Result
0:0
15/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.81 | 0.93 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
82% (306/375) | 83% (471/566) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.81 | 0.93 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.35 | 0.74 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 41 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
82% (306/375) | 83% (471/566) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (16/42) | 50% (34/68) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (113/146) | 82% (187/229) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (2/12) | 6% (1/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.67 | 1.14 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
25% (2/8) | 71% (12/17) |
Duels won |
---|
37 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
29 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.74 | 3.35 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.74 | 3.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Nakahara H. ↓, Matsuzaki K. ↑,
- 63', Kitagawa K. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
- 65', Abe S. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
- 65', Mitsuta M. ↓, Hummet D. ↑,
- 65', Welton ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 73', Capixaba ↓, Brunetti M. ↑,
- 76', Matsuzaki K. 🟨,
- 80', Lavi N. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
- 80', Inui T. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
- 80', Uno Z. ↓, Yumiba M. ↑,
- 87', Yamashita R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
- 90+5', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
- 90+7', Kurata S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shimizu S-Pulse 35.5% | Draw 28.6% | Gamba Osaka 35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.63 ↑ (2.6) |
3.26 ↓ (3.4) |
2.62 ↑ (2.6) |
6.9% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
- Recent performances by Shimizu have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gamba Osaka is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Shimizu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Shimizu: Saito S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Okunuki K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Gamba Osaka?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Gamba Osaka has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
08.03.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
1:0
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League