Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Real Salt Lake - Houston Dynamo
Result
1:0
12/07/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Penso C. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.56
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1719
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
83% (333/403)87% (489/563)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.840.14
Total shots
1719
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
411
Blocked Shots
84
Shots inside the Box
1114
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2332
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
815
Passes
83% (333/403)87% (489/563)
Long passes
59% (29/49)45% (19/42)
Passes in final third
71% (69/97)81% (138/170)
Crosses
63% (5/8)44% (8/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.431.66
Throw-ins
1818
Fouls
158
Tackles
47% (9/19)85% (11/13)
Duels won
4244
Clearances
305
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.141.84
Goals prevented
0.140.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', Felipe Andrade 🟨,
  • 40', Artur 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Agada W. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Ojeda B. 🟨,
  • 67', Ojeda B. , Hidalgo B. ,
  • 67', Katranis A. , Vera B. ,
  • 67', Gozo Z. , Piol A. ,
  • 68', Caliskan N. 🟨,
  • 70', Bassi A. , Kowalczyk S. ,
  • 70', Ennali L. , Lingr O. ,
  • 70', Felipe Andrade , Dorsey G. ,
  • 72', Agada W. 🟨,
  • 83', Artur , Holmes D. ,
  • 87', Agada W. , Quinton P. ,
  • 89', Raines B. , Segal G. ,
  • 90+2', Caliskan N. , Eneli E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Salt Lake
48.8%
Draw
25.4%
Houston Dynamo
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 26.8% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 26.5% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Real Salt Lake - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.02)
    3.74
    (3.52)
    3.67
    (3.59)
    5.2%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Real Salt Lake - Houston Dynamo?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Salt Lake will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Houston will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salt Lake won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Salt Lake is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Salt Lake: Brown J. (Knee Injury) Eneli E. (Foot Injury) MacMath Z. (Back Injury) Wolff T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Houston: Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Salt Lake won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Salt Lake won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Salt Lake - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Houston Dynamo - Real Salt Lake 1:2
    14.09.2024 Houston Dynamo - Real Salt Lake 4:1
    05.08.2024 Houston Dynamo - Real Salt Lake 3:0
    03.07.2024 Real Salt Lake - Houston Dynamo 3:2
    11.11.2023 Houston Dynamo - Real Salt Lake 2:1
    Latest results of Real Salt Lake
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 32176956:391757
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    3Minnesota United ✔ 321510752:371555
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders311210954:47746
    6Austin FC311281134:40-644
    7Portland Timbers3211111041:43-244
    8Colorado Rapids321171442:53-1140
    9San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    10FC Dallas319111147:51-438
    11Real Salt Lake311141635:46-1137
    12Houston Dynamo32991441:52-1136
    13St. Louis City32771839:55-1628
    14Sporting Kansas City32761946:67-2127
    15Los Angeles Galaxy31591741:62-2124


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 32196756:332363
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3New York City ✔ 321751049:41856
    4Inter Miami ✔ 30168665:471856
    5Charlotte ✔ 321721352:46653
    6Nashville SC321651155:391653
    7Orlando City30149758:431551
    8Columbus Crew321311851:49250
    9Chicago Fire311461159:53648
    10New York Red Bulls321271347:43443
    11New England Revolution32981541:45-435
    12Toronto FC315131331:38-728
    13CF Montreal32691733:56-2327
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United325101729:64-3525

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)