Helmond Sport vs Jong AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Helmond Sport - Jong AZ Alkmaar
Result
4:2
17/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 11
  • Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.331.42
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
82% (359/436)84% (310/371)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.331.42
xG on target (xGOT)
3.002.86
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
612
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2920
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
82% (359/436)84% (310/371)
Long passes
48% (31/65)54% (31/57)
Passes in final third
64% (68/107)68% (73/108)
Crosses
19% (3/16)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.540.70
Throw-ins
1421
Fouls
1114
Tackles
50% (6/12)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4937
Clearances
1828
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.863.00
Goals prevented
0.86-1.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Bouziane W. ,
  • 25', Inge K. , Zwart J. ,
  • 34', Daneels L. (Pen),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Daneels L. ,
  • 43', 1 - 2, van Duijn S. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Ogenia J. , Leipold A. ,
  • 51', 2 - 2, Bajrami L. (Pen),
  • 56', Budko B. 🟨,
  • 56', 3 - 2, Bajrami L. , Daneels L. (A),
  • 58', Budko B. , de Wit H. ,
  • 58', 4 - 2, Makanza N. , Essakkati T. (A),
  • 69', Twisk N. , van der Klaauw D. ,
  • 69', Bouziane W. , Smits A. ,
  • 69', Toppenberg K. , van den Ban Y. ,
  • 70', Daneels L. 🟨,
  • 77', Vos D. , Van Den Eynden F. ,
  • 77', Essakkati T. , Semic L. ,
  • 82', Bajrami L. , Geerts J. ,
  • 88', Poll T. , Ingason H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Helmond Sport
47.1%
Draw
26%
Jong AZ Alkmaar
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 25.3% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 24.4% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Jong AZ Alkmaar aligns with the current prediction.
  • Helmond Sport - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.01)
    3.64
    (3.7)
    3.58
    (3.37)
    5.7%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Helmond Sport is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:1
    18.10.2024 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Helmond Sport 2:3
    11.03.2024 Helmond Sport - Jong AZ Alkmaar 3:1
    10.11.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Helmond Sport 2:1
    23.01.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Helmond Sport 1:1
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag12111035:82734
    2Cambuur1383226:17927
    3Roda1374225:16925
    4Jong PSV1363425:21421
    5Waalwijk1363424:20421
    6Willem II1262415:19-420
    7Den Bosch1362524:27-320
    8Dordrecht1354418:17119
    9Venlo1360719:18118
    10De Graafschap1244419:19016
    11FC Emmen1351722:25-316
    12Helmond1351716:19-316
    13Jong Utrecht1343616:21-515
    14Maastricht1242613:19-614
    15Jong AZ1342721:24-314
    16Oss1335518:24-614
    17Almere City1332823:23011
    18Eindhoven FC133289:27-1811
    19Jong Ajax1315719:26-78
    20Vitesse1143422:1933

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