North Carolina vs Indy Eleven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship North Carolina - Indy Eleven
Result
4:2
18/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.50
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
81% (325/400)76% (267/353)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.961.51
Total shots
147
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
43
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
912
Passes
81% (325/400)76% (267/353)
Long passes
41% (31/75)45% (32/71)
Passes in final third
67% (85/126)65% (81/125)
Crosses
8% (1/12)5% (1/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.93
Throw-ins
1522
Fouls
129
Tackles
88% (7/8)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4349
Clearances
2527
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
1.511.96
Goals prevented
-0.49-2.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', Rafa Mentzingen 🟨,
  • 18', Rendon B. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Rafa Mentzingen ,
  • 41', Blake J. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Murphy J. , Amoh E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', O'Brien J. , Hogan P. ,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Servania J. , Perez L. (A),
  • 55', 3 - 1, Conway E. , Maldonado M. (A),
  • 59', Martin C. 🟨,
  • 64', Amoh E. , Collier E. ,
  • 64', Murphy J. , Bryneus O. ,
  • 64', Williams R. , Kizza E. ,
  • 71', Rafa Mentzingen , Burner P. ,
  • 71', Martin C. , Sommersall R. ,
  • 74', 4 - 1, Pedro Becker , Perez L. (A),
  • 81', Perez L. , Al Qaq A. ,
  • 81', Pedro Becker , Luckhurst A. ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 2, Blake J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


North Carolina
49.4%
Draw
27%
Indy Eleven
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 26.7% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 27.7% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • North Carolina - Indy Eleven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.06)
    3.56
    (3.52)
    4.08
    (3.38)
    4%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for North Carolina - Indy Eleven?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 1.
    • Recent form of North Carolina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Indy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Indy has had a series of home games.
    • North Carolina could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Indy Eleven were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Indy Eleven - North Carolina 2:2
    21.09.2024 North Carolina - Indy Eleven 2:0
    27.04.2024 Indy Eleven - North Carolina 2:1
    Latest results of North Carolina
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 30227156:193773
    2Charleston ✔ 30195662:323062
    3North Carolina ✔ 301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic ✔ 301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh ✔ 301281032:28444
    6Loudoun ✔ 301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 30169550:302057
    2New Mexico ✔ 301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic ✔ 30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )