North Carolina vs Indy Eleven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

WakeMed Soccer Park (Cary, NC).

USL Championship
Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	1.50
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
9	2
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
81% (325/400)	76% (267/353)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	1.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.96	1.51
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
9	2
Shots off target
2	2
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
4	3
Shots outside the Box
10	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
15	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	5
Free Kicks
9	12
Passes
81% (325/400)	76% (267/353)
Long passes
41% (31/75)	45% (32/71)
Passes in final third
67% (85/126)	65% (81/125)
Crosses
8% (1/12)	5% (1/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.83	0.93
Throw-ins
15	22
Fouls
12	9
Tackles
88% (7/8)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
43	49
Clearances
25	27
Interceptions
5	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
0	5
xGOT faced
1.51	1.96
Goals prevented
-0.49	-2.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Rafa Mentzingen 🟨,
18', Rendon B. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Rafa Mentzingen ⚽,
41', Blake J. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Murphy J. ⚽, Amoh E. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', O'Brien J. ↓, Hogan P. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Servania J. ⚽, Perez L. (A),
55', 3 - 1, Conway E. ⚽, Maldonado M. (A),
59', Martin C. 🟨,
64', Amoh E. ↓, Collier E. ↑,
64', Murphy J. ↓, Bryneus O. ↑,
64', Williams R. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
71', Rafa Mentzingen ↓, Burner P. ↑,
71', Martin C. ↓, Sommersall R. ↑,
74', 4 - 1, Pedro Becker ⚽, Perez L. (A),
81', Perez L. ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
81', Pedro Becker ↓, Luckhurst A. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 2, Blake J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning

North Carolina
49.4%

Draw
27%

Indy Eleven
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

26.7%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

27.7%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

North Carolina - Indy Eleven Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.06)	3.56 ↑ (3.52)	4.08 ↑ (3.38)	4% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for North Carolina - Indy Eleven?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 1.
Recent form of North Carolina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Indy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Indy has had a series of home games.
North Carolina could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Indy Eleven?

North Carolina has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against North Carolina?

Indy Eleven has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Indy Eleven were as follows:

05.04.2025 Indy Eleven - North Carolina 2:2

21.09.2024 North Carolina - Indy Eleven 2:0

27.04.2024 Indy Eleven - North Carolina 2:1

Latest results of North Carolina

11.07.2025 North Carolina - Birmingham Legion 2:3 ✺

06.07.2025 Charleston Battery - North Carolina 1:0 ✺

29.06.2025 Louisville City - North Carolina 1:0 ✺

20.06.2025 North Carolina - Louisville City 2:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Rhode Island - North Carolina 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Indy Eleven

12.07.2025 Indy Eleven - Rhode Island 1:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay 3:0 ✺

25.06.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven 3:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Indy Eleven - Las Vegas Lights 0:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	27	20	6	1	54:19	35	66
2	Charleston ✔	26	17	4	5	54:29	25	55
3	North Carolina	27	12	5	10	39:37	2	41
4	Loudoun	27	11	6	10	43:45	-2	39
5	Hartford Athletic	26	11	5	10	40:29	11	38
6	Pittsburgh	27	10	7	10	27:27	0	37
7	Detroit	27	9	8	10	31:32	-1	35
8	Indy Eleven	27	9	5	13	40:47	-7	32
9	Rhode Island	26	8	7	11	20:26	-6	31
10	Tampa Bay	27	8	6	13	39:42	-3	30
11	Birmingham	28	5	12	11	33:45	-12	27
12	Miami FC	27	6	6	15	25:41	-16	24

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa ✔	27	14	8	5	44:29	15	50
2	Sacramento Republic	26	12	8	6	39:21	18	44
3	New Mexico	27	13	4	10	37:34	3	43
4	San Antonio	26	10	7	9	34:32	2	37
5	El Paso	27	9	10	8	42:38	4	37
6	Lexington	27	9	8	10	28:35	-7	35
7	Colorado Springs	27	9	7	11	34:39	-5	34
8	Phoenix Rising	27	7	12	8	45:48	-3	33
9	Orange County SC	26	8	7	11	38:41	-3	31
10	Monterey Bay	28	7	7	14	26:41	-15	28
11	Oakland Roots	26	7	6	13	33:44	-11	27
12	Las Vegas Lights	26	6	7	13	19:43	-24	25

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )