Grêmio Novorizontino vs Cuiabá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Grêmio Novorizontino - Cuiabá
Result
3:0
15/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 12
  • Referee: Furtado A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.890.85
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
69
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
77% (228/297)85% (405/474)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.890.85
xG on target (xGOT)
2.340.96
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
69
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
210
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1816
Accurate through passes
13
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
77% (228/297)85% (405/474)
Long passes
45% (32/71)66% (31/47)
Passes in final third
61% (44/72)72% (119/166)
Crosses
27% (4/15)14% (3/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.241.15
Throw-ins
2224
Fouls
1016
Tackles
50% (5/10)67% (6/9)
Duels won
3539
Clearances
2614
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
93
xGOT faced
0.962.34
Goals prevented
0.96-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Marlon ,
  • 40', Jean Irmer 🟥,
  • 44', Denilson Alves 🟨,
  • 45+1', Lucca , Willian Farias ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Leonardo Ataide , Jadson ,
  • 46', Denilson Alves , Lucas Mineiro ,
  • 58', Juan Christian , Alisson Safira ,
  • 64', Bruno Jose , Airton ,
  • 65', Marlon , Luis Oyama ,
  • 73', Derik Lacerda , David ,
  • 74', Alisson Safira 🟥,
  • 78', Max Alves , Lucas Cardoso ,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Matheus Frizzo (Pen),
  • 84', Willian Farias 🟨,
  • 89', Pablo Dyego , Leo Tocantins ,
  • 89', Fabio Matheus , Patrick Brey ,
  • 90+7', 3 - 0, Airton ,

Chances of winning


Grêmio Novorizontino
44.6%
Draw
33.9%
Cuiabá
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 30.3% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 29.6% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Grêmio Novorizontino - Cuiabá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.11)
    2.75
    (3.05)
    4.33
    (3.55)
    7.5%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Cuiabá?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • Novorizontino is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cuiabá has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Novorizontino is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Airton (Inactive) Leo Natel (Inactive) Leo Tocantins (Inactive) Patrick (Yellow Cards) Patrick Brey (Inactive) Rafael Donato (Inactive) Renato Palm (Inactive) Robson (Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y. (Injury) Pedrinho (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Cuiabá: Nathan (Inactive) Sander (Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    06.06.2025 Cuiabá - Paysandu 1:0
    31.05.2025 Athletic Club - Cuiabá 0:2
    26.05.2025 Cuiabá - Vila Nova 1:0
    16.05.2025 Chapecoense - Cuiabá 2:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias27146733:25848
    2Coritiba27138628:171147
    3Criciuma27137734:211346
    4Novorizontino271110630:25543
    5Athletico-PR27126939:36342
    6Chapecoense-SC271251038:281041
    7Cuiaba27118832:30241
    8Remo27912628:24439
    9Atletico GO27911730:28238
    10CRB271141228:24437
    11Avai27910835:30537
    12Vila Nova FC271061126:28-236
    13Operario-PR2799929:26336
    14Athletic Club27951329:35-632
    15Ferroviaria27711930:34-432
    16America MG27861327:33-630
    17Botafogo SP27781222:39-1729
    18Amazonas27691227:39-1227
    19Volta Redonda27691216:28-1227
    20Paysandu PA274101321:32-1122

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )