Result
0:1
16/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
- Referee: Jabarov R. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', 0 - 1, Aliyev K. ⚽,
- 61', Rashidov N. ↓, Manafov T. ↑,
- 61', Ahmadov E. ↓, Aliyev N. ↑,
- 61', Shahniyarov S. ↓, Sissoko S. ↑,
- 81', Aliyev K. ↓, Ende S. ↑,
- 81', Isayev A. ↓, Ould Khaled Z. ↑,
- 82', Sissoko S. 🟨,
- 82', Massoumou D. J. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
- 82', Musayev M. ↓, Quimbila P. ↑,
- 90+6', Dambrauskas V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gabala
15.3% | Draw
23.6% | Sabah
61.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gabala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Gabala - Sabah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.94 ↑
(5.57) |
3.84 ↑
(3.68) |
1.48 ↓
(1.54) |
10.3%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gabala - Sabah?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gabala will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Sabah will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabah: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sabah (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 2.
- Gabala is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sabah is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sabah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sabah is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:37. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gabala won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gabala won against Sabah?
Gabala has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sabah won against Gabala?
Sabah has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gabala - Sabah were as follows:
04.02.2026
Sabah
-
Gabala
0:0
03.11.2025
Sabah
-
Gabala
1:0
12.05.2024
Gabala
-
Sabah
2:0
09.03.2024
Sabah
-
Gabala
2:1
22.12.2023
Gabala
-
Sabah
1:0
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 42:12 | 30 | 52 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 36:13 | 23 | 45 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 27:14 | 13 | 40 |
| 4 | Zira | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Araz | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Sumqayit | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
| 7 | Neftci Baku | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 30 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21:24 | -3 | 25 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17:45 | -28 | 16 |
| 11 | Gabala | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 18:28 | -10 | 15 |
| 12 | Karvan | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13:44 | -31 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
