Result
2:0
07/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 15
- Referee: Kos D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | FOX Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (141/220) | 83% (421/505) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (141/220) | 83% (421/505) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/54) | 53% (27/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (40/72) | 76% (127/168) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 19% (7/37) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (18/27) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Rocha L. ⚽,
- 15', Yakuba R. 🟨,
- 30', Rocha L. 🟨,
- 42', Donio B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', 2 - 0, Kocaba F. ⚽,
- 55', Donio B. ↓, Zahovic L. ↑,
- 56', Olkowski P. ↓, Kmet M. ↑,
- 57', Orlikowski I. 🟨,
- 66', Khlan M. ↓, Lukoszek K. ↑,
- 69', Regula M. 🟨,
- 70', Radwanski A. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
- 70', Rocha L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
- 70', Regula M. ↓, Szmyt K. ↑,
- 76', Liseth S. ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 76', Sow O. ↓, Abdullahi A. ↑,
- 86', Orlikowski I. ↓, Grzybek M. ↑,
- 90+1', Grzybek M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Kolan J. ↓, Makowski T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zagłębie Lubin
30.7% | Draw
26.9% | Górnik Zabrze
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.98) |
3.5 ↑
(3.12) |
2.23 ↑
(2.15) |
5.9%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 56.3% – 96.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 3.
- In recent matches, Zagłębie Lubin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Górnik Zabrze is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Zagłębie Lubin has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Górnik Zabrze?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Górnik Zabrze has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
11.04.2025
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Górnik Zabrze
2:1
05.10.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Zagłębie Lubin
0:1
08.04.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Górnik Zabrze
1:2
02.10.2023
Górnik Zabrze
-
Zagłębie Lubin
0:2
14.04.2023
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Górnik Zabrze
0:2
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 30 |
| 2 | Wisla Plock | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 29 |
| 3 | Rakow | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 28:20 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Cracovia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:21 | 4 | 27 |
| 6 | Radomiak Radom | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 35:30 | 5 | 26 |
| 7 | Lech Poznan | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 29:26 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 25 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 21 |
| 11 | Arka Gdynia | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 15:32 | -17 | 21 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 37:37 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23:28 | -5 | 20 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 16 | Legia | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 24:35 | -11 | 19 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
