Result
1:5
06/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3 |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Brazil | Paramount+ |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Italy | Como TV |
Peru | Disney+ |
Russia | Okko Sport |
South-america | ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.55 | 2.69 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
72% (194/270) | 84% (413/494) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.55 | 2.69 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.54 | 3.93 |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 14 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 34 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
72% (194/270) | 84% (413/494) |
Long passes |
---|
43% (19/44) | 47% (22/47) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (53/86) | 65% (72/110) |
Crosses |
---|
7% (1/14) | 28% (5/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.72 | 1.46 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
62% (16/26) | 47% (8/17) |
Duels won |
---|
55 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
33 | 13 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.93 | 0.54 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.07 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 1 - 0, Anello A. ⚽, Martinez F. (A),
- 14', 1 - 1, Gimenez M. ⚽, Cabral L. (A),
- 21', 1 - 2, Millan L. ⚽, Tarzia D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Barcia B. ↓, Viera G. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 3, Tarzia D. ⚽, Gimenez M. (A),
- 61', Acosta J. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 4, Gimenez M. (Pen),
- 67', Albarracin A. ↓, Gutierrez J. ↑,
- 67', Noguera F. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
- 67', Anello A. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 71', Gimenez M. 🟨,
- 73', Cabral L. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
- 74', Gimenez M. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
- 82', Millan L. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
- 82', Lomonaco K. ↓, Freire N. ↑,
- 84', Amado A. 🟨,
- 85', Amado A. ↓, Munoa F. ↑,
- 89', Rodrigo Fernandez ↓, Medina J. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 5, Hidalgo S. ⚽, Tarzia D. (A),
Chances of winning
Boston River 19.1% | Draw 26.5% | Independiente 54.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Boston River - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.89 ↑ (4.5) |
3.55 ↓ (3.73) |
1.73 ↓ (1.74) |
6.3% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Boston River - Independiente?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Boston River will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Independiente will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Boston River (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Independiente (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Boston River is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Independiente is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Boston River has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Independiente is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boston River won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Boston River won against Independiente?
Boston River has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Boston River?
Independiente has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boston River - Independiente were as follows:
08.04.2025
Independiente
-
Boston River
2:1
Latest results of Boston River
Latest results of Independiente
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
4 | Bye | Independiente | |
5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
6 | Bye | Lanus | |
7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | |
2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | |
3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | |
4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | |
5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | |
6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | |
7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | |
8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal