Result
3:0
15/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 17
- Referee: Demirkiran B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (412/487) | 83% (347/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (412/487) | 83% (347/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (18/39) | 49% (23/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (71/100) | 69% (46/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.57 | -1.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Cakir B. 🟨,
- 17', Demir M. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
- 28', 1 - 0, Coban B. ⚽, Demir E. (A),
- 42', Saglam G. ↓, Aydin S. M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Guler E. ↓, Aksoy E. ↑,
- 47', Aydin S. M. 🟨,
- 64', Dursun S. 🟨,
- 64', Kobiljar R. ↓, Altiparmak B. ↑,
- 64', Coban B. ↓, Akuazaoku U. ↑,
- 69', Alici K. 🟨,
- 70', Parmak A. ↓, Aksoy D. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 0, Zwolinski L. ⚽, Erdogan E. (A),
- 75', 3 - 0, Vukovic J. ⚽, Kakuta G. (A),
- 76', Kakuta G. ↓, Ben Yedder W. ↑,
- 88', Alici K. ↓, Aydemir E. ↑,
- 90', Matur O. 🟨,
- 90', Matur O. 🟨,
- 90+1', Demir E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sakaryaspor
72.9% | Draw
16.3% | Hatayspor
10.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-25.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sakaryaspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hatayspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sakaryaspor - Hatayspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.26 ↓
(1.33) |
5.72 ↑
(5.22) |
8.58 ↑
(7.37) |
8.7%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - Hatayspor?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Hatayspor will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakaryaspor: 30.4% – 86.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent form of Sakaryaspor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Hatayspor is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sakaryaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sakaryaspor is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Bayram A.
(Suspended)
Kolovetsios D.
(Knee Injury)
Sanli B.
(Inactive)
Tekogul Y.
(Suspended)
Turken A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Hatayspor: Demir C.
(Suspended)
Temel S.
(Suspended)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sakaryaspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Hatayspor?
Sakaryaspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Sakaryaspor?
Hatayspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Hatayspor were as follows:
16.01.2024
Hatayspor
-
Sakaryaspor
5:1
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Latest results of Hatayspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
