North Carolina vs Indy Eleven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship North Carolina - Indy Eleven
Result
4:2
18/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.50
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
81% (325/400)76% (267/353)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.961.51
Total shots
147
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
43
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
912
Passes
81% (325/400)76% (267/353)
Long passes
41% (31/75)45% (32/71)
Passes in final third
67% (85/126)65% (81/125)
Crosses
8% (1/12)5% (1/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.93
Throw-ins
1522
Fouls
129
Tackles
88% (7/8)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4349
Clearances
2527
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
1.511.96
Goals prevented
-0.49-2.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', Rafa Mentzingen 🟨,
  • 18', Rendon B. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Rafa Mentzingen ,
  • 41', Blake J. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Murphy J. , Amoh E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', O'Brien J. , Hogan P. ,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Servania J. , Perez L. (A),
  • 55', 3 - 1, Conway E. , Maldonado M. (A),
  • 59', Martin C. 🟨,
  • 64', Amoh E. , Collier E. ,
  • 64', Murphy J. , Bryneus O. ,
  • 64', Williams R. , Kizza E. ,
  • 71', Rafa Mentzingen , Burner P. ,
  • 71', Martin C. , Sommersall R. ,
  • 74', 4 - 1, Pedro Becker , Perez L. (A),
  • 81', Perez L. , Al Qaq A. ,
  • 81', Pedro Becker , Luckhurst A. ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 2, Blake J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


North Carolina
49.4%
Draw
27%
Indy Eleven
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 26.7% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 27.7% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • North Carolina - Indy Eleven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.06)
    3.56
    (3.52)
    4.08
    (3.38)
    4%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for North Carolina - Indy Eleven?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 1.
    • Recent form of North Carolina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Indy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Indy has had a series of home games.
    • North Carolina could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Indy Eleven were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Indy Eleven - North Carolina 2:2
    21.09.2024 North Carolina - Indy Eleven 2:0
    27.04.2024 Indy Eleven - North Carolina 2:1
    Latest results of North Carolina
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City17115130:131738
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1682625:20526
    5Pittsburgh1765615:15023
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1655626:28-220
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1846819:25-618
    10Rhode Island1745814:18-417
    11Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216
    12Tampa Bay16421017:25-814


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1683523:21227
    3New Mexico1681722:21125
    4Sacramento Republic1666422:121024
    5Orange County SC1672726:23323
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Phoenix Rising1765627:30-323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights1753913:28-1518

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )