Result
3:2 penalties
28/02/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (353/487) | 66% (251/379) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (353/487) | 66% (251/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (11/45) | 32% (28/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (80/134) | 50% (64/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 6% (1/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.70 | 2.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Meshino R. ⚽,
- 41', 2 - 0, Hummet D. ⚽, Abe S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Toyama S. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
- 46', Nawata G. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
- 59', Takahashi T. ↓, Matsuzaki K. ↑,
- 59', Chiba K. ↓, Uno Z. ↑,
- 60', Meshino R. ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,
- 74', Hummet D. ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
- 77', Kozuka K. ↓, Stephens A. ↑,
- 77', Park Seung-Wook ↓, Kitazume K. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Kitagawa K. ⚽, Capixaba (A),
- 86', 2 - 2, Capixaba ⚽, Uno Z. (A),
- 90+4', Capixaba ↓, Shimamoto Y. ↑,
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Kitagawa K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Minamino H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Matheus Bueno (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Kurata S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Uno Z. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Mitsuta M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Matsuzaki K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Okunuki K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Stephens A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Suzuki T. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Gamba Osaka
43.6% | Draw
27.4% | Shimizu S-Pulse
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gamba Osaka's form might have worsened.Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Gamba Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(1.87) |
3.44 ↓
(3.78) |
3.25 ↓
(3.85) |
6.3%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2.
- Gamba Osaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Shimizu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Gamba Osaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Ichimori J.
(Injury)
Nakano S.
(Injury)
Uenaka A.
(Injury)
Usami T.
(Muscle Injury)
Welton
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Abe S.
(Injury)
Sasaki S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Gamba Osaka has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Gamba Osaka?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
15.06.2025
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Gamba Osaka
0:0
08.03.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
1:0
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Verdy | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 6 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Mito | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | 8 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 22 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
