Result
2:0
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 40
- Referee: Marsden P. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (172/263) | 62% (142/230) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (172/263) | 62% (142/230) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/62) | 38% (21/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (54/100) | 53% (49/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.68 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 55 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Long Ch. ⚽, Demetriou M. (A),
- 31', Demetriou M. 🟨,
- 38', Luker J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Holicek M. ↓, Sanders M. H. ↑,
- 57', McEachran G. 🟨,
- 59', Cooney R. 🟨,
- 60', McEachran G. ↓, Thompson C. ↑,
- 60', Warren T. ↓, McJannett C. ↑,
- 62', Rodgers H. 🟨,
- 71', Luker J. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
- 77', Long Ch. ↓, Agius C. ↑,
- 82', Barrington L. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
- 87', Lankester J. 🟨,
- 87', Agius C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Lankester J. ↓, Hemmings K. ↑,
- 90+1', Cooney R. ↓, Billington L. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 0, Demetriou M. ⚽, Lowery T. (A),
- 90+7', Bogle O. ↓, Knight-Lebel J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra
34.7% | Draw
28.9% | Grimsby Town
36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grimsby Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.25) |
3.26 ↓
(3.5) |
2.6 ↓
(2.95) |
6.3%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 44.1% – 94.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 1.
- Crewe is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Grimsby is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Grimsby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Crewe: Finney C.
(Injury)
Robinson N.
(Inactive)
Tracey S.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Grimsby: Cass L.
(Injury)
Gardner C.
(Injury)
Obikwu J.
(Inactive)
Vernam C.
(Thigh Injury)
Wilson D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crewe: Connolly J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tabiner J.
(Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Crewe won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16:17 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Grimsby Town?
Crewe Alexandra has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Crewe Alexandra?
Grimsby Town has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town were as follows:
14.12.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
0:2
13.04.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Grimsby Town
0:3
09.12.2023
Grimsby Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
2:1
04.02.2023
Crewe Alexandra
-
Grimsby Town
0:3
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
Latest results of Grimsby Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Swindon | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bromley | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 15 | Barnet | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
| 19 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Crawley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 22 | Newport | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4:24 | -20 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
