Result
89:79
24/08/2025 at 05:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFL - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 5 |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 9 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Behinds |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Kicks |
|---|
| 240 | 183 |
| Handballs |
|---|
| 152 | 159 |
| Disposals |
|---|
| 392 | 342 |
| Frees For |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Frees Against |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 42 | 34 |
| Marks |
|---|
| 112 | 63 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57 | 53 |
| Hitouts |
|---|
| 41 | 41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Quarter (8 - 21)
- 02:27, Newcombe J. (Behind),
- 04:16, Cameron C. (Behind),
- 05:58, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 06:52, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
- 08:13, Chol M. (G),
- 11:26, (Behind Rushed),
- 13:44, McCluggage H. (Behind),
- 14:57, Chol M. (G),
- 19:41, Morris L. (Behind),
- 22:30, Day S. (Behind),
- 24:27, Cameron C. (Behind),
- 25:24, Day S. (Behind),
- 26:59, Chol M. (G),
- 28:51, Newcombe J. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (38 - 20)
- 02:25, McCluggage H. (G),
- 06:05, Dunkley J. (Behind),
- 09:17, Gunston J. (G),
- 12:53, Fletcher J. (G),
- 16:12, Lohmann K. (G),
- 18:37, Lohmann K. (G),
- 20:25, Dear C. (Behind),
- 21:41, (Behind Rushed),
- 24:22, Cameron C. (G),
- 28:52, Lewis M. (G),
- 31:42, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
- 33:24, Rayner C. (G),
- 34:42, Ginnivan J. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (21 - 15)
- 00:30, Morris L. (G),
- 02:22, Cameron C. (G),
- 03:55, Rayner C. (Behind),
- 04:40, Rayner C. (Behind),
- 05:49, Cameron C. (Behind),
- 07:28, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 08:35, (Behind Rushed),
- 09:47, Gunston J. (G),
- 12:42, Dunkley J. (Behind),
- 14:28, Meek L. (G),
- 15:57, (Behind Rushed),
- 20:31, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:41, McCluggage H. (Behind),
- 22:55, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 24:18, Amon K. (Behind),
- 25:07, Sicily J. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (22 - 23)
- 01:01, Moore D. (G),
- 02:09, Newcombe J. (Behind),
- 04:50, (Behind Rushed),
- 05:30, McCluggage H. (G),
- 07:17, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
- 09:45, Meek L. (Behind),
- 11:35, Fort D. (Behind),
- 13', (Behind Rushed),
- 14:43, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 16:47, Ginnivan J. (G),
- 20:11, Reville B. (G),
- 21:28, Rayner C. (G),
- 23:35, (Behind Rushed),
- 27:19, Watson N. (G),
- 32', (Behind),
Chances of winning
Brisbane Lions
57.6% | Hawthorn Hawks
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Brisbane Lions - Hawthorn Hawks Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.58) |
|
2.22 ↓
(2.4) |
8%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 167.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 1.
- In recent matches, Brisbane has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hawthorn is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Hawthorn has had a series of home games.
- Brisbane might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1396:1545. (average 77.6:85.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 403:334. (average 80.6:66.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Lions won against Hawthorn Hawks?
Brisbane Lions has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Brisbane Lions?
Hawthorn Hawks has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Lions - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
24.05.2025
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Brisbane Lions
60:93
25.05.2024
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Brisbane Lions
100:75
09.06.2023
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Brisbane Lions
98:73
Latest results of Brisbane Lions
Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Adelaide Crows (1) | Collingwood Magpies (4) | 55 : 79 |
| 3 | Brisbane Lions | Bye | |
| 4 | Fremantle Dockers (6) | Gold Coast Suns (7) | 79 : 80 |
| 5 | Geelong Cats (2) | Brisbane Lions (3) | 112 : 74 |
| 7 | Adelaide Crows | Bye | |
| 8 | GWS Giants (5) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 88 : 107 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Collingwood Magpies (4) | Bye | |
| 2 | Brisbane Lions (3) | Gold Coast Suns (7) | 100 : 47 |
| 3 | Geelong Cats (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Adelaide Crows (1) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 67 : 101 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Collingwood Magpies (4) | Brisbane Lions (3) | |
| 2 | Geelong Cats (2) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 115 : 85 |
Final
