Result
0:1
05/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 7
- Referee: Masiyev E. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Apolinario R. (Pen),
- 11', Balau D. 🟨,
- 32', Aliyev N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Suleymanov E. ↓, Mammadov O. ↑,
- 73', Mammadov O. 🟨,
- 73', Shuaibu A. ↓, Agcabayov A. ↑,
- 76', Ahmadov E. ↓, Quimbila P. ↑,
- 84', Ba Loua A. ↓, Tagiyev E. ↑,
- 84', Aliyev N. ↓, Ahmadov R. ↑,
- 84', Shahniyarov S. ↓, Iskandarov F. ↑,
- 90+1', Agcabayov A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Rossi K. 🟨,
- 90+3', Amoah I. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
- 90+6', Musayev M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gabala
32.3% | Draw
30.2% | Shamakhi
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gabala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gabala's form might have worsened.Shamakhi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shamakhi's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gabala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shamakhi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gabala - Shamakhi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↑
(2.4) |
3.22 ↑
(2.93) |
2.59 ↓
(2.98) |
3.1%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 11 and 9)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 3.
- Gabala is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shamakhi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gabala won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gabala won against Shamakhi?
Gabala has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shamakhi won against Gabala?
Shamakhi has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gabala - Shamakhi were as follows:
22.05.2023
Shamakhi
-
Gabala
0:0
17.03.2023
Gabala
-
Shamakhi
2:0
14.10.2022
Shamakhi
-
Gabala
1:1
Latest results of Shamakhi
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Turan Tovuz | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13:7 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:3 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | Zira | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Araz | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | Sabah Baku | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Sumqayit | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Neftci Baku | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Imisli FK | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Shamakhi | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Gabala | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 11 | Karvan | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:19 | -13 | 5 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
