Banfield vs Independiente Rivadavia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Banfield - Independiente Rivadavia
Result
1:1
11/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Zamora E. D. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldDisney+, TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.680.85
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
70% (174/250)76% (301/398)
Yellow Cards
63
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.680.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.670.76
Total shots
107
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1514
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1617
Passes
70% (174/250)76% (301/398)
Long passes
40% (20/50)46% (29/63)
Passes in final third
60% (50/83)52% (47/91)
Crosses
19% (4/21)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.86
Fouls
1716
Tackles
67% (12/18)89% (17/19)
Duels won
5658
Clearances Total
2133
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.760.67
Goals prevented
-0.24-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Lopez S. ,
  • 18', Arturia M. 🟨,
  • 40', Studer S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Cardillo M. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 46', Bottari T. , Retamar K. ,
  • 62', Arturia M. , Nasif T. ,
  • 63', Rivera G. , Adoryan T. ,
  • 69', Alaniz A. , Diaz D. ,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 76', Ortega T. , Sartori F. ,
  • 76', Osella A. , Valenti M. ,
  • 77', Pombo J. 🟨,
  • 80', Rio M. 🟨,
  • 81', Diaz D. 🟨,
  • 83', Vega G. , Obando A. ,
  • 83', Retamar K. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Sartori F. , Villa S. (A),
  • 85', Barbieri J. , Peinipil M. ,
  • 89', Amarfil M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Pombo J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Banfield
37.3%
Draw
33%
Independiente Rivadavia
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 31.4% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 32.6% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Banfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Banfield's form might have worsened.
  • Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Rivadavia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Banfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Banfield - Independiente Rivadavia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.11)
    2.87
    (3)
    3.15
    (3.97)
    6%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

  • Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : TyC Sports
  • What is the prediction for Banfield - Independiente Rivadavia?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Banfield will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Independiente R will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Banfield: 4%71%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Banfield won 4.
    • Banfield is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Independiente R is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Independiente R could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Banfield will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Banfield: Alvarez J. (Knee Injury) Bisanz J. (Inactive) Bonifacio E. (Injury) Palavecino L. (Muscle Injury) Sepulveda B. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Flores S. (Inactive) Gomez L. (Muscle Injury) Ramis V. (Inactive)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Banfield won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:6 (average 2.1:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Banfield won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:1 (average 3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Banfield - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
    23.09.2024 Banfield - Independiente Rivadavia 2:0
    30.05.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Banfield 1:2
    31.03.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Banfield 1:2
    Latest results of Banfield
    06.04.2025 Racing - Banfield 4:1
    01.04.2025 Banfield - Villa Mitre 1:0
    04.03.2025 Banfield - Independiente 0:0
    Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barracas Central63219:7211
    2Defensa y Justicia62316:429
    3Estudiantes L.P53027:619
    4Huracan53024:5-19
    5Union de Santa Fe52216:248
    6Belgrano52215:238
    7Tigre62226:608
    8Central Cordoba51405:417
    9Banfield52127:8-17
    10Boca Juniors51315:326
    11Newells Old Boys51315:506
    12Argentinos Jrs51222:3-15
    13Ind. Rivadavia61236:8-25
    14Racing Club51133:5-24
    15Aldosivi50321:5-43


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate532011:3811
    2Lanus53025:329
    3San Lorenzo52214:318
    4Velez Sarsfield52214:318
    5Rosario Central51403:217
    6Dep. Riestra52125:507
    7Gimnasia L.P52124:407
    8Atl. Tucuman51315:506
    9Sarmiento Junin51315:6-16
    10Platense51314:5-16
    11San Martin S.J51224:5-15
    12Talleres Cordoba51223:4-15
    13Instituto51222:9-75
    14Godoy Cruz50324:7-33
    15Independiente50234:7-32

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)