Result
4:2
18/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (325/400) | 76% (267/353) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (325/400) | 76% (267/353) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (31/75) | 45% (32/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (85/126) | 65% (81/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 5% (1/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | -2.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', Rafa Mentzingen 🟨,
- 18', Rendon B. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Rafa Mentzingen ⚽,
- 41', Blake J. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Murphy J. ⚽, Amoh E. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', O'Brien J. ↓, Hogan P. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 1, Servania J. ⚽, Perez L. (A),
- 55', 3 - 1, Conway E. ⚽, Maldonado M. (A),
- 59', Martin C. 🟨,
- 64', Amoh E. ↓, Collier E. ↑,
- 64', Murphy J. ↓, Bryneus O. ↑,
- 64', Williams R. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
- 71', Rafa Mentzingen ↓, Burner P. ↑,
- 71', Martin C. ↓, Sommersall R. ↑,
- 74', 4 - 1, Pedro Becker ⚽, Perez L. (A),
- 81', Perez L. ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
- 81', Pedro Becker ↓, Luckhurst A. ↑,
- 90+3', 4 - 2, Blake J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
North Carolina
49.4% | Draw
27% | Indy Eleven
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
North Carolina - Indy Eleven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.06) |
3.56 ↑
(3.52) |
4.08 ↑
(3.38) |
4%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for North Carolina - Indy Eleven?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 1.
- Recent form of North Carolina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Indy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Indy has had a series of home games.
- North Carolina could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Indy Eleven?
North Carolina has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against North Carolina?
Indy Eleven has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Indy Eleven were as follows:
05.04.2025
Indy Eleven
-
North Carolina
2:2
21.09.2024
North Carolina
-
Indy Eleven
2:0
27.04.2024
Indy Eleven
-
North Carolina
2:1
Latest results of North Carolina
Latest results of Indy Eleven
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh ✔ | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun ✔ | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
