Result
5:1
11/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.98 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (522/582) | 78% (248/317) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.98 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.56 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (522/582) | 78% (248/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (29/47) | 25% (9/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (132/161) | 69% (74/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 3.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.78 | -1.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Veteli J. 🟥,
- 33', Vaisanen S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (5 - 1)
- 46', Ulundu V. ↓, Raymond A. ↑,
- 59', Lyons-Foster B. ↓, Simojoki K. ↑,
- 59', Riski Ro. ↓, Hytonen T. ↑,
- 60', Kanga J. ↓, Stjopin M. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 1, Jukkola O. ⚽, Raymond A. (A),
- 65', Kanellopoulos G. ↓, Lingman L. ↑,
- 65', Besuijen V. ↓, Pukki T. ↑,
- 69', Jukkola O. ↓, Wallius K. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Pukki T. ⚽, Michel B. (A),
- 72', 2 - 1, Antzoulas G. ⚽,
- 75', Mentu P. ↓, Kallinen J. ↑,
- 83', Maenpaa A. ↓, Akinyemi A. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 1, Pukki T. (Pen),
- 89', 4 - 1, Hostikka S. ⚽, Michel B. (A),
- 90+1', Popovitch A. 🟨,
- 90+3', 5 - 1, Ring A. ⚽, Pukki T. (A),
Chances of winning
HJK
38.6% | Draw
24.9% | Ilves
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-5%)
HJK - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.35) |
3.8 ↑
(3.64) |
2.58 ↓
(2.82) |
6.2%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for HJK - Ilves?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). Ilves will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ilves: 48.6% – 80.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ilves will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ))
- HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
- Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- HJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in HJK: Ezeh D.
(Inactive)
Moller L.
(Inactive)
O'Shaughnessy D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ilves: Jukkola O.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HJK won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:21. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, HJK won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against Ilves?
HJK has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against HJK?
Ilves has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HJK - Ilves were as follows:
05.04.2025
Ilves
-
HJK
3:2
28.09.2024
HJK
-
Ilves
0:1
06.07.2024
Ilves
-
HJK
3:0
25.05.2024
HJK
-
Ilves
1:1
22.07.2023
HJK
-
Ilves
1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku ✔ | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 44:19 | 25 | 43 |
| 2 | Ilves ✔ | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 45:26 | 19 | 42 |
| 3 | KuPS ✔ | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 35:21 | 14 | 40 |
| 4 | HJK ✔ | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 47:26 | 21 | 38 |
| 5 | SJK ✔ | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 41:28 | 13 | 37 |
| 6 | VPS | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 31:32 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | Gnistan | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 30:35 | -5 | 25 |
| 8 | Jaro | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22:38 | -16 | 21 |
| 10 | Haka ✔ | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 23:37 | -14 | 16 |
| 11 | AC Oulu ✔ | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 25:43 | -18 | 15 |
| 12 | KTP ✔ | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23:51 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
SJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Haka is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
AC Oulu is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
