Result
1:2
29/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Play Offs - Final
- Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.72 | 0.69 |
Ball Possession |
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67% | 33% |
Total shots |
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11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 3 |
Passes |
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82% (332/406) | 71% (145/203) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.72 | 0.69 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.35 | 1.49 |
Total shots |
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11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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2 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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2 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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9 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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11 | 9 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 13 |
Passes |
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82% (332/406) | 71% (145/203) |
Long passes |
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62% (41/66) | 41% (22/54) |
Passes in final third |
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64% (99/155) | 64% (50/78) |
Crosses |
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30% (8/27) | 22% (2/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.93 | 0.35 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 9 |
Fouls |
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13 | 13 |
Tackles |
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100% (8/8) | 64% (9/14) |
Duels won |
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40 | 41 |
Clearances |
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11 | 39 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
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1.49 | 1.35 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.51 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Fydriszewski F. ⚽, Chaverra F. (A),
- 31', 1 - 1, Mosquera H. ⚽, Moreno V. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Leon B. 🟨,
- 57', Perlaza B. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
- 65', Fernandez O. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
- 73', Moreno V. 🟨,
- 74', Mosquera H. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 74', Moreno V. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
- 74', Perlaza E. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 2, Rodallega H. ⚽, Lopez E. (A),
- 82', Berrio L. ↓, Marcus Vinicius ↑,
- 82', Perlaza E. ↓, Melendez J. ↑,
- 82', Mosquera J. ↓, Arizala J. ↑,
- 83', Rodallega H. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 85', Martinez Yepez H. E. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
- 85', Palacios J. ↓, Chaverra L. ↑,
- 90+5', Mosquera A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2j386kdm
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín 56.2% | Draw 27.2% | Independiente Santa Fe 16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 ↓ (1.93) |
3.41 ↑ (3.11) |
5.56 ↑ (4.38) |
7.4% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 1.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- In this match, Ind Medellín is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Ind Medellín will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 0.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Independiente Medellín has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Independiente Medellín?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
24.06.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Independiente Medellín
0:0
14.04.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Independiente Medellín
1:2
18.10.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
10.02.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:1
02.08.2023
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Independiente Medellín
1:0
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
2 | Junior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Chico | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
10 | Llaneros | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
11 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
12 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
14 | U. Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
17 | La Equidad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
18 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
19 | Millonarios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )