Inter Miami vs Atlanta United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
11/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.380.86
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
88% (537/611)82% (338/411)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.380.86
xG on target (xGOT)
3.110.33
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
4722
Accurate through passes
40
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
58
Passes
88% (537/611)82% (338/411)
Long passes
74% (31/42)50% (23/46)
Passes in final third
80% (188/236)67% (69/103)
Crosses
27% (3/11)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
3.730.73
Throw-ins
1713
Fouls
85
Tackles
65% (13/20)47% (7/15)
Duels won
4832
Clearances
722
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.333.11
Goals prevented
0.33-0.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Gregersen S. , Mazzaferro S. ,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Messi L. , Rodriguez B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Alba J. , Messi L. (A),
  • 56', Bright Y. , Picault F. ,
  • 61', 3 - 0, Suarez L. ,
  • 71', Leo Afonso , Togashi C. ,
  • 80', Aviles T. , Sailor R. ,
  • 85', Sanchez C. , Weah P. ,
  • 87', 4 - 0, Messi L. , Alba J. (A),
  • 89', Rodriguez B. , Morales S. ,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
72%
Draw
15.9%
Atlanta United
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 22.5% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 22% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter Miami's performance.
  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inter Miami that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Inter Miami - Atlanta United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.55)
    5.91
    (4.2)
    7.79
    (5.76)
    3.9%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
    What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Atlanta United?
  • Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 15 - 20.3%). Atlanta will win (votes: 54 - 73%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 62.9%83.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Atlanta (6.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Atlanta (3.73) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Inter Miami (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlanta United will win (38 of 44 users predict this - 86.36%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 50 high ROI users predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 3 - 6%). Atlanta (votes: 43 - 86%). Tie (votes: 4 - 8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 2.
    • Inter Miami is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Atlanta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Inter Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Inter Miami has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Inter Miami is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Inter Miami will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Atlanta United were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Inter Miami - Atlanta United 2:3
    02.11.2024 Atlanta United - Inter Miami 2:1
    25.10.2024 Inter Miami - Atlanta United 2:1
    18.09.2024 Atlanta United - Inter Miami 2:2
    29.05.2024 Inter Miami - Atlanta United 1:3
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC54108:0813
    2Vancouver Whitecaps540114:21212
    3San Jose Earthquakes54017:1612
    4San Diego FC532013:5811
    5Seattle Sounders53115:2310
    6Real Salt Lake53119:7210
    7Colorado Rapids530211:749
    8FC Dallas522110:918
    9Houston Dynamo42028:9-16
    10Los Angeles Galaxy51227:8-15
    11Austin FC51225:7-25
    12Minnesota United51224:11-75
    13St. Louis City51134:7-34
    14Portland Timbers51137:12-54
    15Sporting Kansas City51135:11-64


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC541013:21113
    2New York City531113:6710
    3Inter Miami53119:8110
    4Charlotte522110:648
    5Chicago Fire52127:527
    6DC United52124:407
    7Toronto FC52126:8-27
    8New York Red Bulls52125:11-67
    9FC Cincinnati52037:11-46
    10Atlanta Utd51135:8-34
    11New England Revolution41038:9-13
    12CF Montreal51047:14-73
    13Orlando City51045:17-123
    14Columbus Crew50235:8-32
    15Philadelphia Union50053:9-60

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