Result
3:1
08/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN South, ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (265/327) | 82% (350/428) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (265/327) | 82% (350/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (47/72) | 42% (20/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (64/97) | 73% (66/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -1.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Vitao 🟨,
- 37', Valencia E. ↓, Lucca ↑,
- 39', 1 - 0, Viveros K. ⚽, Candido C. (A),
- 45+3', Tesillo W. 🟨,
- 45+3', Lucca 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Bruno Henrique ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
- 51', Thiago Maia 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 0, Arce B. ⚽, Hinestroza M. (A),
- 67', Arce B. 🟨,
- 73', Roman A. 🟨,
- 79', 2 - 1, Alan Patrick (Pen),
- 82', Arce B. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 82', Uribe M. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
- 83', Campuzano J. 🟨,
- 84', Alan Patrick 🟨,
- 84', Thiago Maia ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 84', Fernando ↓, Ricardo Mathias ↑,
- 87', Cardona E. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, Viveros K. ⚽, Arias J. J. (A),
- 90+5', Viveros K. ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
45.8% | Draw
27.7% | Internacional RS
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Nacional's performance.Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Internacional RS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Atlético Nacional - Internacional RS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.43) |
3.4 ↑
(3.28) |
3.54 ↑
(2.95) |
5.7%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Internacional RS?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Internacional will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Nacional: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético Nacional: Zapata J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Internacional: Borre R.
(Injury)
Bruno Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Drummond L.
(Knee Injury)
Mercado G.
(Knee Injury)
Rochet S.
(Broken Hand)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Internacional: Carbonero J.
(Injury)
Diego Rosa
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético Nacional won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Internacional RS?
Atlético Nacional has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Internacional RS won against Atlético Nacional?
Internacional RS has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Internacional RS were as follows:
10.04.2025
Internacional RS
-
Atlético Nacional
3:0
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Internacional RS
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
