Grimsby Town vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
7:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 10
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.690.37
Ball Possession
77%23%
Total shots
273
Shots on target
131
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
87% (535/612)57% (105/184)
Yellow Cards
05
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.690.37
xG on target (xGOT)
4.100.74
Total shots
273
Shots on target
131
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
162
Shots outside the Box
111
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
476
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
87% (535/612)57% (105/184)
Long passes
54% (26/48)23% (15/66)
Passes in final third
84% (236/281)42% (30/71)
Crosses
26% (6/23)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.47
Throw-ins
1811
Fouls
1113
Tackles
55% (11/20)67% (8/12)
Duels won
6537
Clearances
1527
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.744.10
Goals prevented
-0.26-2.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', Kinsella L. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Hutchinson I. , Archer E. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 1, Walker J. ,
  • 41', Pell H. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 1, Walker J. , Vernam C. (A),
  • 45', Pell H. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Angol L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (5 - 0)
  • 46', Jude-Boyd A. , Young L. ,
  • 51', Angol L. 🟨,
  • 54', 3 - 1, Kabia J. , McJannett C. (A),
  • 54', Kinsella L. , Bickerstaff J. ,
  • 59', 4 - 1, Sweeney J. ,
  • 62', 5 - 1, Vernam C. ,
  • 63', Vernam C. , Soonsup-Bell J. ,
  • 63', Oduor C. , Rose D. ,
  • 67', Kabia J. , Svanthorsson J. ,
  • 67', Walker J. , Khouri E. ,
  • 68', Green K. , Staunton R. ,
  • 73', Hutchinson I. , Broom R. ,
  • 74', Willcox F. , Harmon G. ,
  • 80', 6 - 1, Sweeney J. ,
  • 81', Power D. , Taylor T. ,
  • 83', 7 - 1, Khouri E. , Soonsup-Bell J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
64.5%
Draw
21.3%
Cheltenham Town
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 22.3% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 21.9% 16%

Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.46
(1.52)
4.43
(4.19)
6.71
(5.74)
6%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 76.1%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grimsby Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2.
    • In recent matches, Grimsby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cheltenham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cheltenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Grimsby has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Grimsby is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Inactive) Lavelle S. (Calf Injury) Tharme D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Inactive) Cundy R. (Injury) Thomas J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z. (Inactive) Rose D. (Inactive) Svanthorsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cheltenham: Mazionis J. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Cheltenham Town - Grimsby Town 1:1
    17.08.2024 Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town 3:2
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall18112528:181035
    2Swindon18104431:24734
    3MK Dons1895435:201532
    4Notts Co1894530:201031
    5Bromley1886428:22630
    6Gillingham1978426:20629
    7Cambridge Utd1885520:16429
    8Salford1892724:25-129
    9Colchester1977528:21728
    10Chesterfield1877432:29328
    11Crewe1883727:24327
    12Grimsby1875632:25726
    13Fleetwood1875627:26126
    14Barnet1867522:19325
    15Tranmere1858530:27323
    16Oldham1858516:13323
    17Accrington1856721:22-121
    18Barrow1855818:23-520
    19Crawley1845922:30-817
    20Shrewsbury1845918:31-1317
    21Bristol Rovers18521115:31-1617
    22Cheltenham18521114:32-1817
    23Harrogate18441017:28-1116
    24Newport18331218:33-1512

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League