Guaraní Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/11/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Rogelio Livieres (Asunción).

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 22
Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.79	0.97
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
5	5
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
75% (263/351)	72% (202/281)
Yellow Cards
3	6
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79	0.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.87	0.92
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
5	7
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
7	8
Shots outside the Box
4	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
24	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
6	0
Free Kicks
14	15
Passes
75% (263/351)	72% (202/281)
Long passes
44% (35/80)	43% (31/72)
Passes in final third
48% (42/87)	64% (80/125)
Crosses
20% (4/20)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.52	1.84
Throw-ins
13	19
Fouls
15	14
Tackles
63% (5/8)	82% (9/11)
Duels won
45	45
Clearances
14	31
Interceptions
1	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
4	5
xGOT faced
0.92	1.87
Goals prevented
-0.08	-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Benitez F. 🟨,
45', Aguilar A. 🟨,
45+4', Gonzalez W. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Alborno R. ↓, Maldonado S. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Mino Amarilla C. E. ⚽,
60', Ramos J. 🟨,
63', Ramos J. ↓, Rodriguez W. ↑,
63', Gonzalez W. ↓, Santander F. ↑,
68', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
68', Mino Amarilla C. E. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Santander F. ⚽, Ocampos S. (A),
75', Torales R. ↓, Mendieta W. ↑,
76', Ramirez I. 🟨,
77', Barbotte A. 🟨,
80', Manzur A. 🟨,
82', Benitez F. ↓, Baez J. ↑,
82', Manzur A. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
82', Martinez L. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
84', Brizuela A. 🟨,
87', Rodriguez W. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, Fernandez D. ⚽,
90+7', Benitez A. 🟥,

Chances of winning

Guaraní Asuncion
58.1%

Draw
24.4%

Sportivo Luqueño
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

24.7%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

24.9%

15.2%

Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.54)	3.86 ↑ (3.72)	5.26 ↓ (6)	7.5% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 3.
Recent form of Guaraní has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Sportivo Luqueño has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Guaraní is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Sportivo Luqueño?

Guaraní Asuncion has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Guaraní Asuncion?

Sportivo Luqueño has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño were as follows:

05.09.2025 Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion 2:3

24.05.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 2:1

23.03.2025 Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion 0:1

03.12.2024 Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion 1:0

28.10.2024 Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 2:2

Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion

23.11.2025 General Caballero JLM - Guaraní Asuncion 0:2 ✺

14.11.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion 0:4 ✺

09.11.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 1:2 ✺

05.11.2025 2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion 1:0 ✺

02.11.2025 Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño

21.11.2025 Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion 2:4 ✺

07.11.2025 Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Luqueño 2:3 ✺

02.11.2025 Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Ameliano 0:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Atlético Tembetary - Sportivo Luqueño 1:1 ✺

17.10.2025 Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense 1:0 ✺

Paraguayan Primera Division Table

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	2 de Mayo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Cerro Porteno	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Guarani	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Libertad Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Nacional Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Olimpia Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Sp. Luqueno	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Rubio Nu	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Sportivo Trinidense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	San Lorenzo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Recoleta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Ameliano	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )