Result
1:0
26/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 13
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (381/440) | 82% (279/341) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (381/440) | 82% (279/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (40/62) | 44% (20/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (109/136) | 67% (78/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 50% (8/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.95 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Carlos Vinicius 🟨,
- 30', Bruno Melo 🟥,
- 34', Breno Lopes ↓, Felipe Jonatan ↑,
- 43', 1 - 0, Gabriel Mec ⚽, Enamorado J. (A),
- 45+6', Perez L. 🟨,
- 45+8', Vini Paulista 🟨,
- 45+8', Breno Lopes 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Perez L. ↓, Noriega E. ↑,
- 48', Viery 🟨,
- 59', Vini Paulista ↓, Willian Oliveira ↑,
- 59', Maicon ↓, Joao Pedro Chermont ↑,
- 69', Enamorado J. ↓, Tete ↑,
- 75', Gabriel Mec ↓, Nardoni J. ↑,
- 75', Carlos Vinicius ↓, Braithwaite M. ↑,
- 78', Pedro Rocha ↓, Lavega J. ↑,
- 78', Thiago Santos ↓, Tiago Coser ↑,
- 89', Arthur Melo ↓, Riquelme ↑,
- 90+5', Castro L. 🟨,
- 90+5', Castro L. 🟥,
- 90+8', Jacy 🟥,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
49.6% | Draw
28.2% | Coritiba
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Grêmio - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.83) |
3.34 ↑
(3.32) |
4.24 ↓
(4.25) |
6%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Coritiba?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Coritiba will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Grêmio is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Gustavo Martins
(Yellow Cards)
Joao Pedro
(Muscle Injury)
Marlon
(Broken ankle)
Villasanti M.
(Knee Injury)
Walter Kannemann
(Inactive)
Willian
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Coritiba: Gomez S.
(Yellow Cards)
Keno
(Inactive)
Pedro Morisco
(Shoulder Injury)
Renato Marques
(Red Card)
Rodrigo Rodrigues
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.5:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Coritiba?
Grêmio has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Grêmio?
Coritiba has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Coritiba were as follows:
01.11.2023
Coritiba
-
Grêmio
1:2
25.06.2023
Grêmio
-
Coritiba
5:1
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:12 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 15 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 19 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:26 | -13 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
