Result
1:2
29/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Play Offs - Final
- Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (332/406) | 71% (145/203) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (332/406) | 71% (145/203) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (41/66) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (99/155) | 64% (50/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Fydriszewski F. ⚽, Chaverra F. (A),
- 31', 1 - 1, Mosquera H. ⚽, Moreno V. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Leon B. 🟨,
- 57', Perlaza B. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
- 65', Fernandez O. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
- 73', Moreno V. 🟨,
- 74', Mosquera H. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 74', Moreno V. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
- 74', Perlaza E. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 2, Rodallega H. ⚽, Lopez E. (A),
- 82', Berrio L. ↓, Marcus Vinicius ↑,
- 82', Perlaza E. ↓, Melendez J. ↑,
- 82', Mosquera J. ↓, Arizala J. ↑,
- 83', Rodallega H. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 85', Martinez Yepez H. E. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
- 85', Palacios J. ↓, Chaverra L. ↑,
- 90+5', Mosquera A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2j386kdm
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín
56.2% | Draw
27.2% | Independiente Santa Fe
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.93) |
3.41 ↑
(3.11) |
5.56 ↑
(4.38) |
7.4%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 1.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- In this match, Ind Medellín is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Ind Medellín will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 0.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Independiente Medellín has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Independiente Medellín?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
24.06.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Independiente Medellín
0:0
14.04.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Independiente Medellín
1:2
18.10.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
10.02.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:1
02.08.2023
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Independiente Medellín
1:0
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Pereira | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Alianza | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Envigado | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Chico | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | La Equidad | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Aguilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 | America De Cali | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
