Result
2:0
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 40
- Referee: Marsden P. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.93 | 0.61 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
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11 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Passes |
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65% (172/263) | 62% (142/230) |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.93 | 0.61 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.24 | 0.25 |
Total shots |
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11 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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7 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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27 | 23 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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16 | 18 |
Passes |
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65% (172/263) | 62% (142/230) |
Long passes |
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44% (27/62) | 38% (21/55) |
Passes in final third |
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54% (54/100) | 53% (49/92) |
Crosses |
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7% (1/15) | 30% (6/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.47 | 0.68 |
Fouls |
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18 | 16 |
Tackles |
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50% (6/12) | 64% (9/14) |
Duels won |
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57 | 55 |
Clearances Total |
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18 | 30 |
Interceptions |
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11 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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0.25 | 1.24 |
Goals prevented |
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0.25 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Long Ch. ⚽, Demetriou M. (A),
- 31', Demetriou M. 🟨,
- 38', Luker J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Holicek M. ↓, Sanders M. H. ↑,
- 57', McEachran G. 🟨,
- 59', Cooney R. 🟨,
- 60', McEachran G. ↓, Thompson C. ↑,
- 60', Warren T. ↓, McJannett C. ↑,
- 62', Rodgers H. 🟨,
- 71', Luker J. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
- 77', Long Ch. ↓, Agius C. ↑,
- 82', Barrington L. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
- 87', Lankester J. 🟨,
- 87', Agius C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Lankester J. ↓, Hemmings K. ↑,
- 90+1', Cooney R. ↓, Billington L. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 0, Demetriou M. ⚽, Lowery T. (A),
- 90+7', Bogle O. ↓, Knight-Lebel J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra 34.7% | Draw 28.9% | Grimsby Town 36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grimsby Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.69 ↑ (2.25) |
3.26 ↓ (3.5) |
2.6 ↓ (2.95) |
6.3% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 44.1% – 94.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 1.
- Crewe is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Grimsby is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Grimsby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Crewe: Finney C.
(Injury)
Robinson N.
(Inactive)
Tracey S.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Grimsby: Cass L.
(Injury)
Gardner C.
(Injury)
Obikwu J.
(Inactive)
Vernam C.
(Thigh Injury)
Wilson D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crewe: Connolly J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tabiner J.
(Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Crewe won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16:17 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Grimsby Town?
Crewe Alexandra has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Crewe Alexandra?
Grimsby Town has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town were as follows:
14.12.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
0:2
13.04.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Grimsby Town
0:3
09.12.2023
Grimsby Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
2:1
04.02.2023
Crewe Alexandra
-
Grimsby Town
0:3
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
Latest results of Grimsby Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Fleetwood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Chesterfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Harrogate | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Tranmere | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Accrington | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Notts Co | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | Newport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
14 | Oldham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
15 | MK Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
17 | Bromley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
18 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
20 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
21 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
22 | Salford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
23 | Barnet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
24 | Crawley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League