Zagłębie Lubin vs Górnik Zabrze – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze
Result
2:1
11/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 28
  • Referee: Malec P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7, Arena Sport 8
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.05
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
72% (196/271)86% (548/638)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.05
xG on target (xGOT)
2.441.66
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2925
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
913
Passes
72% (196/271)86% (548/638)
Long passes
29% (10/35)52% (32/61)
Passes in final third
50% (43/86)74% (105/141)
Crosses
21% (3/14)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.550.65
Fouls
139
Tackles
54% (7/13)41% (7/17)
Duels won
4358
Clearances Total
2813
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
1.662.44
Goals prevented
0.660.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Furukawa Y. , Sarapata D. (A),
  • 29', Mroz M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Mroz M. , Wdowiak M. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Lawniczak A. , Dabrowski D. (A),
  • 55', Ismaheel T. , Sow O. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Pienko T. (Pen),
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 77', Josema 🟨,
  • 82', Dabrowski D. , Makowski T. ,
  • 82', Kurminowski D. , Adamski R. ,
  • 83', Furukawa Y. , Ambros L. ,
  • 83', Podolski L. , Bakis S. ,
  • 85', Pienko T. 🟨,
  • 86', Pienko T. , Kludka B. ,
  • 87', Hladun D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Zahovic L. , Liseth S. ,
  • 90+1', Hellebrand P. , Prebsl F. ,
  • 90+2', Liseth S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Janicki R. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Szmyt K. , Wozniak A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Zagłębie Lubin
36.1%
Draw
28.6%
Górnik Zabrze
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 28.5% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 28.2% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.4)
    3.27
    (3.29)
    2.65
    (2.89)
    7%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 17%68.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Lubin won 3.
    • Zagłębie Lubin is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Górnik Zabrze is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Lukoszek K. (Inactive)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Lubin won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28:28 (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Lubin won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16:17 (average 1.6:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Zagłębie Lubin 0:1
    08.04.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze 1:2
    02.10.2023 Górnik Zabrze - Zagłębie Lubin 0:2
    14.04.2023 Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze 0:2
    01.10.2022 Górnik Zabrze - Zagłębie Lubin 2:3
    Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
    Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia1173123:131024
    2Gornik Zabrze1272319:10923
    3Cracovia1163220:12821
    4Wisla Plock1163215:8721
    5Korona Kielce1254316:11519
    6Lech Poznan1154220:18219
    7Zaglebie1245325:18717
    8Widzew Lodz1351720:20016
    9Legia1143414:12215
    10Radomiak Radom1243522:22015
    11Rakow1142512:15-314
    12Pogon Szczecin1242618:22-414
    13Motor Lublin1235416:21-514
    14Arka Gdynia123367:19-1212
    15GKS Katowice1232716:24-811
    16Lechia Gdansk1243521:27-610
    17Termalica B-B1324717:25-810
    18Piast Gliwice101459:13-47

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          Relegation ~ Division 1