Crewe Alexandra vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town
Result
2:0
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 40
  • Referee: Marsden P. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.930.61
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
65% (172/263)62% (142/230)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
0.930.61
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.25
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2723
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1618
Passes
65% (172/263)62% (142/230)
Long passes
44% (27/62)38% (21/55)
Passes in final third
54% (54/100)53% (49/92)
Crosses
7% (1/15)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.68
Fouls
1816
Tackles
50% (6/12)64% (9/14)
Duels won
5755
Clearances Total
1830
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.251.24
Goals prevented
0.25-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Long Ch. , Demetriou M. (A),
  • 31', Demetriou M. 🟨,
  • 38', Luker J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Holicek M. , Sanders M. H. ,
  • 57', McEachran G. 🟨,
  • 59', Cooney R. 🟨,
  • 60', McEachran G. , Thompson C. ,
  • 60', Warren T. , McJannett C. ,
  • 62', Rodgers H. 🟨,
  • 71', Luker J. , Davies J. ,
  • 77', Long Ch. , Agius C. ,
  • 82', Barrington L. , Burns D. ,
  • 87', Lankester J. 🟨,
  • 87', Agius C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Lankester J. , Hemmings K. ,
  • 90+1', Cooney R. , Billington L. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 0, Demetriou M. , Lowery T. (A),
  • 90+7', Bogle O. , Knight-Lebel J. ,

Chances of winning


Crewe Alexandra
34.7%
Draw
28.9%
Grimsby Town
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 26.7% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 26.1% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.
  • Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grimsby Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.25)
    3.26
    (3.5)
    2.6
    (2.95)
    6.3%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 44.1%94.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 1.
    • Crewe is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Grimsby is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Grimsby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Crewe: Finney C. (Injury) Robinson N. (Inactive) Tracey S. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Cass L. (Injury) Gardner C. (Injury) Obikwu J. (Inactive) Vernam C. (Thigh Injury) Wilson D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Crewe: Connolly J. (Hamstring Injury) Tabiner J. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Crewe won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16:17 (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Grimsby Town - Crewe Alexandra 0:2
    13.04.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town 0:3
    09.12.2023 Grimsby Town - Crewe Alexandra 2:1
    04.02.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town 0:3
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe440010:2812
    2Grimsby43109:4510
    3Chesterfield43017:529
    4Salford43016:519
    5MK Dons42208:178
    6Gillingham42207:348
    7Bromley42206:338
    8Harrogate42206:428
    9Cambridge Utd42116:517
    10Fleetwood42117:707
    11Walsall42024:406
    12Swindon42026:7-16
    13Tranmere31206:245
    14Colchester41215:415
    15Notts Co41127:614
    16Newport41124:5-14
    17Oldham40312:3-13
    18Barnet41033:6-33
    19Barrow41032:5-33
    20Accrington30122:5-31
    21Bristol Rovers40132:6-41
    22Crawley40132:7-51
    23Shrewsbury40131:10-91
    24Cheltenham40041:10-90

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League