Result
2:2
08/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 14
- Referee: Leprodhomme T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (429/500) | 87% (400/460) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (429/500) | 87% (400/460) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (19/42) | 62% (28/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (62/88) | 76% (92/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 50% (3/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 22 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | -1.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', Fall C. 🟨,
- 14', 1 - 0, Mafouta L. ⚽,
- 26', 2 - 0, Hemia A. ⚽,
- 29', Fall C. ↓, Touzghar R. ↑,
- 38', 2 - 1, Pouilly T. ⚽, Meddah D. (A),
- 39', N'Landu D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Bobichon A. ↓, Zuliani E. ↑,
- 57', Dong K. ↓, Sadik O. ↑,
- 66', N'Landu D. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
- 66', Ourega D. ↓, Ott G. ↑,
- 68', Zuliani E. 🟨,
- 74', Briancon A. 🟨,
- 76', Messi R. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
- 77', Mafouta L. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
- 78', Sagna A. ↓, Koffi E. ↑,
- 90+3', Meddah D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Hemia A. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Sissoko O. ⚽,
- 90+4', Pouilly T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guingamp
45.2% | Draw
26.5% | Pau
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Guingamp - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(2.06) |
3.54 ↑
(3.5) |
3.28 ↑
(3.26) |
6.8%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Guingamp - Pau?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Pau will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Guingamp may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Guingamp might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Guingamp: Mbemba F.
(Inactive)
Nair S.
(Ankle Injury)
Ortola A.
(Elbow Injury)
Planeix I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Pau: Gasnier K.
(Inactive)
Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Meddah D.
(Yellow Cards)
Ruiz J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Guingamp: Sidibe K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Pau: Raveyre N.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 2.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Pau?
Guingamp has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Guingamp?
Pau has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Pau were as follows:
10.05.2025
Pau
-
Guingamp
1:3
18.10.2024
Guingamp
-
Pau
0:1
27.04.2024
Pau
-
Guingamp
1:2
26.08.2023
Guingamp
-
Pau
4:0
22.04.2023
Pau
-
Guingamp
2:1
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 50:29 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 41:29 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Red Star | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 5 | Reims | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Rodez | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Amiens | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Bastia | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
