Cuiabá vs Grêmio Novorizontino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
08/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.45
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
84% (335/398)72% (213/294)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.711.12
Total shots
187
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2117
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
84% (335/398)72% (213/294)
Long passes
50% (25/50)38% (21/56)
Passes in final third
69% (81/118)55% (50/91)
Crosses
19% (7/37)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.93
Throw-ins
3315
Fouls
1713
Tackles
31% (4/13)64% (14/22)
Duels won
5557
Clearances
3339
Interceptions
1016
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.121.71
Goals prevented
0.121.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Jean Irmer 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Jean Irmer , Luis Oyama ,
  • 46', Romulo , Tavinho ,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Waguininho , Robson (A),
  • 61', Jader , Juan Christian ,
  • 61', Nathan Pelae , De Lucca ,
  • 61', Nino Paraiba , Carlos Alberto ,
  • 71', Dantas 🟨,
  • 72', Robson 🟥,
  • 81', Sander , Pasadore F. ,
  • 81', Pablo Dyego , Bruno Jose ,
  • 87', Martinez A. , Victor Barbara ,
  • 90+6', Waguininho 🟨,
  • 90+6', Waguininho , Rafael Donato ,
  • 90+8', Max Alves 🟨,
  • 90+9', Luis Oyama 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cuiabá
42.1%
Draw
31.3%
Grêmio Novorizontino
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 29.9% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 28.6% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Cuiabá have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Cuiabá - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.22)
    2.97
    (3.12)
    3.52
    (3.33)
    7.5%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Grêmio Novorizontino?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Cuiabá (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Novorizontino (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 1 - 50%). Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Cuiabá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cuiabá is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y. (Injury) Mateus Pasinato (Inactive) Matheusinho (Yellow Cards) Nathan Pelae (Injury)
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon (Inactive) Nathan Fogaca (Injury) Rai Ramos (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Cuiabá: Calebe Costa (Injury) Matheusinho (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Novorizontino: Caio Dantas (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cuiabá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Cuiabá 3:0
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    02.10.2025 Paysandu - Cuiabá 1:1
    28.09.2025 Cuiabá - Athletic Club 2:1
    24.09.2025 Vila Nova - Cuiabá 2:2
    21.09.2025 Cuiabá - Chapecoense 1:0
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias32106:337
    2Avai32103:037
    3Operario-PR32103:127
    4Botafogo SP32017:346
    5Nautico32013:216
    6Ceara31204:225
    7Vila Nova FC31205:415
    8Athletic Club31204:315
    9Sport Recife31203:215
    10Londrina31116:514
    11Sao Bernardo31114:404
    12Criciuma31112:204
    13Fortaleza31112:5-34
    14CRB30213:4-12
    15Novorizontino30212:4-22
    16Cuiaba30210:2-22
    17Ponte Preta30122:4-21
    18America MG30123:6-31
    19Juventude30121:4-31
    20Atletico GO30032:5-30

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