Result
0:2
26/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 9
- Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Kuc E. 🟨,
- 42', Camalov E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Kuc E. ↓, Mathew I. ↑,
- 63', Fuchs J. ↓, Rashidov N. ↑,
- 70', Sambou B. ↓, Aboubakar V. ↑,
- 70', Vargas F. ↓, Ortiz L. ↑,
- 71', Faraj I. ↓, Curci A. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 1, Mathew I. ⚽,
- 72', Massoumou D. J. ↓, Owusu P. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 2, Aboubakar V. ⚽,
- 84', Damadayev S. ↓, Tagiyev E. ↑,
- 84', Shahniyarov S. ↓, Iskandarov F. ↑,
- 89', Mahmudov E. ↓, Khachayev M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gabala
20.1% | Draw
25.7% | Neftchi Baku
54.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gabala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Gabala - Neftchi Baku Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.57 ↑
(3.8) |
3.57 ↑
(3.43) |
1.69 ↓
(1.84) |
9.1%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 1.
- Gabala is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Neftchi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gabala may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Neftchi is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:37. (average 0.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gabala won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gabala won against Neftchi Baku?
Gabala has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Gabala?
Neftchi Baku has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gabala - Neftchi Baku were as follows:
29.03.2024
Gabala
-
Neftchi Baku
0:1
28.01.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Gabala
3:1
05.11.2023
Gabala
-
Neftchi Baku
0:2
27.08.2023
Neftchi Baku
-
Gabala
2:0
03.06.2023
Neftchi Baku
-
Gabala
0:1
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Turan Tovuz | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13:7 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:3 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | Zira | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Araz | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | Sabah Baku | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Sumqayit | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Neftci Baku | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Imisli FK | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Shamakhi | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Gabala | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 11 | Karvan | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:19 | -13 | 5 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
