Volta Redonda vs Grêmio Novorizontino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Raulino de Oliveira (Rio de Janeiro).

Serie B Superbet - Round 21
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.54	0.19
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
11	4
Passes
81% (359/441)	76% (301/395)
Yellow Cards
3	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.54	0.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.62	0.15
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
6	0
Shots inside the Box
7	3
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
11	4
Touches in opposition box
20	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
11	13
Passes
81% (359/441)	76% (301/395)
Long passes
39% (24/61)	41% (34/82)
Passes in final third
68% (78/114)	55% (51/92)
Crosses
38% (8/21)	20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.75	0.25
Throw-ins
22	19
Fouls
14	11
Tackles
50% (4/8)	68% (13/19)
Duels won
50	47
Clearances
25	28
Interceptions
19	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	6
xGOT faced
0.15	0.62
Goals prevented
0.15	0.62

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Italo 🟨,
42', Bruno Barra 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Vitinho Lopes 🟨,
62', Vitinho Lopes ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
64', Chay ↓, Daniel Cabral ↑,
74', Pierre ↓, PK ↑,
76', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Romulo ↑,
76', Robson ↓, Waguininho ↑,
80', Mayk ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
82', Italo ↓, Kayke ↑,
82', MV ↓, Matheus Lucas ↑,
87', Rodrigo Soares ↓, Rai Ramos ↑,
88', Caio Dantas ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,

Chances of winning

Volta Redonda
35.9%

Draw
32.6%

Grêmio Novorizontino
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

30.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

32.8%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Volta Redonda - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.67)	2.88 ↓ (3.05)	2.99 ↑ (2.73)	6.2% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Volta Redonda - Grêmio Novorizontino?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Volta Redonda will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Volta Redonda: Du Fernandes (Inactive) Rai (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Novorizontino: Fabio Matheus (Yellow Cards) Marlon (Inactive) Nathan Fogaca (Inactive) Renato Palm (Inactive) Vitinho (Inactive)
There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Caio Roque (Inactive) Marquinhos (Inactive)
There are questionable in Novorizontino: Waguininho (Inactive)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Volta Redonda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Volta Redonda won against Grêmio Novorizontino?

Volta Redonda has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Volta Redonda?

Grêmio Novorizontino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Volta Redonda - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:

12.04.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Volta Redonda 1:0

Latest results of Volta Redonda

04.08.2025 Cuiabá - Volta Redonda 2:0 ✺

27.07.2025 Volta Redonda - Vila Nova 2:1 ✺

23.07.2025 Chapecoense - Volta Redonda 4:2 ✺

19.07.2025 Volta Redonda - Athletico Paranaense 3:2 ✺

14.07.2025 Botafogo SP - Volta Redonda 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino

03.08.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí 1:1 ✺

26.07.2025 CRB Maceio - Grêmio Novorizontino 4:0 ✺

23.07.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Goiás 1:0 ✺

17.07.2025 Remo - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - América Mineiro 3:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Avai	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Ceara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sport Recife	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Goias	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Nautico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	CRB	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Criciuma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Vila Nova FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Juventude	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ponte Preta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Fortaleza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Atletico GO	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	America MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Botafogo SP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Londrina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sao Bernardo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cuiaba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Operario-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Novorizontino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
      Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )