Result
3:1
14/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Chances of winning
Bugesera
40.3% | Draw
32.8% | Gorilla
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bugesera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Gorilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Bugesera - Gorilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.1) |
2.77 ↓
(2.89) |
3.37 ↓
(3.52) |
10.3%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Bugesera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Bugesera might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bugesera won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bugesera won against Gorilla?
Bugesera has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorilla won against Bugesera?
Gorilla has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bugesera - Gorilla were as follows:
31.10.2025
Gorilla
-
Bugesera
2:1
02.05.2025
Gorilla
-
Bugesera
0:1
06.11.2024
Bugesera
-
Gorilla
0:0
25.02.2024
Gorilla
-
Bugesera
1:1
14.10.2023
Bugesera
-
Gorilla
2:2
Latest results of Bugesera
Latest results of Gorilla
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 45:16 | 29 | 42 |
| 2 | APR | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Police | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Rayon Sport | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Mukura Victory Sports | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Kiyovu | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 33 |
| 8 | Musanze | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Marines | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Gicumbi | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Gasogi United | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 | AS Kigali | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Gorilla | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Etincelles | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Rutsiro | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 | Amagaju | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:28 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
