New York City vs Houston Dynamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.562.41
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
87% (533/615)76% (274/362)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.562.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.052.52
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
87% (533/615)76% (274/362)
Long passes
62% (40/65)35% (19/55)
Passes in final third
76% (142/188)64% (56/87)
Crosses
14% (3/21)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.40
Throw-ins
2223
Fouls
1010
Tackles
58% (7/12)72% (18/25)
Duels won
3849
Clearances
2042
Interceptions
313
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.520.05
Goals prevented
-0.470.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Haak J. (Own goal),
  • 35', Duenas E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Junior Urso , Artur ,
  • 50', 0 - 2, Segal G. ,
  • 63', Felipe Andrade 🟨,
  • 65', Moralez M. , Carrizo M. ,
  • 65', Haak J. , Cavallo N. ,
  • 65', Martinez A. , Bakrar M. ,
  • 65', Wolf H. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 65', Gray T. 🟨,
  • 71', Duenas E. , Lingr O. ,
  • 72', Felipe Andrade , Dorsey G. ,
  • 74', Shore J. , Parks K. ,
  • 82', McGlynn J. , Holmes D. ,
  • 85', O'Neill A. 🟨,
  • 89', Lodeiro N. , Ortiz P. ,
  • 90+2', Cavallo N. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 0 - 3, Segal G. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
50.8%
Draw
25.7%
Houston Dynamo
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 26.8% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 27% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • New York City - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.96)
    3.71
    (3.54)
    4.05
    (3.83)
    4.9%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for New York City - Houston Dynamo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - NY City (2.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - NY City (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: New York City will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New York City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 9 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, NY City is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in NY City: Jones M. (Broken Leg)
    • There will not play in Houston: Ennali L. (Knee Injury) Ponce E. (Yellow Cards) Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY City: O'Toole K. (Leg Injury) Perea A. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Holmes D. (Ankle Injury) Junior Urso (Lower-Body Injury) Steres D. (Lower-Body Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, NY City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
    25.03.2023 Houston Dynamo - New York City 1:0
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC651014:01416
    2Vancouver Whitecaps650117:41315
    3San Jose Earthquakes650110:1915
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6FC Dallas632114:9511
    7San Diego FC632113:8511
    8Colorado Rapids630313:1039
    9Minnesota United62226:12-68
    10Houston Dynamo52038:10-26
    11Austin FC61327:9-26
    12Los Angeles Galaxy61238:10-25
    13St. Louis City61235:8-35
    14Portland Timbers61149:15-64
    15Sporting Kansas City61146:14-84


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC641113:31013
    2New York City632114:7711
    3Charlotte632112:7511
    4Inter Miami632111:10111
    5Chicago Fire63128:5310
    6Toronto FC63129:10-110
    7New York Red Bulls63129:13-410
    8DC United62134:8-47
    9New England Revolution520311:926
    10FC Cincinnati62049:15-66
    11Columbus Crew61238:9-15
    12Atlanta Utd61146:11-54
    13CF Montreal61057:17-103
    14Orlando City61055:23-183
    15Philadelphia Union60064:11-70

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)