Result
3:1
08/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Russia | Okko Sport |
South-america | ESPN South, ViX Latin America |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.73 | 1.35 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
81% (265/327) | 82% (350/428) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.73 | 1.35 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.53 | 1.41 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
81% (265/327) | 82% (350/428) |
Long passes |
---|
65% (47/72) | 42% (20/48) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (64/97) | 73% (66/91) |
Crosses |
---|
30% (3/10) | 29% (5/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.36 | 1.28 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
36% (4/11) | 80% (12/15) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
27 | 16 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.41 | 1.53 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.41 | -1.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Vitao 🟨,
- 37', Valencia E. ↓, Lucca ↑,
- 39', 1 - 0, Viveros K. ⚽, Candido C. (A),
- 45+3', Tesillo W. 🟨,
- 45+3', Lucca 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Bruno Henrique ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
- 51', Thiago Maia 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 0, Arce B. ⚽, Hinestroza M. (A),
- 67', Arce B. 🟨,
- 73', Roman A. 🟨,
- 79', 2 - 1, Alan Patrick (Pen),
- 82', Arce B. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 82', Uribe M. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
- 83', Campuzano J. 🟨,
- 84', Alan Patrick 🟨,
- 84', Thiago Maia ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 84', Fernando ↓, Ricardo Mathias ↑,
- 87', Cardona E. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, Viveros K. ⚽, Arias J. J. (A),
- 90+5', Viveros K. ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional 45.8% | Draw 27.7% | Internacional RS 26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Nacional's performance.Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Internacional RS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Atlético Nacional - Internacional RS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.08 ↓ (2.43) |
3.4 ↑ (3.28) |
3.54 ↑ (2.95) |
5.7% (5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Internacional RS?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Internacional will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Nacional: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético Nacional: Zapata J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Internacional: Borre R.
(Injury)
Bruno Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Drummond L.
(Knee Injury)
Mercado G.
(Knee Injury)
Rochet S.
(Broken Hand)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Internacional: Carbonero J.
(Injury)
Diego Rosa
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético Nacional won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Internacional RS?
Atlético Nacional has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Internacional RS won against Atlético Nacional?
Internacional RS has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Internacional RS were as follows:
10.04.2025
Internacional RS
-
Atlético Nacional
3:0
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Internacional RS
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)