Result
0:0
15/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (306/375) | 83% (471/566) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.35 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (306/375) | 83% (471/566) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (16/42) | 50% (34/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (113/146) | 82% (187/229) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 1.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 3.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.74 | 3.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Nakahara H. ↓, Matsuzaki K. ↑,
- 63', Kitagawa K. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
- 65', Abe S. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
- 65', Mitsuta M. ↓, Hummet D. ↑,
- 65', Welton ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 73', Capixaba ↓, Brunetti M. ↑,
- 76', Matsuzaki K. 🟨,
- 80', Lavi N. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
- 80', Inui T. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
- 80', Uno Z. ↓, Yumiba M. ↑,
- 87', Yamashita R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
- 90+5', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
- 90+7', Kurata S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shimizu S-Pulse
35.5% | Draw
28.6% | Gamba Osaka
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.6) |
3.26 ↓
(3.4) |
2.62 ↑
(2.6) |
6.9%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
- Recent performances by Shimizu have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gamba Osaka is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Shimizu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Shimizu: Saito S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Okunuki K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Gamba Osaka?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Gamba Osaka has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
08.03.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
1:0
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
