Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 22
- Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (263/351) | 72% (202/281) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (263/351) | 72% (202/281) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (35/80) | 43% (31/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (42/87) | 64% (80/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Benitez F. 🟨,
- 45', Aguilar A. 🟨,
- 45+4', Gonzalez W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Alborno R. ↓, Maldonado S. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 0, Mino Amarilla C. E. ⚽,
- 60', Ramos J. 🟨,
- 63', Ramos J. ↓, Rodriguez W. ↑,
- 63', Gonzalez W. ↓, Santander F. ↑,
- 68', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
- 68', Mino Amarilla C. E. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Santander F. ⚽, Ocampos S. (A),
- 75', Torales R. ↓, Mendieta W. ↑,
- 76', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- 77', Barbotte A. 🟨,
- 80', Manzur A. 🟨,
- 82', Benitez F. ↓, Baez J. ↑,
- 82', Manzur A. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
- 82', Martinez L. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
- 84', Brizuela A. 🟨,
- 87', Rodriguez W. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Fernandez D. ⚽,
- 90+7', Benitez A. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion
58.1% | Draw
24.4% | Sportivo Luqueño
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.54) |
3.86 ↑
(3.72) |
5.26 ↓
(6) |
7.5%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 3.
- Recent form of Guaraní has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Sportivo Luqueño has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Guaraní is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño were as follows:
05.09.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:3
24.05.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:1
23.03.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:1
03.12.2024
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:0
28.10.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:2
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Recoleta | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Guarani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Ameliano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Sp. Luqueno | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Sportivo Trinidense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
