Result
1:1
20/10/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Marquez C. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (380/438) | 75% (180/240) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (380/438) | 75% (180/240) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (23/40) | 54% (30/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (144/182) | 51% (22/43) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 50% (1/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 100% (3/3) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 25 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', Berrio L. 🟨,
- 23', Leon B. 🟨,
- 26', Melendez J. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 1, Rodallega H. ⚽, Torres J. (A),
- 29', Sosa J. 🟨,
- 42', Mena Perea E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Serna A. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
- 48', Asprilla W. 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 1, Fydriszewski F. ⚽,
- 61', Mafla C. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 68', Berrio L. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
- 74', Moreno Y. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
- 74', Rodriguez A. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
- 77', Melendez J. 🟨,
- 77', Torres J. 🟨,
- 84', Chaverra L. 🟨,
- 85', Chaverra L. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
- 85', Leon B. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 85', Rodallega H. ↓, Moreno V. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4xfe2ar4
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín 55.4% | Draw 25.9% | Independiente Santa Fe 18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.72 ↓ (1.87) |
3.58 ↑ (3.2) |
4.97 ↑ (4.2) |
6.2% (8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 2.
- Ind Medellín is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Santa Fe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ind Medellín has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ind Medellín is the team to beat.
- We predict that Ind Medellín will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Independiente Medellín has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Independiente Medellín?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
01.10.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Independiente Medellín
0:3
24.09.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:2
29.06.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:2
24.06.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Independiente Medellín
0:0
14.04.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Independiente Medellín
1:2
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Medellin ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 43:28 | 15 | 37 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 37:22 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31:17 | 14 | 37 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 27:16 | 11 | 35 |
| 5 | Fortaleza ✔ | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25:17 | 8 | 35 |
| 6 | Junior | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 32 |
| 7 | Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | America De Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 26 |
| 9 | Alianza | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 26 |
| 10 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 25 |
| 12 | Millonarios | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Once Caldas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 23 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 18 |
| 16 | Pereira | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19:32 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Envigado | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 23:27 | -4 | 16 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 13:25 | -12 | 16 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 10:29 | -19 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Medellin is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Bucaramanga is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Fortaleza is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )