Result
30/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Ilves
47.3% | Draw
22.8% | HJK
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Ilves - HJK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.97) |
4.12 ↑
(4) |
3.14 ↑
(3.07) |
6.5%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 and 5)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 3.
- Recent performances by Ilves have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- HJK is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ilves could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:38. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against HJK?
Ilves has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against Ilves?
HJK has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - HJK were as follows:
29.09.2025
HJK
-
Ilves
2:2
11.08.2025
HJK
-
Ilves
5:1
05.04.2025
Ilves
-
HJK
3:2
28.09.2024
HJK
-
Ilves
0:1
06.07.2024
Ilves
-
HJK
3:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 54:28 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | KuPS | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 55:31 | 24 | 57 |
| 3 | Ilves | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 62:39 | 23 | 56 |
| 4 | SJK | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 62:45 | 17 | 54 |
| 5 | HJK | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 71:45 | 26 | 48 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 44:59 | -15 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
