Inter Miami vs Atlanta United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Inter Miami - Atlanta United
Result
4:0
11/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.380.86
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
88% (537/611)82% (338/411)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.380.86
xG on target (xGOT)
3.110.33
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
4722
Accurate through passes
40
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
58
Passes
88% (537/611)82% (338/411)
Long passes
74% (31/42)50% (23/46)
Passes in final third
80% (188/236)67% (69/103)
Crosses
27% (3/11)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
3.730.73
Throw-ins
1713
Fouls
85
Tackles
65% (13/20)47% (7/15)
Duels won
4832
Clearances
722
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.333.11
Goals prevented
0.33-0.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Gregersen S. , Mazzaferro S. ,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Messi L. , Rodriguez B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Alba J. , Messi L. (A),
  • 56', Bright Y. , Picault F. ,
  • 61', 3 - 0, Suarez L. ,
  • 71', Leo Afonso , Togashi C. ,
  • 80', Aviles T. , Sailor R. ,
  • 85', Sanchez C. , Weah P. ,
  • 87', 4 - 0, Messi L. , Alba J. (A),
  • 89', Rodriguez B. , Morales S. ,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
72%
Draw
15.9%
Atlanta United
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 22.5% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 22% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter Miami's performance.
  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inter Miami that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Inter Miami - Atlanta United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.55)
    5.91
    (4.2)
    7.79
    (5.76)
    3.9%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
    What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Atlanta United?
  • Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 15 - 20.3%). Atlanta will win (votes: 54 - 73%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 62.9%83.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Atlanta (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlanta United will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 2.
    • Inter Miami is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Atlanta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Inter Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Inter Miami has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Inter Miami is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Inter Miami will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Atlanta United were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Inter Miami - Atlanta United 2:3
    02.11.2024 Atlanta United - Inter Miami 2:1
    25.10.2024 Inter Miami - Atlanta United 2:1
    18.09.2024 Atlanta United - Inter Miami 2:2
    29.05.2024 Inter Miami - Atlanta United 1:3
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2