Result
3:1
14/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Chances of winning
Bugesera
40.3% | Draw
32.8% | Gorilla
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bugesera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Gorilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Bugesera - Gorilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.1) |
2.77 ↓
(2.89) |
3.37 ↓
(3.52) |
10.3%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Bugesera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Bugesera might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bugesera won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bugesera won against Gorilla?
Bugesera has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorilla won against Bugesera?
Gorilla has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bugesera - Gorilla were as follows:
31.10.2025
Gorilla
-
Bugesera
2:1
02.05.2025
Gorilla
-
Bugesera
0:1
06.11.2024
Bugesera
-
Gorilla
0:0
25.02.2024
Gorilla
-
Bugesera
1:1
14.10.2023
Bugesera
-
Gorilla
2:2
Latest results of Bugesera
Latest results of Gorilla
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 57:19 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | APR | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 36:19 | 17 | 52 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 31:25 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Kiyovu | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 29:17 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | Police | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 24:16 | 8 | 41 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Marines | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 37 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Musanze | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 29 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:41 | -14 | 26 |
| 13 | Gasogi United | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 19:29 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Amagaju | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 14:32 | -18 | 24 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 26 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 22 |
| 17 | Rutsiro | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25:36 | -11 | 21 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17:36 | -19 | 21 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
