Independiente Medellín vs Independiente Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
20/10/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 14
  • Referee: Marquez C. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.910.56
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
194
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
20
Passes
87% (380/438)75% (180/240)
Yellow Cards
45
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.910.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.620.92
Total shots
194
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
20
Touches in opposition box
283
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1812
Passes
87% (380/438)75% (180/240)
Long passes
57% (23/40)54% (30/56)
Passes in final third
79% (144/182)51% (22/43)
Crosses
20% (4/20)50% (1/2)
Expected assists (xA)
1.520.32
Throw-ins
1512
Fouls
1218
Tackles
64% (7/11)100% (3/3)
Duels won
3725
Clearances
720
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.921.62
Goals prevented
-0.080.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', Berrio L. 🟨,
  • 23', Leon B. 🟨,
  • 26', Melendez J. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Rodallega H. , Torres J. (A),
  • 29', Sosa J. 🟨,
  • 42', Mena Perea E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Serna A. , Barrera J. ,
  • 48', Asprilla W. 🟨,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Fydriszewski F. ,
  • 61', Mafla C. , Angulo J. ,
  • 68', Berrio L. , Perlaza B. ,
  • 74', Moreno Y. , Zapata A. ,
  • 74', Rodriguez A. , Mosquera H. ,
  • 77', Melendez J. 🟨,
  • 77', Torres J. 🟨,
  • 84', Chaverra L. 🟨,
  • 85', Chaverra L. , Sandoval L. ,
  • 85', Leon B. , Valencia J. ,
  • 85', Rodallega H. , Moreno V. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4xfe2ar4

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
55.4%
Draw
25.9%
Independiente Santa Fe
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 28.8% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3% 28.2% 21.5%

Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.72
(1.87)
3.58
(3.2)
4.97
(4.2)
6.2%
(8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 2.
    • Ind Medellín is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Santa Fe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ind Medellín has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Ind Medellín is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Ind Medellín will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
    01.10.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 0:3
    24.09.2025 Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2
    29.06.2025 Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2
    24.06.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 0:0
    14.04.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 1:2
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura - Quadrangular

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior31203:215
    2Atl. Nacional31202:115
    3America De Cali31113:304
    4Ind. Medellin30121:3-21


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportes Tolima43104:1310
    2Bucaramanga31112:204
    3Santa Fe41034:403
    4Fortaleza31022:5-33

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Final)