Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/07/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

America First Field (Sandy, UT).

MLS
Referee: Penso C. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	1.56
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
17	19
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
1	6
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
83% (333/403)	87% (489/563)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	1.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.84	0.14
Total shots
17	19
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
4	11
Blocked Shots
8	4
Shots inside the Box
11	14
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	6
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
23	32
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
8	15
Passes
83% (333/403)	87% (489/563)
Long passes
59% (29/49)	45% (19/42)
Passes in final third
71% (69/97)	81% (138/170)
Crosses
63% (5/8)	44% (8/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.43	1.66
Throw-ins
18	18
Fouls
15	8
Tackles
47% (9/19)	85% (11/13)
Duels won
42	44
Clearances
30	5
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
0.14	1.84
Goals prevented
0.14	0.84

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', Felipe Andrade 🟨,
40', Artur 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Agada W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Ojeda B. 🟨,
67', Ojeda B. ↓, Hidalgo B. ↑,
67', Katranis A. ↓, Vera B. ↑,
67', Gozo Z. ↓, Piol A. ↑,
68', Caliskan N. 🟨,
70', Bassi A. ↓, Kowalczyk S. ↑,
70', Ennali L. ↓, Lingr O. ↑,
70', Felipe Andrade ↓, Dorsey G. ↑,
72', Agada W. 🟨,
83', Artur ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
87', Agada W. ↓, Quinton P. ↑,
89', Raines B. ↓, Segal G. ↑,
90+2', Caliskan N. ↓, Eneli E. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Real Salt Lake
48.8%

Draw
25.4%

Houston Dynamo
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

26.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

26.5%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Real Salt Lake - Houston Dynamo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.02)	3.74 ↑ (3.52)	3.67 ↑ (3.59)	5.2% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Real Salt Lake - Houston Dynamo?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Salt Lake will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Houston will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Houston (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salt Lake won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Salt Lake is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Salt Lake: Brown J. (Knee Injury) Eneli E. (Foot Injury) MacMath Z. (Back Injury) Wolff T. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Houston: Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Salt Lake won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Salt Lake won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Salt Lake won against Houston Dynamo?

Real Salt Lake has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Houston Dynamo won against Real Salt Lake?

Houston Dynamo has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Salt Lake - Houston Dynamo were as follows:

15.03.2025 Houston Dynamo - Real Salt Lake 1:2

14.09.2024 Houston Dynamo - Real Salt Lake 4:1

05.08.2024 Houston Dynamo - Real Salt Lake 3:0

03.07.2024 Real Salt Lake - Houston Dynamo 3:2

11.11.2023 Houston Dynamo - Real Salt Lake 2:1

Latest results of Real Salt Lake

05.07.2025 Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City 3:2 ✺

14.06.2025 Real Salt Lake - DC United 2:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - Real Salt Lake 2:0 ✺

28.05.2025 Austin FC - Real Salt Lake 1:1 ✺

24.05.2025 Real Salt Lake - Vancouver Whitecaps 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Houston Dynamo

05.07.2025 San Diego - Houston Dynamo 3:4 ✺

25.06.2025 Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo 3:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal 1:3 ✺

31.05.2025 Houston Dynamo - Sporting Kansas City 1:3 ✺

28.05.2025 New York City - Houston Dynamo 0:3 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Los Angeles FC	6	5	1	0	14:0	14	16
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	6	5	0	1	17:4	13	15
3	San Jose Earthquakes	6	5	0	1	10:1	9	15
4	Real Salt Lake	6	4	1	1	12:8	4	13
5	Seattle Sounders	6	4	1	1	6:2	4	13
6	FC Dallas	6	3	2	1	14:9	5	11
7	San Diego FC	6	3	2	1	13:8	5	11
8	Colorado Rapids	6	3	0	3	13:10	3	9
9	Minnesota United	6	2	2	2	6:12	-6	8
10	Houston Dynamo	5	2	0	3	8:10	-2	6
11	Austin FC	6	1	3	2	7:9	-2	6
12	Los Angeles Galaxy	6	1	2	3	8:10	-2	5
13	St. Louis City	6	1	2	3	5:8	-3	5
14	Portland Timbers	6	1	1	4	9:15	-6	4
15	Sporting Kansas City	6	1	1	4	6:14	-8	4

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nashville SC	6	4	1	1	13:3	10	13
2	New York City	6	3	2	1	14:7	7	11
3	Charlotte	6	3	2	1	12:7	5	11
4	Inter Miami	6	3	2	1	11:10	1	11
5	Chicago Fire	6	3	1	2	8:5	3	10
6	Toronto FC	6	3	1	2	9:10	-1	10
7	New York Red Bulls	6	3	1	2	9:13	-4	10
8	DC United	6	2	1	3	4:8	-4	7
9	New England Revolution	5	2	0	3	11:9	2	6
10	FC Cincinnati	6	2	0	4	9:15	-6	6
11	Columbus Crew	6	1	2	3	8:9	-1	5
12	Atlanta Utd	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
13	CF Montreal	6	1	0	5	7:17	-10	3
14	Orlando City	6	1	0	5	5:23	-18	3
15	Philadelphia Union	6	0	0	6	4:11	-7	0

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)