Result
4:2
17/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 11
- Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (359/436) | 84% (310/371) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 2.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (359/436) | 84% (310/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (31/65) | 54% (31/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (68/107) | 68% (73/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.86 | 3.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.86 | -1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 17', 0 - 1, Bouziane W. ⚽,
- 25', Inge K. ↓, Zwart J. ↑,
- 34', Daneels L. (Pen),
- 34', 1 - 1, Daneels L. ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 2, van Duijn S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Ogenia J. ↓, Leipold A. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 2, Bajrami L. (Pen),
- 56', Budko B. 🟨,
- 56', 3 - 2, Bajrami L. ⚽, Daneels L. (A),
- 58', Budko B. ↓, de Wit H. ↑,
- 58', 4 - 2, Makanza N. ⚽, Essakkati T. (A),
- 69', Twisk N. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
- 69', Bouziane W. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
- 69', Toppenberg K. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
- 70', Daneels L. 🟨,
- 77', Vos D. ↓, Van Den Eynden F. ↑,
- 77', Essakkati T. ↓, Semic L. ↑,
- 82', Bajrami L. ↓, Geerts J. ↑,
- 88', Poll T. ↓, Ingason H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Helmond Sport
47.1% | Draw
26% | Jong AZ Alkmaar
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+1.4%)The ML Model estimate for Jong AZ Alkmaar aligns with the current prediction.
Helmond Sport - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.01) |
3.64 ↓
(3.7) |
3.58 ↑
(3.37) |
5.7%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Helmond Sport is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Helmond Sport has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Helmond Sport?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
26.01.2025
Helmond Sport
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:1
18.10.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Helmond Sport
2:3
11.03.2024
Helmond Sport
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
3:1
10.11.2023
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Helmond Sport
2:1
23.01.2023
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Helmond Sport
1:1
Latest results of Helmond Sport
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35:8 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:17 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Waalwijk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Willem II | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 7 | Den Bosch | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 | Dordrecht | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Venlo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 19:18 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | De Graafschap | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | FC Emmen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Helmond | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Maastricht | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | Jong AZ | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Oss | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 | Almere City | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 11 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
