Result
3:2
05/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (497/581) | 82% (351/430) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (497/581) | 82% (351/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (15/44) | 59% (27/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (109/161) | 68% (76/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 56% (5/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.40 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 49 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | -1.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Hostikka S. ⚽,
- 14', 0 - 2, Hostikka S. ⚽, O'Shaughnessy D. (A),
- 38', 1 - 2, Ala-Myllymaki L. ⚽, Veteli J. (A),
- 42', Kanellopoulos G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 64', Kanellopoulos G. ↓, Kallinen J. ↑,
- 64', Mentu P. ↓, Moller L. ↑,
- 67', Hytonen T. ↓, Riski Ro. ↑,
- 67', Ala-Myllymaki L. ↓, Tiitinen O. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 2, Hostikka S. (Own goal),
- 73', Soderback M. ↓, Wallius K. ↑,
- 73', Hostikka S. ↓, Bande H. ↑,
- 77', 3 - 2, Tiitinen O. ⚽, Jukkola O. (A),
- 85', Stjopin M. ↓, Aspegren F. ↑,
- 85', Veteli J. ↓, Kanga J. ↑,
- 85', Ring A. ↓, Kokcu O. ↑,
- 85', Lyons-Foster B. ↓, Simojoki K. ↑,
- 90+2', Kallinen J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ilves
35.9% | Draw
28.6% | HJK
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Ilves - HJK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(2.6) |
3.27 ↑
(3.05) |
2.63 ↓
(2.65) |
7%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ilves - HJK?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). HJK will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ilves: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ilves won 2.
- Ilves is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches HJK is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Ilves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Ilves have a series of home games.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Ilves won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 18:31 (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ilves won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against HJK?
Ilves has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against Ilves?
HJK has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - HJK were as follows:
28.09.2024
HJK
-
Ilves
0:1
06.07.2024
Ilves
-
HJK
3:0
25.05.2024
HJK
-
Ilves
1:1
22.07.2023
HJK
-
Ilves
1:0
21.05.2023
Ilves
-
HJK
1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku ✔ | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 36:13 | 23 | 37 |
| 2 | Ilves ✔ | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
| 3 | KuPS | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31:20 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | HJK | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 32 |
| 5 | SJK | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 32:27 | 5 | 28 |
| 6 | VPS | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Gnistan | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:31 | -8 | 20 |
| 8 | Jaro | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 19 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:33 | -16 | 18 |
| 10 | Haka | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21:33 | -12 | 16 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 23:36 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | KTP | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21:40 | -19 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
