baku might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neftchi Baku could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gabala - Neftchi Baku Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.33 ↓ (3.57) |
3.32 ↓ (4) |
2.05 ↑ (1.75) |
8.9% (10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gabala - Neftchi Baku?
Users Predictions:
Neftchi Baku will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Gabala won 2.
- Gabala has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Neftchi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Neftchi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Neftchi is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Gabala won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 15-39.
- Including matches at home between the teams Gabala won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-19.
How many head-to-head matches has Gabala won against Neftchi Baku?
Gabala has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Gabala?
Neftchi Baku has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gabala - Neftchi Baku were as follows:
28.01.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Gabala
3:1
05.11.2023
Gabala
-
Neftchi Baku
0:2
27.08.2023
Neftchi Baku
-
Gabala
2:0
03.06.2023
Neftchi Baku
-
Gabala
0:1
14.04.2023
Neftchi Baku
-
Gabala
1:2
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sumqayit | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
2 | Karvan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
3 | Araz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Sabah Baku | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Turan Tovuz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
6 | Neftci Baku | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
7 | Gabala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Zira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Shamakhi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
10 | Imisli FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
11 | Qarabag | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
12 | Kapaz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa