Cheltenham Town vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Whaddon Road (Cheltenham).

League Two - Round 28
Referee: Wager H. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.90	0.91
Ball possession
56%	44%
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
2	5
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	2
Passes
73% (272/374)	71% (218/307)
Yellow cards
2	3
Expected goals (xG)
0.90	0.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.18	1.66
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked shots
4	2
Shots inside the box
4	6
Shots outside the box
7	3
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
29	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free kicks
9	15
Passes
73% (272/374)	71% (218/307)
Long passes
46% (32/69)	41% (29/70)
Passes in final third
55% (63/115)	60% (73/121)
Crosses
16% (4/25)	21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.97	0.74
Throw ins
35	28
Fouls
15	9
Tackles
50% (5/10)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
53	52
Clearances
28	57
Interceptions
7	19
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.66	0.18
Goals prevented
-0.34	0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Green K. ⚽, Sweeney J. (A),
30', Turi G. D. 🟨,
45', Khouri E. 🟨,
45+1', Cundy R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Stevenson B. 🟨,
58', Rodgers H. 🟨,
60', Sweeney J. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
60', Soonsup-Bell J. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
68', Miller G. ↓, Jude-Boyd A. ↑,
71', Burns D. ↓, Cook A. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Cook A. ⚽, Kabia J. (A),
81', Vernam C. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
81', Green K. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cheltenham Town
25.4%

Draw
26.8%

Grimsby Town
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

26.4%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

25.2%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Cheltenham Town - Grimsby Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.46)	3.5 ↓ (3.52)	1.96 ↓ (1.99)	6.8% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Grimsby Town?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 18 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 0.
Cheltenham is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Grimsby is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, Grimsby has had a series of home games.
Grimsby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cheltenham: Sherring S. (Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Pym C. (Inactive) Svanthorsson J. (Illness)
There are questionable in Cheltenham: Broom R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H. (Inactive) Rose D. (Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Grimsby Town?

Cheltenham Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Cheltenham Town?

Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Grimsby Town were as follows:

27.09.2025 Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town 7:1

01.03.2025 Cheltenham Town - Grimsby Town 1:1

17.08.2024 Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town 3:2

Latest results of Cheltenham Town

17.01.2026 Oldham Athletic - Cheltenham Town 2:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Cheltenham Town - Leicester City 0:2 ✺

04.01.2026 Cheltenham Town - Crawley Town 3:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town 4:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Cheltenham Town - Swindon Town 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Grimsby Town

17.01.2026 Grimsby Town - Barnet 1:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Grimsby Town - Weston-super-Mare 3:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town 0:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town 1:0 ✺

26.12.2025 Grimsby Town - Oldham Athletic 0:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League