Result
7:1
10/03/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
- Referee: Mammadov I. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Mickels J. ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 0, Isayev A. ⚽,
- 25', Manafov T. ↓, Ahmadov E. ↑,
- 32', 3 - 0, Mickels J. ⚽,
- 40', 4 - 0, Parris K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Sierra J. ↓, Massoumou D. J. ↑,
- 50', Mickels J. ↓, Sekidika J. ↑,
- 53', 5 - 0, Malouda A. ⚽,
- 59', Sissoko S. ↓, Shahniyarov S. ↑,
- 59', Aliyev N. ↓, Rashidov N. ↑,
- 63', 6 - 0, Sekidika J. ⚽,
- 67', Solvet S. ↓, Dashdamirov R. ↑,
- 67', Rakhmonaliyev U. ↓, Khaybulaev A. ↑,
- 67', Lepinjica I. ↓, Ould Khaled Z. ↑,
- 76', Akinade I. ↓, Iskandarov F. ↑,
- 77', 7 - 0, Dashdamirov R. ⚽,
- 84', Malouda A. ↓, Andrey ↑,
- 87', 7 - 1, Ba Loua A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sabah
67.9% | Draw
21.1% | Gabala
11% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Gabala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Sabah - Gabala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.44) |
4.36 ↑
(3.88) |
8.4 ↑
(6.84) |
8.6%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sabah - Gabala?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Sabah will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Gabala will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabah: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gabala (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 3.
- Sabah is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Gabala's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sabah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Gabala has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Sabah is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Sabah will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:18. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sabah won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:6. (average 2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Sabah won against Gabala?
Sabah has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gabala won against Sabah?
Gabala has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sabah - Gabala were as follows:
05.03.2026
Gabala
-
Sabah
3:4
16.02.2026
Gabala
-
Sabah
0:1
04.02.2026
Sabah
-
Gabala
0:0
03.11.2025
Sabah
-
Gabala
1:0
12.05.2024
Gabala
-
Sabah
2:0
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 60:17 | 43 | 62 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 48:18 | 30 | 52 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 29:15 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Zira | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Araz | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:43 | -9 | 39 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 37 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 22 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 21:48 | -27 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 21:39 | -18 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 25 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 16:49 | -33 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
