New York City vs Houston Dynamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.562.41
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
87% (533/615)76% (274/362)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.562.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.052.52
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
87% (533/615)76% (274/362)
Long passes
62% (40/65)35% (19/55)
Passes in final third
76% (142/188)64% (56/87)
Crosses
14% (3/21)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.40
Throw-ins
2223
Fouls
1010
Tackles
58% (7/12)72% (18/25)
Duels won
3849
Clearances
2042
Interceptions
313
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.520.05
Goals prevented
-0.470.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Haak J. (Own goal),
  • 35', Duenas E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Junior Urso , Artur ,
  • 50', 0 - 2, Segal G. ,
  • 63', Felipe Andrade 🟨,
  • 65', Moralez M. , Carrizo M. ,
  • 65', Haak J. , Cavallo N. ,
  • 65', Martinez A. , Bakrar M. ,
  • 65', Wolf H. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 65', Gray T. 🟨,
  • 71', Duenas E. , Lingr O. ,
  • 72', Felipe Andrade , Dorsey G. ,
  • 74', Shore J. , Parks K. ,
  • 82', McGlynn J. , Holmes D. ,
  • 85', O'Neill A. 🟨,
  • 89', Lodeiro N. , Ortiz P. ,
  • 90+2', Cavallo N. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 0 - 3, Segal G. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
50.8%
Draw
25.7%
Houston Dynamo
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 26.8% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 27% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • New York City - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.96)
    3.71
    (3.54)
    4.05
    (3.83)
    4.9%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for New York City - Houston Dynamo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - NY City (2.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - NY City (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: New York City will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New York City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 9 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, NY City is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in NY City: Jones M. (Broken Leg)
    • There will not play in Houston: Ennali L. (Knee Injury) Ponce E. (Yellow Cards) Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY City: O'Toole K. (Leg Injury) Perea A. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Holmes D. (Ankle Injury) Junior Urso (Lower-Body Injury) Steres D. (Lower-Body Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, NY City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
    25.03.2023 Houston Dynamo - New York City 1:0
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps440014:11312
    2Los Angeles FC44008:0812
    3San Diego FC431011:3810
    4San Jose Earthquakes43016:159
    5Seattle Sounders43015:239
    6Real Salt Lake43017:529
    7Colorado Rapids42027:616
    8Houston Dynamo32015:506
    9FC Dallas41216:605
    10Los Angeles Galaxy41126:7-14
    11Austin FC41125:7-24
    12Sporting Kansas City41124:7-34
    13Minnesota United41124:11-74
    14Portland Timbers41036:11-53
    15St. Louis City40131:6-51


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York City431011:3810
    2Nashville SC43108:2610
    3Inter Miami42116:607
    4New York Red Bulls42114:5-17
    5DC United42024:406
    6Charlotte41214:5-15
    7Chicago Fire41125:414
    8Toronto FC41124:7-34
    9New England Revolution31027:613
    10Atlanta Utd41035:8-33
    11FC Cincinnati41033:8-53
    12CF Montreal41034:10-63
    13Orlando City41035:12-73
    14Columbus Crew40224:6-22
    15Philadelphia Union40042:7-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)