Result
60:93
24/05/2025 at 02:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFL - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 Canada | TSN 5 |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 5 |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Behinds |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Kicks |
|---|
| 198 | 242 |
| Handballs |
|---|
| 171 | 124 |
| Disposals |
|---|
| 369 | 366 |
| Frees For |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Frees Against |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 24 | 41 |
| Marks |
|---|
| 110 | 110 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36 | 59 |
| Hitouts |
|---|
| 49 | 30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Quarter (19 - 15)
- 03:54, Fletcher J. (Behind),
- 07:30, Morris L. (G),
- 09:43, McCluggage H. (Behind),
- 11:05, Morris L. (G),
- 13:34, Macdonald C. (G),
- 16:43, Weddle J. (G),
- 24:55, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
- 26:52, (Behind Rushed),
- 27:44, Hardwick B. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (15 - 42)
- 02:01, Bailey Z. (G),
- 06:01, Ah Chee C. (G),
- 09:39, Watson N. (Behind),
- 14:22, Macdonald C. (G),
- 16:54, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 18:58, Ah Chee C. (G),
- 21:09, Macdonald C. (G),
- 22:41, Cameron C. (G),
- 24:12, Cameron C. (G),
- 25:43, Cameron C. (G),
- 28:25, Ashcroft L. (G),
- 32', Macdonald C. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (16 - 14)
- 02:57, Worpel J. (Behind),
- 03:36, Rayner C. (G),
- 08:52, Nash C. (G),
- 10:09, Gardiner D. (Behind),
- 12:28, Ward J. (Behind),
- 13:30, Ah Chee C. (G),
- 17:00, Ginnivan J. (G),
- 21:07, Lohmann K. (Behind),
- 23:06, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 23:54, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (10 - 22)
- 00:36, Rayner C. (G),
- 02:19, Rayner C. (Behind),
- 04:14, Chol M. (Behind),
- 05:17, Jiath C. (Behind),
- 08:17, Ah Chee C. (G),
- 09:40, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
- 12:07, Rayner C. (Behind),
- 13:19, Ashcroft W. (G),
- 17:51, McCluggage H. (Behind),
- 18:25, Moore D. (G),
- 20:03, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
- 26:27, Maginness F. (Behind),
Chances of winning
Hawthorn Hawks
64.3% | Brisbane Lions
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hawthorn Hawks's performance.Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brisbane Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hawthorn Hawks that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+12.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brisbane Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.69) |
|
2.59 ↑
(2.19) |
7.3%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 173.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)
What is the prediction for Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Hawthorn will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 94:80.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 5.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Hawthorn is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1485:1303. (average 87.4:76.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1151:900. (average 95.9:75).
How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Brisbane Lions?
Hawthorn Hawks has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Lions won against Hawthorn Hawks?
Brisbane Lions has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions were as follows:
25.05.2024
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Brisbane Lions
100:75
09.06.2023
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Brisbane Lions
98:73
Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
Latest results of Brisbane Lions
AFL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | %% | Pts |
| 1 | Adelaide Crows | 20 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 2019:1401 | 144.11 | 60 |
| 2 | Collingwood Magpies | 19 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 1742:1290 | 135.04 | 60 |
| 3 | Brisbane Lions | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 1689:1524 | 110.83 | 54 |
| 4 | Geelong Cats | 19 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 1949:1452 | 134.23 | 52 |
| 5 | Hawthorn Hawks | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 1764:1500 | 117.60 | 52 |
| 6 | Fremantle Dockers | 19 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 1636:1464 | 111.75 | 52 |
| 7 | GWS Giants | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 1766:1586 | 111.35 | 52 |
| 8 | Western Bulldogs | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 2165:1577 | 137.29 | 48 |
| 9 | Gold Coast Suns | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 1677:1403 | 119.53 | 48 |
| 10 | Sydney Swans | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 1499:1596 | 93.92 | 36 |
| 11 | Port Adelaide Power | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 1419:1706 | 83.18 | 32 |
| 12 | Carlton Blues | 19 | 7 | 0 | 12 | 1450:1554 | 93.31 | 28 |
| 13 | Melbourne Demons | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 1532:1703 | 89.96 | 24 |
| 14 | St Kilda Saints | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 1535:1777 | 86.38 | 24 |
| 15 | Essendon Bombers | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 1227:1712 | 71.67 | 24 |
| 16 | Richmond Tigers | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 1223:1796 | 68.10 | 20 |
| 17 | North Melbourne | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 1422:1954 | 72.77 | 18 |
| 18 | West Coast Eagles | 19 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 1249:1968 | 63.47 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )
