Ilves vs HJK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Finnish Veikkausliiga Ilves - HJK
30/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Ilves
47.3%
Draw
22.8%
HJK
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 23.1% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 21.6% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Ilves - HJK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.97)
    4.12
    (4)
    3.14
    (3.07)
    6.5%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 and 5)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 3.
    • Recent performances by Ilves have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • HJK is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Ilves could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:38. (average 1.2:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.6:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - HJK were as follows:
    29.09.2025 HJK - Ilves 2:2
    11.08.2025 HJK - Ilves 5:1
    05.04.2025 Ilves - HJK 3:2
    28.09.2024 HJK - Ilves 0:1
    06.07.2024 Ilves - HJK 3:0
    Latest results of Ilves
    25.10.2025 Gnistan - Ilves 1:3
    19.10.2025 Ilves - Inter Turku 1:2
    16.10.2025 Ilves - KuPS Kuopio 1:1
    04.10.2025 SJK - Ilves 2:1
    29.09.2025 HJK - Ilves 2:2
    Latest results of HJK
    26.10.2025 HJK - Inter Turku 1:1
    22.10.2025 HJK - SJK 3:4
    19.10.2025 KuPS Kuopio - HJK 3:1
    03.10.2025 HJK - Gnistan 2:3
    29.09.2025 HJK - Ilves 2:2
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku29169454:282657
    2KuPS28176555:312457
    3Ilves29175762:392356
    4SJK28166662:451754
    5HJK29146971:452648
    6Gnistan29871444:59-1531

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