Result
1:5
06/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3 |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 2.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (194/270) | 84% (413/494) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 2.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 3.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (194/270) | 84% (413/494) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (19/44) | 47% (22/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (53/86) | 65% (72/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (16/26) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.93 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.07 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 1 - 0, Anello A. ⚽, Martinez F. (A),
- 14', 1 - 1, Gimenez M. ⚽, Cabral L. (A),
- 21', 1 - 2, Millan L. ⚽, Tarzia D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Barcia B. ↓, Viera G. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 3, Tarzia D. ⚽, Gimenez M. (A),
- 61', Acosta J. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 4, Gimenez M. (Pen),
- 67', Albarracin A. ↓, Gutierrez J. ↑,
- 67', Noguera F. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
- 67', Anello A. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 71', Gimenez M. 🟨,
- 73', Cabral L. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
- 74', Gimenez M. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
- 82', Millan L. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
- 82', Lomonaco K. ↓, Freire N. ↑,
- 84', Amado A. 🟨,
- 85', Amado A. ↓, Munoa F. ↑,
- 89', Rodrigo Fernandez ↓, Medina J. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 5, Hidalgo S. ⚽, Tarzia D. (A),
Chances of winning
Boston River
19.1% | Draw
26.5% | Independiente
54.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Boston River - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.89 ↑
(4.5) |
3.55 ↓
(3.73) |
1.73 ↓
(1.74) |
6.3%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Boston River - Independiente?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Boston River will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Independiente will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Boston River (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Independiente (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Boston River is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Independiente is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Boston River has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Independiente is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boston River won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Boston River won against Independiente?
Boston River has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Boston River?
Independiente has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boston River - Independiente were as follows:
08.04.2025
Independiente
-
Boston River
2:1
Latest results of Boston River
Latest results of Independiente
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
