Independiente Medellín vs Independiente Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/10/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 14
Referee: Marquez C. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.91	0.56
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
19	4
Shots on target
7	1
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
2	0
Passes
87% (380/438)	75% (180/240)
Yellow Cards
4	5
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91	0.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.62	0.92
Total shots
19	4
Shots on target
7	1
Shots off target
8	2
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
11	2
Shots outside the Box
8	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
2	0
Touches in opposition box
28	3
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
18	12
Passes
87% (380/438)	75% (180/240)
Long passes
57% (23/40)	54% (30/56)
Passes in final third
79% (144/182)	51% (22/43)
Crosses
20% (4/20)	50% (1/2)
Expected assists (xA)
1.52	0.32
Throw-ins
15	12
Fouls
12	18
Tackles
64% (7/11)	100% (3/3)
Duels won
37	25
Clearances
7	20
Interceptions
4	5
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	6
xGOT faced
0.92	1.62
Goals prevented
-0.08	0.62

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Berrio L. 🟨,
23', Leon B. 🟨,
26', Melendez J. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Rodallega H. ⚽, Torres J. (A),
29', Sosa J. 🟨,
42', Mena Perea E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Serna A. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
48', Asprilla W. 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Fydriszewski F. ⚽,
61', Mafla C. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
68', Berrio L. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
74', Moreno Y. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
74', Rodriguez A. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
77', Melendez J. 🟨,
77', Torres J. 🟨,
84', Chaverra L. 🟨,
85', Chaverra L. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
85', Leon B. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
85', Rodallega H. ↓, Moreno V. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4xfe2ar4

Chances of winning

Independiente Medellín
55.4%

Draw
25.9%

Independiente Santa Fe
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28.8%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

28.2%

21.5%

Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.87)	3.58 ↑ (3.2)	4.97 ↑ (4.2)	6.2% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 2.
Ind Medellín is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Santa Fe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ind Medellín has had a series of away games.
In this match, Ind Medellín is the team to beat.
We predict that Ind Medellín will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 0.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Independiente Santa Fe?

Independiente Medellín has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Independiente Medellín?

Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:

01.10.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 0:3

24.09.2025 Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2

29.06.2025 Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2

24.06.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 0:0

14.04.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 1:2

Latest results of Independiente Medellín

17.10.2025 Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF 3:1 ✺

13.10.2025 Once Caldas - Independiente Medellín 1:5 ✺

08.10.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Medellín 2:1 ✺

01.10.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 0:3 ✺

27.09.2025 Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellín 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe

17.10.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Santa Fe 0:0 ✺

12.10.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA 1:3 ✺

01.10.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 0:3 ✺

28.09.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad 3:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dep. Pasto	4	3	0	1	5:5	0	9
2	Bucaramanga	4	2	2	0	10:4	6	8
3	Deportes Tolima	4	2	2	0	6:2	4	8
4	America De Cali	4	2	1	1	6:3	3	7
5	Inter Bogotu00e1	4	2	1	1	5:6	-1	7
6	Atl. Nacional	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
7	Dep. Cali	4	2	0	2	7:4	3	6
8	Llaneros	4	1	3	0	5:3	2	6
9	Santa Fe	4	1	3	0	5:4	1	6
10	Once Caldas	4	1	3	0	5:4	1	6
11	Fortaleza	4	1	3	0	3:2	1	6
12	Junior	3	2	0	1	5:5	0	6
13	Aguilas	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5
14	Jaguares de Cordoba	3	1	1	1	4:4	0	4
15	Cucuta	4	0	2	2	5:7	-2	2
16	Pereira	4	0	2	2	4:7	-3	2
17	Ind. Medellin	4	0	2	2	3:6	-3	2
18	Millonarios	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1
19	Chico	4	0	1	3	1:7	-6	1
20	Alianza	4	0	1	3	1:9	-8	1

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )