Result
0:4
24/01/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Referee: Ahmadov R. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45', 0 - 1, Massoumou D. J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 47', 0 - 2, Amoah I. ⚽,
- 67', Maharramli R. ↓, Antonio Lara ↑,
- 67', Tircoveanu A. ↓, Shuaibu A. ↑,
- 79', Rashidov N. ↓, Aliyev N. ↑,
- 80', Balau D. ↓, Muradov R. ↑,
- 80', Apolinario R. ↓, Mammadov O. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 3, Akinade I. ⚽,
- 83', Owusu P. ↓, Iskandarov F. ↑,
- 85', Rossi K. ↓, Ismayilov B. ↑,
- 88', Abbasov R. 🟨,
- 90', Massoumou D. J. ↓, Quimbila P. ↑,
- 90', Shahniyarov S. ↓, Shakarkhanov Z. ↑,
- 90+4', 0 - 4, Iskandarov F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Shamakhi
45.6% | Draw
30.2% | Gabala
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamakhi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Gabala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Shamakhi - Gabala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.13) |
3.03 ↑
(3.01) |
3.77 ↑
(3.52) |
9.5%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Shamakhi - Gabala?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Shamakhi will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Gabala may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Gabala has had a series of home games.
- Shamakhi will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shamakhi won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Shamakhi won against Gabala?
Shamakhi has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gabala won against Shamakhi?
Gabala has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shamakhi - Gabala were as follows:
05.10.2025
Gabala
-
Shamakhi
0:1
22.05.2023
Shamakhi
-
Gabala
0:0
17.03.2023
Gabala
-
Shamakhi
2:0
14.10.2022
Shamakhi
-
Gabala
1:1
Latest results of Shamakhi
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
