Result
7:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 10
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 77% | 23% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (535/612) | 57% (105/184) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.10 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (535/612) | 57% (105/184) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (26/48) | 23% (15/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (236/281) | 42% (30/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 4.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -2.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', Kinsella L. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Hutchinson I. ⚽, Archer E. (A),
- 39', 1 - 1, Walker J. ⚽,
- 41', Pell H. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 1, Walker J. ⚽, Vernam C. (A),
- 45', Pell H. 🟨,
- 45+4', Angol L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (5 - 0)
- 46', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Young L. ↑,
- 51', Angol L. 🟨,
- 54', 3 - 1, Kabia J. ⚽, McJannett C. (A),
- 54', Kinsella L. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
- 59', 4 - 1, Sweeney J. ⚽,
- 62', 5 - 1, Vernam C. ⚽,
- 63', Vernam C. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
- 63', Oduor C. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
- 67', Kabia J. ↓, Svanthorsson J. ↑,
- 67', Walker J. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
- 68', Green K. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
- 73', Hutchinson I. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
- 74', Willcox F. ↓, Harmon G. ↑,
- 80', 6 - 1, Sweeney J. ⚽,
- 81', Power D. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
- 83', 7 - 1, Khouri E. ⚽, Soonsup-Bell J. (A),
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town
64.5% | Draw
21.3% | Cheltenham Town
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.52) |
4.43 ↑
(4.19) |
6.71 ↑
(5.74) |
6%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 76.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grimsby Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2.
- In recent matches, Grimsby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cheltenham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cheltenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Grimsby has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Grimsby is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Inactive)
Lavelle S.
(Calf Injury)
Tharme D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T.
(Inactive)
Cundy R.
(Injury)
Thomas J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z.
(Inactive)
Rose D.
(Inactive)
Svanthorsson J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cheltenham: Mazionis J.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Cheltenham Town?
Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Grimsby Town?
Cheltenham Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
01.03.2025
Cheltenham Town
-
Grimsby Town
1:1
17.08.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Cheltenham Town
3:2
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 26 |
| 3 | Salford | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 24 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Crewe | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Fleetwood | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 11 | Bromley | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 21 |
| 12 | Barnet | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 21 |
| 14 | Colchester | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 18 |
| 15 | Barrow | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 15 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 |
| 20 | Cheltenham | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | 14 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 13 |
| 22 | Accrington | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:16 | -4 | 12 |
| 23 | Crawley | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 |
| 24 | Newport | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
