Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 43
  • Referee: Rock D. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.351.87
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
32
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
25
Passes
60% (175/291)64% (221/348)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
2.351.87
xG on target (xGOT)
1.271.06
Total shots
168
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
93
Shots inside the box
127
Shots outside the box
41
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2516
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
01
Free kicks
58
Passes
60% (175/291)64% (221/348)
Long passes
36% (26/72)28% (30/107)
Passes in final third
61% (87/142)45% (60/133)
Crosses
17% (3/18)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
2.550.77
Throw ins
3840
Fouls
85
Tackles
63% (12/19)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5455
Clearances
3832
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper saves
00
xGOT faced
1.061.27
Goals prevented
-0.94-1.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Cook A. , Rodgers H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 49', 2 - 0, Green K. , Cook A. (A),
  • 58', 3 - 0, Cook A. , Burns D. (A),
  • 59', Powell J. , Agius C. ,
  • 62', Kacurri M. 🟨,
  • 66', Rodgers H. , Warren T. ,
  • 76', Oduor C. , Sweeney J. ,
  • 76', Turi G. D. , Walker J. ,
  • 76', Tezgel E. , Bogle O. ,
  • 76', March J. , Thibaut A. ,
  • 81', Cook A. , Soonsup-Bell J. ,
  • 82', Green K. , Amaluzor J. ,
  • 84', Hutchinson R. , Tracey S. ,
  • 88', 3 - 1, O'Reilly T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+7', 3 - 2, Demetriou M. ,

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
50.2%
Draw
25.2%
Crewe Alexandra
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 26.9% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 25.7% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Grimsby Town - Crewe Alexandra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.97)
    3.71
    (3.4)
    3.79
    (3.45)
    7%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Crewe Alexandra?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Crewe (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2.
    • Grimsby has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Crewe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Grimsby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Grimsby is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Khouri E. (Inactive) Sellars-Fleming T. (Injury) Tharme D. (Injury) Vernam C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Crewe: Lunt O. (Back Injury) Tabiner J. (Knee Injury) Thomas C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) McEachran G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Crewe: Lankester J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town 3:2
    01.04.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town 2:0
    14.12.2024 Grimsby Town - Crewe Alexandra 0:2
    13.04.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town 0:3
    09.12.2023 Grimsby Town - Crewe Alexandra 2:1
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League