North Carolina vs Indy Eleven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship North Carolina - Indy Eleven
Result
4:2
18/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.50
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
81% (325/400)76% (267/353)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.961.51
Total shots
147
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
43
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
912
Passes
81% (325/400)76% (267/353)
Long passes
41% (31/75)45% (32/71)
Passes in final third
67% (85/126)65% (81/125)
Crosses
8% (1/12)5% (1/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.93
Throw-ins
1522
Fouls
129
Tackles
88% (7/8)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4349
Clearances
2527
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
1.511.96
Goals prevented
-0.49-2.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', Rafa Mentzingen 🟨,
  • 18', Rendon B. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Rafa Mentzingen ,
  • 41', Blake J. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Murphy J. , Amoh E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', O'Brien J. , Hogan P. ,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Servania J. , Perez L. (A),
  • 55', 3 - 1, Conway E. , Maldonado M. (A),
  • 59', Martin C. 🟨,
  • 64', Amoh E. , Collier E. ,
  • 64', Murphy J. , Bryneus O. ,
  • 64', Williams R. , Kizza E. ,
  • 71', Rafa Mentzingen , Burner P. ,
  • 71', Martin C. , Sommersall R. ,
  • 74', 4 - 1, Pedro Becker , Perez L. (A),
  • 81', Perez L. , Al Qaq A. ,
  • 81', Pedro Becker , Luckhurst A. ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 2, Blake J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


North Carolina
49.4%
Draw
27%
Indy Eleven
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 26.7% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 27.7% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • North Carolina - Indy Eleven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.06)
    3.56
    (3.52)
    4.08
    (3.38)
    4%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for North Carolina - Indy Eleven?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 1.
    • Recent form of North Carolina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Indy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Indy has had a series of home games.
    • North Carolina could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Indy Eleven were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Indy Eleven - North Carolina 2:2
    21.09.2024 North Carolina - Indy Eleven 2:0
    27.04.2024 Indy Eleven - North Carolina 2:1
    Latest results of North Carolina
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City21146142:172548
    2Charleston20142441:212044
    3North Carolina20103731:27433
    4Loudoun2094731:29231
    5Pittsburgh2177720:19128
    6Detroit2177724:24028
    7Hartford Athletic2075829:23626
    8Indy Eleven2065932:37-523
    9Rhode Island21561015:23-821
    10Miami FC21551121:34-1320
    11Birmingham2148924:33-920
    12Tampa Bay20531222:31-918


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa21126337:231442
    2Sacramento Republic2087529:171231
    3El Paso2087533:27631
    4San Antonio2085725:26-129
    5Phoenix Rising2177735:37-228
    6Lexington2177723:27-428
    7Orange County SC1983828:25327
    8New Mexico1983826:28-227
    9Colorado Springs2066825:29-424
    10Monterey Bay22661023:29-624
    11Oakland Roots20631124:32-821
    12Las Vegas Lights21551117:39-2220

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