Boston River vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Boston River - Independiente
Result
1:5
06/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
italyItalyComo TV
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.552.69
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
519
Shots on target
17
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
72% (194/270)84% (413/494)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.552.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.543.93
Total shots
519
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
314
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1534
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
72% (194/270)84% (413/494)
Long passes
43% (19/44)47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
62% (53/86)65% (72/110)
Crosses
7% (1/14)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.721.46
Throw-ins
2027
Fouls
1411
Tackles
62% (16/26)47% (8/17)
Duels won
5553
Clearances
3313
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
3.930.54
Goals prevented
-1.07-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Anello A. , Martinez F. (A),
  • 14', 1 - 1, Gimenez M. , Cabral L. (A),
  • 21', 1 - 2, Millan L. , Tarzia D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Barcia B. , Viera G. ,
  • 46', 1 - 3, Tarzia D. , Gimenez M. (A),
  • 61', Acosta J. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 4, Gimenez M. (Pen),
  • 67', Albarracin A. , Gutierrez J. ,
  • 67', Noguera F. , Rodriguez F. ,
  • 67', Anello A. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 71', Gimenez M. 🟨,
  • 73', Cabral L. , Montiel S. ,
  • 74', Gimenez M. , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 82', Millan L. , Mancuello F. ,
  • 82', Lomonaco K. , Freire N. ,
  • 84', Amado A. 🟨,
  • 85', Amado A. , Munoa F. ,
  • 89', Rodrigo Fernandez , Medina J. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 5, Hidalgo S. , Tarzia D. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boston River
19.1%
Draw
26.5%
Independiente
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.9% 25.1% 54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8% 26.5% 57%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Boston River - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.89
    (4.5)
    3.55
    (3.73)
    1.73
    (1.74)
    6.3%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Boston River - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Boston River will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Independiente will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Boston River (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Independiente (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Boston River is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Independiente is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Boston River has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Independiente is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boston River won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boston River - Independiente were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Independiente - Boston River 2:1
    Latest results of Boston River
    Latest results of Independiente
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2