Cuiabá vs Grêmio Novorizontino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Arena Pantanal (Cuiabá).

Serie B Superbet - Round 31
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 3

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	0.45
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
18	7
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
84% (335/398)	72% (213/294)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	0.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.71	1.12
Total shots
18	7
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
9	5
Shots outside the Box
9	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
21	17
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
13	17
Passes
84% (335/398)	72% (213/294)
Long passes
50% (25/50)	38% (21/56)
Passes in final third
69% (81/118)	55% (50/91)
Crosses
19% (7/37)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.56	0.93
Throw-ins
33	15
Fouls
17	13
Tackles
31% (4/13)	64% (14/22)
Duels won
55	57
Clearances
33	39
Interceptions
10	16
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
1.12	1.71
Goals prevented
0.12	1.71

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Jean Irmer 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jean Irmer ↓, Luis Oyama ↑,
46', Romulo ↓, Tavinho ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Waguininho ⚽, Robson (A),
61', Jader ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
61', Nathan Pelae ↓, De Lucca ↑,
61', Nino Paraiba ↓, Carlos Alberto ↑,
71', Dantas 🟨,
72', Robson 🟥,
81', Sander ↓, Pasadore F. ↑,
81', Pablo Dyego ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
87', Martinez A. ↓, Victor Barbara ↑,
90+6', Waguininho 🟨,
90+6', Waguininho ↓, Rafael Donato ↑,
90+8', Max Alves 🟨,
90+9', Luis Oyama 🟨,

Chances of winning

Cuiabá
42.1%

Draw
31.3%

Grêmio Novorizontino
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.9%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28.6%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Cuiabá have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Cuiabá - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.22)	2.97 ↓ (3.12)	3.52 ↑ (3.33)	7.5% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Grêmio Novorizontino?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.25 - Cuiabá (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Novorizontino (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 1 - 50%). Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)
Now, both teams are in good form.
Cuiabá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Cuiabá is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y. (Injury) Mateus Pasinato (Inactive) Matheusinho (Yellow Cards) Nathan Pelae (Injury)
There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon (Inactive) Nathan Fogaca (Injury) Rai Ramos (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)
There are questionable in Cuiabá: Calebe Costa (Injury) Matheusinho (Injury)
There are questionable in Novorizontino: Caio Dantas (Inactive)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cuiabá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Grêmio Novorizontino?

Cuiabá has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Cuiabá?

Grêmio Novorizontino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:

15.06.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Cuiabá 3:0

Latest results of Cuiabá

02.10.2025 Paysandu - Cuiabá 1:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Cuiabá - Athletic Club 2:1 ✺

24.09.2025 Vila Nova - Cuiabá 2:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Cuiabá - Chapecoense 1:0 ✺

14.09.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Cuiabá 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino

04.10.2025 Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova 1:1 ✺

23.09.2025 Paysandu - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1 ✺

19.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club 1:0 ✺

15.09.2025 Ferroviária - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:2 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Avai	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Ceara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sport Recife	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Goias	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Nautico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	CRB	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Criciuma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Vila Nova FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Juventude	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ponte Preta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Fortaleza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Atletico GO	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	America MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Botafogo SP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Londrina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sao Bernardo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cuiaba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Operario-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Novorizontino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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