Pau vs Guingamp – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Pau
31.8%
Draw
26.8%
Guingamp
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 26.1% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 25.7% 41.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Pau - Guingamp Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (2.93)
    3.47
    (3.58)
    2.25
    (2.22)
    7.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Pau won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1.1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Guingamp were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Guingamp - Pau 2:2
    10.05.2025 Pau - Guingamp 1:3
    18.10.2024 Guingamp - Pau 0:1
    27.04.2024 Pau - Guingamp 1:2
    26.08.2023 Guingamp - Pau 4:0
    Latest results of Pau
    10.04.2026 Amiens - Pau 0:1
    06.04.2026 Le Mans - Pau 4:0
    20.03.2026 Pau - Montpellier 0:0
    13.03.2026 Clermont - Pau 0:1
    06.03.2026 Pau - Bastia 2:2
    Latest results of Guingamp
    10.04.2026 Guingamp - Grenoble 1:1
    03.04.2026 Annecy - Guingamp 1:0
    21.03.2026 Guingamp - Reims 0:2
    13.03.2026 Guingamp - Amiens 1:0
    06.03.2026 Laval - Guingamp 2:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes29177551:302158
    2St Etienne30176753:312257
    3Le Mans301412445:291654
    4Red Star30149736:30651
    5Reims301212643:281548
    6Rodez291112636:34245
    7Montpellier301281035:27844
    8Annecy301271136:34243
    9Pau FC301191041:48-742
    10Dunkerque3010101045:37840
    11Guingamp3010101039:42-340
    12Boulogne30991230:38-836
    13Grenoble306141029:36-732
    14Clermont30791434:41-730
    15Nancy30791427:43-1630
    16Laval304131326:43-1725
    17Amiens30661834:52-1824
    18Bastia303121519:36-1721

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National