Result
2:1
24/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 3 |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (220/297) | 75% (270/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (220/297) | 75% (270/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (21/51) | 47% (28/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (52/83) | 59% (61/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Cespedes V. 🟨,
- 32', Villalba A. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Manzur A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Perez M. ↓, Vera E. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 0, Maldonado S. (Own goal),
- 61', Comas L. ↓, Pereira K. ↑,
- 61', Baez J. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
- 70', Fernandez D. 🟨,
- 72', Torres I. 🟨,
- 73', Manzur A. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
- 73', Cespedes V. ↓, Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Gonzalez W. ⚽, Ferreira R. (A),
- 83', Ramirez I. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
- 83', Fernandez D. ↓, Pinatares B. ↑,
- 84', Torres I. ↓, Parra A. ↑,
- 87', Gonzalez W. ↓, Pasadore F. ↑,
- 90+1', Maiz A. ↓, Patino Martinez J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion
44% | Draw
28.9% | Sportivo Luqueño
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Luqueño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.76) |
3.21 ↓
(3.5) |
3.41 ↓
(4.1) |
8%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Guaraní Asuncion will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Guaraní will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño were as follows:
23.03.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:1
03.12.2024
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:0
28.10.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:2
16.08.2024
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:1
25.05.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
0:1
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Guarani | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Sp. Luqueno | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Olimpia Asuncion | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 de Mayo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | General Caballero JLM | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5:17 | -12 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
