Guingamp vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
08/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 14
  • Referee: Leprodhomme T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.45
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
86% (429/500)87% (400/460)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.641.69
Total shots
79
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2123
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
187
Passes
86% (429/500)87% (400/460)
Long passes
45% (19/42)62% (28/45)
Passes in final third
70% (62/88)76% (92/121)
Crosses
14% (2/14)10% (2/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.401.03
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
718
Tackles
87% (13/15)50% (3/6)
Duels won
4422
Clearances
2317
Interceptions
816
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.690.64
Goals prevented
-0.31-1.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', Fall C. 🟨,
  • 14', 1 - 0, Mafouta L. ,
  • 26', 2 - 0, Hemia A. ,
  • 29', Fall C. , Touzghar R. ,
  • 38', 2 - 1, Pouilly T. , Meddah D. (A),
  • 39', N'Landu D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Bobichon A. , Zuliani E. ,
  • 57', Dong K. , Sadik O. ,
  • 66', N'Landu D. , Ahile T. ,
  • 66', Ourega D. , Ott G. ,
  • 68', Zuliani E. 🟨,
  • 74', Briancon A. 🟨,
  • 76', Messi R. , Sissoko O. ,
  • 77', Mafouta L. , Kielt S. ,
  • 78', Sagna A. , Koffi E. ,
  • 90+3', Meddah D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Hemia A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Sissoko O. ,
  • 90+4', Pouilly T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guingamp
45.2%
Draw
26.5%
Pau
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 26.5% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 26% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Guingamp - Pau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.06)
    3.54
    (3.5)
    3.28
    (3.26)
    6.8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Guingamp - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Pau will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Guingamp may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Guingamp might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Mbemba F. (Inactive) Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Ortola A. (Elbow Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Pau: Gasnier K. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Meddah D. (Yellow Cards) Ruiz J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Guingamp: Sidibe K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pau: Raveyre N. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 2.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Pau were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Pau - Guingamp 1:3
    18.10.2024 Guingamp - Pau 0:1
    27.04.2024 Pau - Guingamp 1:2
    26.08.2023 Guingamp - Pau 4:0
    22.04.2023 Pau - Guingamp 2:1
    Latest results of Guingamp
    31.10.2025 Guingamp - Laval 2:0
    28.10.2025 Grenoble - Guingamp 0:0
    24.10.2025 Guingamp - Clermont 0:1
    17.10.2025 Boulogne - Guingamp 2:2
    03.10.2025 Guingamp - Nancy 2:2
    Latest results of Pau
    03.11.2025 Pau - Troyes 1:1
    28.10.2025 Saint-Étienne - Pau 6:0
    24.10.2025 Pau - Dunkerque 0:3
    17.10.2025 Grenoble - Pau 1:1
    03.10.2025 Pau - Clermont 3:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes25146540:251548
    2St Etienne25144744:291546
    3Reims25119537:231442
    4Le Mans251011430:24641
    5Red Star25118630:25541
    6Annecy25116834:25939
    7Dunkerque25108741:271438
    8Rodez25910631:31037
    9Montpellier251051028:25335
    10Guingamp2598835:36-135
    11Pau FC2597937:42-534
    12Grenoble25611824:29-529
    13Clermont25771129:33-428
    14Nancy25761222:33-1127
    15Boulogne25761225:36-1127
    16Amiens25651428:41-1323
    17Laval253101219:35-1619
    18Bastia25391312:27-1518

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National